IL-03
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Poll
Question: Who will win the IL-03 dem primary?
#1
Dan Lipinski
 
#2
Marie Newman
 
#3
Charles Hughes
 
#4
Rush Darwish
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 109

Author Topic: IL-03  (Read 31464 times)
Gracile
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« Reply #75 on: March 17, 2020, 03:59:14 PM »



I think Dan will be fine guys...

Old people are well known for voting earlier than young people.
I mean yeah but usually it isn't this drastic.

These statistics also don’t include a large chunk of pre-election day early vote and vote by mail, which may be more favorable to Newman.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #76 on: March 17, 2020, 04:04:48 PM »

F#cking youngs.  They could have so much voting power now, but the Democratic Party will never move left if they don't show up and throw the cuckgressives out.
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Green Line
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« Reply #77 on: March 17, 2020, 04:12:51 PM »

F#cking youngs.  They could have so much voting power now, but the Democratic Party will never move left if they don't show up and throw the cuckgressives out.

No.  They love Lipinski.  Lots of outside groups from California to DC have tried to buy them off, however.
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Bleach Blonde Bad Built Butch Bodies for Biden
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« Reply #78 on: March 17, 2020, 04:16:00 PM »

F#cking youngs.  They could have so much voting power now, but the Democratic Party will never move left if they don't show up and throw the cuckgressives out.

No.  They love Lipinski.  Lots of outside groups from California to DC have tried to buy them off, however.

Newman voters are going to literally bury Lipinski voters.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #79 on: March 17, 2020, 04:17:16 PM »

F#cking youngs.  They could have so much voting power now, but the Democratic Party will never move left if they don't show up and throw the cuckgressives out.

No.  They love Lipinski.  Lots of outside groups from California to DC have tried to buy them off, however.

Newman voters are going to literally bury Lipinski voters.

Everyone gets buried one day, unless you're cremated.

They can bury me at Holy Sepulchre cemetery.  I want to go in the Mausoleum of the Archangels.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #80 on: March 17, 2020, 04:31:45 PM »

It'll be interesting to see if there is a ticket-split here. I could see a lot of hispanic voters going Sanders-Lipinski and some suburban whites going Biden-Newman
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« Reply #81 on: March 17, 2020, 07:11:27 PM »

Some polling stations are staying open in Cook County until 8.  I don't know which, but it appears to affect some of IL3.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #82 on: March 17, 2020, 07:35:20 PM »

Some polling stations are staying open in Cook County until 8.  I don't know which, but it appears to affect some of IL3.

I suspect they are the mega-precincts open for all city voters where people ended up at after their local precinct lacked the necessary staff. These were the precincts with the long lines (partially because of distancing) shown on twitter/CNN.
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Gracile
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« Reply #83 on: March 17, 2020, 07:42:51 PM »

Very early, but Newman is currently winning the EV in the tiny DuPage part of IL-03 (23 votes to 7 votes or 74.2% to 22.6%)-

https://www.dupageresults.com/IL/DuPage/101646/Web02.245501/#/cid/132
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« Reply #84 on: March 17, 2020, 07:46:17 PM »

Lipinski up by 13 with 2 percent reporting.  Just a few hundred votes tho lolol.
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Gracile
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« Reply #85 on: March 17, 2020, 07:55:42 PM »

Looks like Newman is a little more than 10% behind now. It's too bad we can't tell which part of Cook these results are coming from.
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #86 on: March 17, 2020, 08:02:10 PM »

The Chicago margins don't seem to be enough for Lipinski, no?
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« Reply #87 on: March 17, 2020, 08:03:36 PM »

The Chicago margins don't seem to be enough for Lipinski, no?

Where are you following?  I still only see a few hundred votes Sad
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #88 on: March 17, 2020, 08:06:04 PM »

The Chicago margins don't seem to be enough for Lipinski, no?

Where are you following?  I still only see a few hundred votes Sad

I'm following this spreadsheet. I have visited so many pages tonight I forgot the actual source, but it appears to be somewhat legit.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cctbkNi7xLB12viHAIf_HxiTBoRkm2bm4CFzZglIrcc/edit#gid=0
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #89 on: March 17, 2020, 08:09:11 PM »
« Edited: March 17, 2020, 08:12:55 PM by Oryxslayer »



Reminder that all of this is coming from Chicago/DuPage. none from Rest of Cook or other suburban counties.

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« Reply #90 on: March 17, 2020, 08:10:02 PM »

Sad.  Dan might lose!

Maybe he can run for mayor of Oak Lawn.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #91 on: March 17, 2020, 08:15:07 PM »



More in from Chicago...
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« Reply #92 on: March 17, 2020, 08:15:42 PM »

Very early, but Newman is currently winning the EV in the tiny DuPage part of IL-03 (23 votes to 7 votes or 74.2% to 22.6%)-

https://www.dupageresults.com/IL/DuPage/101646/Web02.245501/#/cid/132

still just early votes.  Total votes for DuPage IL-03 in 2016 were 82 Newman to 53 Lipinski.
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Gracile
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« Reply #93 on: March 17, 2020, 08:18:07 PM »

Sad.  Dan might lose!

Maybe he can run for mayor of Oak Lawn.

I thought Lipinski lived in Western Springs (though given how that area voted last time I doubt they would want him to be their mayor).
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« Reply #94 on: March 17, 2020, 08:18:47 PM »

Sad.  Dan might lose!

Maybe he can run for mayor of Oak Lawn.

I thought Lipinski lived in Western Springs (though given how that area voted last time I doubt they would want him to be their mayor).

He does, but they're too far gone...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #95 on: March 17, 2020, 08:23:07 PM »

2018 results for reference:

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Gracile
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« Reply #96 on: March 17, 2020, 08:23:16 PM »

Newman has taken the lead (47.1%-43.1%) with about half of the non-Chicago Cook County precincts coming in.
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Green Line
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« Reply #97 on: March 17, 2020, 08:23:19 PM »

Yeah, Marie is going to win.  She ran a better campaign this time.  At least we have beautiful Dan for a few more months. Purple heart
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #98 on: March 17, 2020, 08:24:22 PM »

No Daddy Dan nooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #99 on: March 17, 2020, 08:25:25 PM »

Big vote dump for Suburban Cook. Not good for Dan.

Total: Newman 46.5% Lipinski 44.2%

Chicago: Lipinski 50.47% Newman 43.14% 51.23% reporting
Suburban Cook: Newman 47.99% Lipinski 41.38% 57.14% reporting
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