COVID-19 Megathread 3: Third time's a charm

[The Dowager Mod]

Last one.
https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=364906.0

[Donald Trump’s Toupée]

No many the quantity of threads, this is still an overblown reaction. Glad Trump is waking up to the economic consequences.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

No many the quantity of threads, this is still an overblown reaction. Glad Trump is waking up to the economic consequences.

Yes the overrun hospital workers will tell you its overblown ok MAGAT

[Progressive Pessimist]

No many the quantity of threads, this is still an overblown reaction. Glad Trump is waking up to the economic consequences.

Why does this have to be a choice between the economy or peoples' lives?

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Maybe i missed a discussion during my 4 year absence but why do we create new threads all the time when we get to 100 pages? Is it a load time thing?

[Florida Man for Crime]

Regarding the Oxford study that Greenline just posted on the other thread that claimed that 50% of the UK population was already infected, I wrote up a better reply to that on the other thread, but it got eaten since the other thread was suddenly locked.

So I will make a shorter reply.

The paper does not suggest that at all. The analysis in the paper is simply that if you assume a very low value of a particular parameter, then 50% of the population in the UK is already infected.

But no justification whatsoever for that assumption is provided in the paper. I would explain why, but I am not going to go to the effort to re-type everything.

Rather than just looking at a sensationalist headline in a news article (which is all Greenline did), look at the actual paper to see why -

that is here:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/oxmu2rwsnhi9j9c/Draft-COVID-19-Model%20%2813%29.pdf

https://www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/foc67z/fundamental_principles_of_epidemic_spread/


p.s. to the mods - it is very annoying when a megathread gets locked, because now it is impossible to quote posts from the previous megathread.

[Devout Centrist]

Folks, I stumbled across top secret footage of how Trump Administration's plans to deal with old people who get coronavirus:

[Progressive Pessimist]

Folks, I stumbled across top secret footage of how Trump Administration's plans to deal with old people who get coronavirus:

Yet they'd still vote for him.

[Bidenworth2020]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

[Babylon]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

With all due respect to the president, I cant bring myself to watch these press briefings anymore. Doesnt feel like anything relevant is said.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

You don't think it was marred by his suggestion for turning Easter into the Donald Trump version of Jonestown?

[wbrocks67]

No many the quantity of threads, this is still an overblown reaction. Glad Trump is waking up to the economic consequences.

There were literally another 800 cases just in New Jersey *ALONE* today. Stop.

[Progressive Pessimist]

No many the quantity of threads, this is still an overblown reaction. Glad Trump is waking up to the economic consequences.

There were literally another 800 cases just in New Jersey *ALONE* today. Stop.

That's because of the Chinese though! My state is diverse and therefore that's the real problem!

I'm being sarcastic here, of course.

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Gahdamnnn! My friend thinks this is the end of humankind. He dropped out of college, sold his car and keeps stocking up on food and ammo.

[Bidenworth2020]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

You don't think it was marred by his suggestion for turning Easter into the Donald Trump version of Jonestown?

I was purely to his tone. Not the usual divisive rhetoric. Obviously I find this idea of opening everything up by Easter absurd.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

One month ago:https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1232058127740174339

[FrancoAgo]

that is here:

https://www.dropbox.com/s/oxmu2rwsnhi9j9c/Draft-COVID-19-Model%20%2813%29.pdf

i did a fast eye to the abstract, this remember some economics model, the problem is the assumption...

[Xing]

I’ll just leave this cartoon here for those who think the DOW Jones is more important than people’s lives:

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/sbg1/status/1242450452316381185

[Meclazine for Israel]

"The most merciful thing in the world, I think, is the inability of the human mind to correlate all its contents. We live on a placid island of ignorance in the midst of black seas of infinity, and it was not meant that we should voyage far."
H.P. Lovecraft

OK, looking at new countries entering the fray this morning for Corona-virus infection rates, we start to see the virus spreading into West Africa and South America:

Leading Growth in New Cases (cases above 40 to qualify)

1   192%   Ivory Coast
2   163%   Kyrgyzstan
3   96%   Ghana
4   85%   Afghanistan
5   74%   Montenegro
6   52%   New Zealand
7   38%   Romania
8   38%   South Africa
9   36%   Saudi Arabia
10   36%   Colombia

197 countries now affected. South Africa is a concern as the average infection rate of HIV in that country is 21%.

For some reason, be it testing, social isolation, preparedness etc etc, the following countries have remarkably low mortality rates:

Lowest Mortality Rates in the World (cases above 100 to qualify)

1   0.2%   Israel
2   0.2%   Czechia
3   0.2%   Chile
4   0.3%   Iceland
5   0.4%   Singapore
6   0.4%   Australia
7   0.4%   Norway
8   0.5%   Germany
9   0.5%   Thailand
10   0.5%   Ireland

Norway and Germany have an unusually low mortality rate given their infection rates.

The StoreBought Affluenza Index reveals more countries on the wealthy end are suffering higher infection rates than poor countries.



Stats from https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


 

[Bidenworth2020]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

My God you are one gullible dumbass.

Once again, I am not speaking to his policies. I am speaking to his tone.

[Antonio the Sixth]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

My God you are one gullible dumbass.

Once again, I am not speaking to his policies. I am speaking to his tone.

I don't know how anyone can care about tone in a time like this, but fair enough I guess.

[Bidenworth2020]

That was probably one of his best briefings in a while. Bipartisan praise and the like. Still a low bar, however.

My God you are one gullible dumbass.

Once again, I am not speaking to his policies. I am speaking to his tone.

I don't know how anyone can care about tone in a time like this, but fair enough I guess.

I think it is important considering he is the president and millions are watching him every day. In terms of his actions, Trump is quite close to delusional if he actually thinks we will be able to open everything up by easter.

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Bad news: New York is getting very bad
Good news: It's only New York and WA and CA are doing a better job controlling the virus

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

RIP to everyone I know and love. I really hope bronz is younger than he pretends to be on here.