It's still early, but as crazy as it sounds, it looks like picking the very person who lost a Senate race in Arizona in 2018 to run in a Senate race in Arizona in 2020 wasn't such a good idea.
Ducey probably appointed McSally knowing she's likely to lose special election in 2020 so that he can run in the 2022 regular election, when he's term-limited for his current job. Especially under a Dem prez.
But yup, this looks like it's more Lean D than tossup for now. Kelly is the best senate recruitment this cycle besides Bullock.
