PPP-MT: Trump +8 against "Democratic Nominee"
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October 20, 2021, 04:42:15 AM

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  PPP-MT: Trump +8 against "Democratic Nominee"
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Author Topic: PPP-MT: Trump +8 against "Democratic Nominee"  (Read 1499 times)
OneJ
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« on: March 19, 2020, 10:35:37 AM »

Link: https://www.endcitizensunited.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Montana-Poll.pdf

Presidential Race:
Trump - 52%
Democratic Nominee - 44%

Senate Race:
Steve Daines - 47%
Steve Bullock - 47%

MT-AL Race:
Matt Rosendale - 45%
Kathleen Williams - 45%

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #1 on: March 19, 2020, 10:38:03 AM »

Not bad. Trump +8 would be relatively close for MT and the senate poll is really promising. It's PPP though. We need to see whether other polls confirm this one. Senate race is no more than Lean R.
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
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« Reply #2 on: March 19, 2020, 12:21:05 PM »

They did not poll the Gov race?
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UWS
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« Reply #3 on: March 19, 2020, 12:49:51 PM »

we all know that PPP is a pro-Democratic pollster so in real life Trump is leading by double-digits in MT, Daines would have a fair-healthy lead and Rosendale is polling closer to 50 %.
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Josh Shapiro for Governor
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« Reply #4 on: March 19, 2020, 03:18:28 PM »

we all know that PPP is a pro-Democratic pollster so in real life Trump is leading by double-digits in MT, Daines would have a fair-healthy lead and Rosendale is polling closer to 50 %.

538 says that PPP has only a 0.3 D bias.
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
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« Reply #5 on: March 19, 2020, 04:43:18 PM »

Bullock, not Cooney will win the race in MT, even if Teuno wins the state
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #6 on: March 19, 2020, 05:46:56 PM »

we all know that PPP is a pro-Democratic pollster so in real life Trump is leading by double-digits in MT, Daines would have a fair-healthy lead and Rosendale is polling closer to 50 %.

538 says that PPP has only a 0.3 D bias.

PPP is in the reality based community. Rasmussen is complete utter trash and should be tossed into the trash bin.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: March 19, 2020, 07:52:57 PM »

I think 2016 was pretty much the peak of Republican dominance at the presidential level, and even Trump's win was hardly more impressive than Bush's win in 2000 (especially when you compare the trends in MT with WY/ND/SD). If Republicans want to sweep all statewide offices and both Senate seats, theyíre running out of time. Iím honestly beginning to doubt that Iíll ever see the day when Montana has two elected Republican Senators.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #8 on: March 19, 2020, 09:17:34 PM »

It'll be a greater margin.
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
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« Reply #9 on: March 19, 2020, 09:36:40 PM »

Trump will win 8-12 points, since Cooney is such a weak candidate,  but Bullock can win with such a margin for Trump. That's why they didnt bother polling the Gov race
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ShamDam
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« Reply #10 on: March 19, 2020, 10:40:36 PM »

Hot Steve on Steve action
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: March 20, 2020, 03:04:16 AM »

Barring a collapse that portends a 450-EV landslide win by the Democratic nominee, this is rather weak for any Republican at this stage. At 52-44, Trump would need to get 9% of the undecided (without some third-Party nominee mucking the assumption of a binary race) to win Montana by double digits, which a Republican Presidential nominee must do if he is even close nationwide. 
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #12 on: March 22, 2020, 02:40:44 PM »

Not too surprising.  Super anti-incumbent president state in general.
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Nova Green Locked Out
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« Reply #13 on: March 22, 2020, 10:34:06 PM »

Numbers seem a bit generous to the DEM, but MT has some weird Pacific NW strains, especially in the NW part of the State...

After all Mike D. performed close to his national % back in '88.

Was one of Perot's best states back in '92....

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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #14 on: March 23, 2020, 05:05:20 PM »

Numbers seem a bit generous to the DEM, but MT has some weird Pacific NW strains, especially in the NW part of the State...

After all Mike D. performed close to his national % back in '88.

Was one of Perot's best states back in '92....



The populist farmers were enraged at Republicans over the farm crisis in 1988.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #15 on: April 15, 2020, 08:55:51 AM »

New Poll: Montana President by Public Policy Polling on 2020-03-13

Summary: D: 44%, R: 52%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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