MI (Baldwin Wallace University) - Peters leads

[wbrocks67]

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you be more likely to vote for Democrat Gary Peters, Republican John James, or Republican Bob Barr?

Gary Peters: 40%
John James: 27%
Bob Barr: 6%
Unsure: 28%

https://www.bw.edu/Assets/community-research-institute/03-2020_great_lakes_poll_ii%20final.pdf

[SnowLabrador]

Junk poll for obvious reasons.

[Politician]

Junk poll for obvious reasons.

If James was leading by 13 you'd be going nuts.

[S019]

Well we can say that Peters is 40 and James is at 33, Peters+7 seems consistent with what we’ve seen so far, I’d don’t think this will be a Nelson redux, it could be a Manchin redux, where Peters wins by less than expected, but James needs a lot to go right, especially given that he’s underperforming Trump in several polls.

[SnowLabrador]

Junk poll for obvious reasons.

If James was leading by 13 you'd be going nuts.

They polled a jungle primary, when it will be only one of the Republicans against Peters. That's why it's a junk poll, not because Peters is leading.

[Brittain33]

Wow, James is really running away with this thing

[ElectionsGuy]

James in 3rd place behind Unsure, what a loser.

[libertpaulian]

We could end up with one of these results:

-A Nelson result: An uncontroversial Senator who should have bipartisan appeal ends up losing by the narrowest of margins due to running an ineffective campaign and not reading the room.
-A Manchin win: Said Senator's incumbency advantage gives him a victory, but it's much narrower-than-expected due to the rightward trend of his state.
-An easy win: Ends up winning by a decent margin, proving the polls right and riding with the national mood.
-A Donnelly result: Incumbent Senator polls ahead in virtually every poll; however, he has difficulty exceeding 44-46% in said polls.  That number ends up being prophetic on election night, as that's the number he gets due to the challenger winning over undecideds and soft supporters of the incumbent, possibly due to national circumstances (2018 was Kavanaugh and caravans, this year it could be corona and something else that we don't know about yet).

[Sir Mohamed]

Junk. Way too many undecideds.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

So we can throw out their Presidential race polls as well.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Peters polling in the 40s isn’t good but at the same time James just had a high profile senate run in 18 so him polling in the 30s is also pretty bad

[Xing]

Unsurementum!