Congressional Primary Results Megathread

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Is that QAnon chick actually going to win?

the one in oregon did so it's not off the table

[Gracile]

Bourdeaux has a big lead in the first GA-07 Dem Primary vote dump, per DDHQ:

Carolyn Bourdeaux 4,513 (56.28%)   
Brenda Romero 1,054 (13.14%)   
Nabilah Islam 871 (10.86%)   
John Eaves 579 (7.22%)   
Rashid Malik 559 (6.97%)   
Zahra Karinshak 443 (5.52%)

0% of precincts reporting (part of Gwinnett County EV)

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Bourdeaux has a big lead in the first GA-07 Dem Primary vote dump, per DDHQ:

Carolyn Bourdeaux 4,513 (56.28%)   
Brenda Romero 1,054 (13.14%)   
Nabilah Islam 871 (10.86%)   
John Eaves 579 (7.22%)   
Rashid Malik 559 (6.97%)   
Zahra Karinshak 443 (5.52%)

0% of precincts reporting (part of Gwinnett County EV)

Karinshak being in last is a surprise

[NOVA Green]

Metro's crawling it's way in now, and it looks like Ossoff will avoid a runoff. Amico is only running okay in her bubble around Columbus.

So silly question as someone who doesn't really follow GA Primaries much....

Why would the assumption be that Ossoff avoids a runoff, where at least on the NYT site, all we really in from Metro ATL is Clayton County (54% with 47/58 precincts reporting), but the initial vote from Cobb County (60% Ossoff) and nothing from Fulton, Gwinnett, DeKalb, etc.....

[Non Swing Voter]

I don't understand Ossoff's appeal...

[Roronoa D. Law]

Metro's crawling it's way in now, and it looks like Ossoff will avoid a runoff. Amico is only running okay in her bubble around Columbus.

So silly question as someone who doesn't really follow GA Primaries much....

Why would the assumption be that Ossoff avoids a runoff, where at least on the NYT site, all we really in from Metro ATL is Clayton County (54% with 47/58 precincts reporting), but the initial vote from Cobb County (60% Ossoff) and nothing from Fulton, Gwinnett, DeKalb, etc.....

Ossoff is from that area and those 3 counties house almost a quarter of the state population which is probably more pronounced in a Democratic primary.

[Oryxslayer]

Metro's crawling it's way in now, and it looks like Ossoff will avoid a runoff. Amico is only running okay in her bubble around Columbus.

So silly question as someone who doesn't really follow GA Primaries much....

Why would the assumption be that Ossoff avoids a runoff, where at least on the NYT site, all we really in from Metro ATL is Clayton County (54% with 47/58 precincts reporting), but the initial vote from Cobb County (60% Ossoff) and nothing from Fulton, Gwinnett, DeKalb, etc.....

Check out DDHQ, they got more. Anyway, the general expectation going in was that Ossoff was going to crush it in the Atlanta metro since he was the major candidate from that region, the white suburbanite was activated for his candidacy, and the Atlanta metro knew his name from all those ads a few years back. Atlanta also dominates the democratic primary vote. So, if Ossoff got like 35-38% outside of the Atlanta Metro vote, and 57% inside the metro, he probably avoids a runoff.

[NOVA Green]

Metro's crawling it's way in now, and it looks like Ossoff will avoid a runoff. Amico is only running okay in her bubble around Columbus.

So silly question as someone who doesn't really follow GA Primaries much....

Why would the assumption be that Ossoff avoids a runoff, where at least on the NYT site, all we really in from Metro ATL is Clayton County (54% with 47/58 precincts reporting), but the initial vote from Cobb County (60% Ossoff) and nothing from Fulton, Gwinnett, DeKalb, etc.....

Of course barely 10 minutes after I post this, we see initial results from Gwinett at 57%, and then a very few prelim precincts reporting from Fulton....

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling GA-6 R for Handel!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling SC-7 D for Watson!

Wraps up SC

[Epaminondas]

I don't understand Ossoff's appeal...

Mostly name familiarity from 2017 among low info voters.
Between his inexperience and poor judgement, he'll get pummelled in 2020.

The upside is that he may draw such an unfavourable contrast to the candidate in the other race that it will concentrate the vote splitters (on Warnock).

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WV-SEN D: Swearingen
WV-GOV D: Salango

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

ND Treasurer R: Beadle

This completes ND

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I don't understand Ossoff's appeal...

Yeah. Tomlinson always seemed like the obvious choice, but I guess Ossoff is better at running for office.

[Oryxslayer]

Might want to retract your call in GA-13, potential runoff incoming.

[NOVA Green]

So NYT is now running slightly ahead of DDHQ on the GA DEM-SEN results:

Ossoff:  188,349 Votes (48.1%)


DDHQ: 187,176    Votes (48.4%)

[ON Progressive]

I won’t say definitively yet, but looks more likely than not Scott will be forced into a runoff. He is way below 50% in Cobb/Douglas, and at 48.2% in Fulton.

Given the history of incumbents in runoffs, I would put him as an underdog if it does happen.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1270569327268442112?s=20

[Horus]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1270569327268442112?s=20

Would be great to see Scott go down.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-1 D will be a RUNOFF between Ring and Griggs

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1270569327268442112?s=20

Would be great to see Scott go down.

You know Scott’s bad when both Horus and I are both rooting for him to go down, presumably for the same reason

[Gracile]

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1270569327268442112?s=20

This one really flew under the radar. It would be interesting to see how Waites does in the runoff (maybe Waites could benefit from progressive groups pouring money here).

[Zaybay]

GA runoffs are interesting, in that they usually result in blowouts for the challenger or the incumbent.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA-9 R will be a RUNOFF between Gurtler and Clyde

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling GA-7 R for McCormick!