Mini Tuesday results thread

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

83% in

Biden: 460,807 36.3%
Sanders: 436,831 34.4%

[catographer]

Biden looks on track to win Washington by about the same margin that Clinton won the non binding primary, ~5%.

In the big picture, Biden’s coalition looks like Bill Clinton’s 1992 coalition, the traditional “beer track” for the most part: Clinton 2016’s performance with college whites and Black voters + Clinton 2008’s performance with non-college whites.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Last update for a while.

85% in. Biden expands to a 2 points lead (26K votes)

We all know how this is going to end.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1237880151167254528

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1237880151167254528

It’s no fun until NYT calls it.

[Rookie Yinzer]

https://twitter.com/josecanyousee/status/1238235547140624385?s=20

[Tender Branson]

Biden has won WA.

He’s ahead by 30.000 votes and there are just 120.000 left in the D race.

Bernie would need to win the remaining votes by a 25% margin to make up the gap ...

[n1240]

Biden has won WA.

He’s ahead by 30.000 votes and there are just 120.000 left in the D race.

Bernie would need to win the remaining votes by a 25% margin to make up the gap ...

What is your source on 120k left in D race? I'd estimate closer to 180k, but regardless it's a bit hard for him to make up the margin.

[BlueSwan]

https://twitter.com/josecanyousee/status/1238235547140624385?s=20

Yeah, the whole talking point about Uncle Joe being “billionaire funded” is a bit laughable, when you look at his actual spending. Uncle Joe is not the one trying to buy the election.

[Sir Mohamed]

If Sanders can't even win WA despite spending and groundgame advantage across the board, he should drop out. This tells you that he's far less electable than people assumed. An assumption that was based on his 2016 performance, which was merely a protest vote against HRC.

[Holmes]

The little commentary on that tweet is..... yikes one of the stupidest things I've read in a while.

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

The little commentary on that tweet is..... yikes one of the stupidest things I've read in a while.

Replying to
@josecanyousee and @PrezHillary17
⚘ twitter: We want money out of politics!
Biden: Fine, I'll win without spending any money!
🥀Twitter: how'd he win without spending any money?!? It must be rigged!

https://mobile.twitter.com/STEMthebleeding/status/1238456464961921025

It's not like Bernie pulling ahead with the remaining votes in WA would significantly change things. Regardless of the final vote margin (or who actually has more votes) it doesn't look good for him.

[American2020]

According to the Seattle Times

https://twitter.com/joan_osborne/status/1238542833830612992

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/primevideo/status/1238559204153032704?s=21

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

https://twitter.com/primevideo/status/1238559204153032704?s=21

Oh my god. Don’t let me get on this forum while at a bar.

[Bidenworth2020]

https://twitter.com/primevideo/status/1238559204153032704?s=21

huh?

[Crumpets]

The Washington county map continues to get curiouser and curiouser. Bernie's support makes a lot of sense - the two counties where he hit 40% both have relatively large student populations - WWU in Whatcom County and WSU in Whitman County. And yet Walla Walla County went to Biden despite also having a college student-heavy Democratic voting bloc. I don't know off the top of my head, but it looks like the seemingly random rural divide might come down to the main industry in each county. Farming counties went to Bernie, possibly because of higher Latino populations, while the rest went to Biden.

Biden's support is a very strange coalition. He has hit 40% in four counties thus far. Pierce County (Tacoma) makes perfect sense - a relatively large minority population and a large working class white moderate Democrat population. Island county probably skews old, so that also makes sense. Douglas County... uh, I suppose maybe the operators of the hydroelectric dams along the Columbia might be Biden's electorate there? I honestly have no idea what a Democrat who lives in Douglas County would be. Biden also won Garfield County, which holds the distinction of giving Obama 100% of the vote in the 2008 caucus, then voting for McCain by over 40 points. It was also one of only three counties in the state where same-sex marriage failed to hig 30% support in the 2012 referendum. Another county where I really have no idea what a local Democrat would look like.

All in all, it really seems like Biden just wins the "and the rest" vote without much rhyme or reason.

[No War, but the War on Christmas]

As promised, I’ve updated my signature and am officially endorsing a Biden/Baldwin ticket.

If, by some suicidally idiotic political decision Biden nominated a corporate Democrat however or a Moderate for VP — I will be voting Green.

[RI]

The Washington county map continues to get curiouser and curiouser. Bernie's support makes a lot of sense - the two counties where he hit 40% both have relatively large student populations - WWU in Whatcom County and WSU in Whitman County. And yet Walla Walla County went to Biden despite also having a college student-heavy Democratic voting bloc. I don't know off the top of my head, but it looks like the seemingly random rural divide might come down to the main industry in each county. Farming counties went to Bernie, possibly because of higher Latino populations, while the rest went to Biden.

Biden's support is a very strange coalition. He has hit 40% in four counties thus far. Pierce County (Tacoma) makes perfect sense - a relatively large minority population and a large working class white moderate Democrat population. Island county probably skews old, so that also makes sense. Douglas County... uh, I suppose maybe the operators of the hydroelectric dams along the Columbia might be Biden's electorate there? I honestly have no idea what a Democrat who lives in Douglas County would be. Biden also won Garfield County, which holds the distinction of giving Obama 100% of the vote in the 2008 caucus, then voting for McCain by over 40 points. It was also one of only three counties in the state where same-sex marriage failed to hig 30% support in the 2012 referendum. Another county where I really have no idea what a local Democrat would look like.

