2016: Joe Biden the Democratic nominee
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 20, 2024, 01:34:35 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  2016: Joe Biden the Democratic nominee		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2016: Joe Biden the Democratic nominee  (Read 1773 times)
darklordoftech
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,418
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 08, 2020, 06:26:51 PM »
What if Biden was the nominee instead of Hillary?
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,035
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 08, 2020, 06:54:45 PM »
He wins with Hillary's map plus Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida. Arizona and North Carolina are very close and could go either way. Iowa and Ohio are much closer, though Trump still takes both narrowly. Georgia and Texas still swing D, maybe even more so than in real life, though I would still bet on Trump for both.

Democrats take back the Senate by flipping PA, WI, MO (I would assume Biden does better there than Hillary), and maybe one or more of NC, FL and IN, in addition to IL and NH.
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2020, 07:01:56 PM »


318-220 Biden

SCOTUS is 6-3 Liberal for a generation

This is gonna make me sick thinking about this..
Logged
538Electoral
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,691


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2020, 09:05:37 PM »
MI and PA go to him but Trump still wins 270-268.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,703


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 09, 2020, 12:17:21 AM »
Quote from: MillennialModerate on March 08, 2020, 07:01:56 PM


318-220 Biden

SCOTUS is 6-3 Liberal for a generation

This is gonna make me sick thinking about this..

I doubt Kennedy would retire if a Dem was President
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,645
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 09, 2020, 02:56:44 AM »
Biden wins, but not in a landslide.



✓ Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 278 EVs.; 49.6%
Mr. Donald Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN): 260 EVs.; 46.0%
Logged
morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,018
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 09, 2020, 03:15:10 AM »
There's  no doubt he wins, its more of a debate on how much he wins by
Logged
MillennialModerate
MillennialMAModerate
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,016
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 09, 2020, 11:41:54 AM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on March 09, 2020, 12:17:21 AM
Quote from: MillennialModerate on March 08, 2020, 07:01:56 PM


318-220 Biden

SCOTUS is 6-3 Liberal for a generation

This is gonna make me sick thinking about this..

I doubt Kennedy would retire if a Dem was President

Good point, forgot about that
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,817
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 09, 2020, 03:39:24 PM »
Uncle Joe is obviously a stronger candidate than Hillary, so he would have won. I think Arizona wasn't ready to flip in 2016 unless there is a landslide.



✓ Vice President Joseph R. Biden (D-DE)/Mayor Eric Garcetti (D-CA): 323 EV. (50.63%)
Entertainer Donald J. Trump (R-NY)/Governor Michael R. Pence (R-IN): 215 EV. (45.98%)
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,742


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: March 09, 2020, 07:37:33 PM »
Biden takes all Clinton states + Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa.

In the Senate, Dems also take PA, MO, WI, NC, FL, IN, OH, and IA (the latter 2 with better candidates than they had irl).

For Governorships, Dems also win in NH, MO, IN, and VT.

Dems also narrowly take the US House.

Biden wins the NPV by 14 points instead of 2.
Logged
morgankingsley
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,018
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: March 09, 2020, 08:41:49 PM »
Quote from: Contest of Truth: Science Beats Religion on March 09, 2020, 07:37:33 PM
Biden takes all Clinton states + Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona, North Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa.

In the Senate, Dems also take PA, MO, WI, NC, FL, IN, OH, and IA (the latter 2 with better candidates than they had irl).

For Governorships, Dems also win in NH, MO, IN, and VT.

Dems also narrowly take the US House.

Biden wins the NPV by 14 points instead of 2.

I don't think Biden wins that big but I do agree eye wins most if them
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: March 10, 2020, 02:49:41 PM »
Logged
VPH
vivaportugalhabs
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,698
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -0.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: March 29, 2020, 03:43:43 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on March 09, 2020, 02:56:44 AM
Biden wins, but not in a landslide.



✓ Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA): 278 EVs.; 49.6%
Mr. Donald Trump (R-NY)/Governor Mike Pence (R-IN): 260 EVs.; 46.0%
This is the most realistic guess imo
Logged
😥
andjey
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,510
Ukraine
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: March 30, 2020, 09:00:23 AM »

VP Joe Biden (D-DE)/Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) 334 EVs; 50.7% PV
Bus. Donald Trump (R-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (R-IN 204 EVs; 44.9% PV
Logged
Agonized-Statism
Anarcho-Statism
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,816


Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -5.83

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 22, 2020, 01:02:46 AM »


Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) / National Security Advisor Susan Rice (D-DC)
Businessman Donald Trump (R-NY) / Governor Mike Pence (R-IN) ✓
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 26, 2020, 02:08:33 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on March 08, 2020, 06:54:45 PM
He wins with Hillary's map plus Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and Florida. Arizona and North Carolina are very close and could go either way. Iowa and Ohio are much closer, though Trump still takes both narrowly. Georgia and Texas still swing D, maybe even more so than in real life, though I would still bet on Trump for both.

Democrats take back the Senate by flipping PA, WI, MO (I would assume Biden does better there than Hillary), and maybe one or more of NC, FL and IN, in addition to IL and NH.
Seems about right. Arizona and North Carolina, in my opinion, definitely would flip to Joe Biden. Democrats might regain the House of Representatives as well.
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 26, 2020, 02:39:56 PM »
Absolute ceiling for Biden



Biden 413 EV
Trump 125 EV

Absolute Ceiling For Trump:



Trump 329 EV
Biden 209 EV
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.051 seconds with 12 queries.