Kelly: 50%
McSally: 44%
The Monmouth University Poll was conducted by telephone from March 11 to 14, 2020 with 847 Arizona registered voters. The question results in this release based on all registered voters have a margin of error of +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results based on 373 voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary on March 17, 2020 have a margin of error of +/- 5.1 percentage points. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_AZ_031620/