All in all, it really seems like Biden just wins the "and the rest" vote without much rhyme or reason.

Biden is doing very well in suburbs/exurbs, with commuters, areas with higher incomes, and with the more "refined" class which would've otherwise supported Warren. Walla Walla County has a large student population, but most at Whitman College are upper class east coast types who are more Warren-friendly than Sanders-friendly, and most of the Walla Walla University students are probably Republicans. Douglas County is primarily East Wenatchee, which is more like exurbs/commuters to Wenatchee. Island County is a mix of military types (who haven't been going for Sanders; see Virginia Beach and Kitsap/Pierce Counties), exurban ferry commuters, and rural retirees.

Sanders is doing well with students, Latinos (see ag workers), in a few rural populist areas, and with some of the ex-hippie types.

[DrScholl]

Biden carried several counties that voted for Dixy Lee Ray in the 1980 Washington primary that she was lost. Perhaps he picked up old conservative Democrats.

[RI]

This is outdated now, but still interesting to look at: election night results from King County, WA.

City	Sanders	Biden	Warren	Bloomberg	Buttigieg	Klobuchar
Auburn	32.6	32.9	10.2	13.3	5.7	2.8
Bellevue	28.2	38.5	10.7	11.9	5.2	3.6
Bothell	32.6	32.5	13.5	10.5	5.8	3.4
Burien	36.7	29.7	13.3	9.6	5.2	2.8
Clyde Hill	16.5	47.2	7.7	17.1	6.0	3.8
Covington	32.4	31.2	11.2	11.6	8.2	2.1
Des Moines	29.5	35.5	11.0	12.9	5.0	3.7
Duvall	31.7	32.7	14.1	7.6	8.7	3.7
Enumclaw	25.3	36.2	10.8	12.5	8.6	3.8
Federal Way	31.5	36.5	9.3	13.0	4.5	2.4
Issaquah	27.0	39.9	11.1	10.5	6.2	3.6
Kent	34.9	34.7	9.1	11.0	5.1	2.5
Kirkland	29.3	36.2	12.9	10.3	5.7	3.6
Kenmore	32.5	33.7	14.3	9.1	5.3	3.2
Lake Forest Park	29.9	38.1	15.0	7.2	5.0	3.3
Maple Valley	29.2	35.2	10.9	11.0	7.2	3.5
Medina	12.0	45.9	6.6	24.1	5.7	4.0
Mercer Island	16.9	46.8	9.6	15.6	5.1	4.3
Newcastle	26.1	37.4	10.2	13.0	7.3	3.9
Normandy Park	24.5	38.9	10.5	13.2	7.0	4.5
North Bend	32.5	31.4	11.9	11.4	5.5	4.3
Redmond	36.8	32.7	12.5	8.6	4.5	2.7
Renton	35.5	32.5	11.2	10.9	5.0	2.3
Sammamish	24.3	42.0	10.2	12.2	6.1	3.5
Seattle	37.1	28.6	19.5	6.1	4.7	2.7
SeaTac	38.3	29.6	9.8	12.0	5.0	2.1
Shoreline	35.2	31.2	16.4	7.8	4.4	3.2
Snoqualmie	27.1	37.9	12.8	10.1	7.7	2.6
Tukwila	42.7	27.3	11.2	10.4	4.7	1.5
Woodinville	32.5	34.8	10.7	10.3	7.0	2.8
Yarrow Point	9.5	58.0	8.2	16.0	5.6	2.2

Seattle by LD:

LD	Sanders	Biden	Warren	Bloomberg	Buttigieg	Klobuchar
11th LD	50.1	20.0	19.0	5.1	3.0	1.2
32nd LD	34.0	31.0	17.9	7.6	4.9	3.0
34th LD	33.1	30.9	18.9	6.9	5.4	3.2
36th LD	34.8	29.8	19.8	6.4	4.8	3.1
37th LD	40.6	26.1	20.2	6.0	4.0	1.6
43rd LD	41.0	25.6	19.7	5.2	5.0	2.4
46th LD	33.7	32.4	18.6	6.4	4.2	3.3

[GeorgiaModerate]

As promised, I’ve updated my signature and am officially endorsing a Biden/Baldwin ticket.

If, by some suicidally idiotic political decision Biden nominated a corporate Democrat however or a Moderate for VP — I will be voting Green.

You prefer Trump being President in that case? 

[Rookie Yinzer]

Just voted for Biden in Georgia.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Just voted for Biden in Georgia.

I did too, early in the afternoon.  I like the new system with the printed ballots and scanner!

[DINGO Joe]

Biden carried several counties that voted for Dixy Lee Ray in the 1980 Washington primary that she was lost. Perhaps he picked up old conservative Democrats.

While name checking Dixy Lee is a nice touch, it's a little tough to draw any line from 40 yrs ago to here.