NBC News: Biden +9, Sanders +4 (RV)
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  NBC News: Biden +9, Sanders +4 (RV)
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Author Topic: NBC News: Biden +9, Sanders +4 (RV)  (Read 1739 times)
Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
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« Reply #25 on: March 15, 2020, 07:37:23 PM »

Lets see a turnout poll with the virus going on before I believe any of these numbers.

If coronavirus is still a significant concern in November, Trump is sure to lose in an historic landslide.

Not with his approvala at 45 percent and rising

Every average I’ve seen shows Trump’s approval declining modestly but steadily since the start of the crisis.  But it’s not even especially relevant, since if the virus keeps spreading through November, about 5% of Trump’s voters will be dead.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #26 on: March 16, 2020, 12:57:39 AM »

Trump mishandled the coronavirus and along with all his other flaws as Prez, isn't gonna beat Biden

Considering how much Trump got away with in the past, this is a daring statement. But the sole justification of this President has been maintaining a strong economy (that he inherited from Obama, but to whom he will give no credit) -- when that goes, his support decreases to the level of the two biggest losers among incumbent Presidents in the last century -- Hoover and Carter.

The last that I saw, we are still in the "falling knife" stage of a bear market, and this one looks more like the end of a long bull than some short-term blip (e.g., 1987). There is time for a recession, but not for a recovery before the November election. Any recovery will have the letter "D" following it.

About everyone knows a physician (which is not the case for scientists of any kind, economists, diplomats, or senior military officers) and almost everyone has respect for the medical profession; it is extremely unwise to contradict medical science as a public figure. What the physician does not know about a disease such as COVID-19 is basically what nobody else knows.

Trump has been getting away with contradicting the experts because many Americans, especially those deplorable types who want to level the purportedly-exploitative and oppressive intellectuals that those "low-information voters" envy. One can get away with such until people get hurt or killed.

Much of the rest of America seems to be ahead of the President, even sacrificing short-term profits, to avoid a catastrophe that COVID-19 can be. People are starting to think beyond the profits for the current quarter. 
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Person Man
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« Reply #27 on: March 16, 2020, 07:34:22 AM »

It could happen if things have changed so much that the 2018 margins are actually a harbinger than an abberation.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #28 on: March 21, 2020, 09:13:16 AM »

Trump’s approval is actually pretty high in this poll. 45-51. Biden is overperforming Trump’s net approvals.

As I recall, in most polls Trump underperform his approval rating. Not a great sign given he still seems stuck at about -10 approval.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #29 on: March 21, 2020, 10:34:33 AM »

News flash, there has been polls showing Trump creeping up on Biden. Even the D internal poll shows Biden only up 3 or 4 points not 7 or 10 and Trump is gonna expose Biden's weakness on Ukraine and comprehensive immigration reform. No immigration reform until this virus leaves.

Biden says he want immigration reform the first week in office
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #30 on: March 21, 2020, 10:58:39 AM »

News flash, there has been polls showing Trump creeping up on Biden. Even the D internal poll shows Biden only up 3 or 4 points not 7 or 10 and Trump is gonna expose Biden's weakness on Ukraine and comprehensive immigration reform. No immigration reform until this virus leaves.

Biden says he want immigration reform the first week in office

The “D internal poll” you cite was not a national poll, it was a “battleground state” poll of states Trump won by 1 point on aggregate in 2016.  So it would likely translate to Biden +7 nationwide.  Not sure what other polls you are referring to.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: March 21, 2020, 11:49:45 AM »

Believe what you want, but it says 49-45-5 head to head matchup with Biden, Trump and Amash and it is a natl poll.

Anyways these are RV +9, there is no such thing as RV at election time, LV
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #32 on: March 21, 2020, 12:46:44 PM »

Believe what you want, but it says 49-45-5 head to head matchup with Biden, Trump and Amash and it is a natl poll.

Anyways these are RV +9, there is no such thing as RV at election time, LV

Where are you seeing it says “it is a natl poll”?

This is the poll you are referring to:
Results From Democracy Corps Survey in Presidential and Senate Battleground

Here’s what it says on the first page:
Democracy Corps conducted a 1,000-sample mostly cell-phone survey and a 2,900-sample web panel survey on behalf of the non-profit and non-partisan Center for Voter Information (CVI) in 16 battleground states.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #33 on: March 21, 2020, 02:04:06 PM »

Believe what you want, but it says 49-45-5 head to head matchup with Biden, Trump and Amash and it is a natl poll.

Anyways these are RV +9, there is no such thing as RV at election time, LV

Where are you seeing it says “it is a natl poll”?

This is the poll you are referring to:
Results From Democracy Corps Survey in Presidential and Senate Battleground

Here’s what it says on the first page:
Democracy Corps conducted a 1,000-sample mostly cell-phone survey and a 2,900-sample web panel survey on behalf of the non-profit and non-partisan Center for Voter Information (CVI) in 16 battleground states.

Are you aware with whom you are arguing?
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