Congressional Primary Results Megathread

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Terry Neese
10,754 51.0%
Stephanie Bice 10,332 49.0%

54% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Terry Neese
11,626 51.1%
Stephanie Bice 11,110 48.9

65% in

Most of the remaining vote is in OKC where Bice is winning. Still anyone's game

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Terry Neese 12,582 50.6%
Stephanie Bice 12,277 49.4%

75% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Stephanie Bice
13,768
50.0%
Terry Neese
13,762
50.0%

79% in. Rurals are very close to done, Bice should have this

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Terry Neese
14,606
50.1%
Stephanie Bice
14,565
49.9%

83% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

YOUR NEXT CONGRESSWOMAN, STEPHANIE BICE!

Stephanie Bice
15,725
50.3%
Terry Neese 15,524
49.7%

Projected with 86% in, including all rural vote being counted

[Calthrina950]

YOUR NEXT CONGRESSWOMAN, STEPHANIE BICE!

Stephanie Bice
15,725
50.3%
Terry Neese 15,524
49.7%

Projected with 86% in, including all rural vote being counted

This is a very premature declaration on your part. Horn's chances are much better than what she's been given credit for, especially since Biden, according to the latest polls, is leading in this district. Bice obviously can win, and it will be a competitive race, but Horn is not DOA as you are treating her; trends within the district could work in her favor.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

YOUR NEXT CONGRESSWOMAN, STEPHANIE BICE!

Stephanie Bice
15,725
50.3%
Terry Neese 15,524
49.7%

Projected with 86% in, including all rural vote being counted

This is a very premature declaration on your part. Horn's chances are much better than what she's been given credit for, especially since Biden, according to the latest polls, is leading in this district. Bice obviously can win, and it will be a competitive race, but Horn is not DOA as you are treating her; trends within the district could work in her favor.

The race is tilt R/tossup with Bice..

If Neese had won the runoff, I would have had no qualms moving the district to Lean D.

[Calthrina950]

YOUR NEXT CONGRESSWOMAN, STEPHANIE BICE!

Stephanie Bice
15,725
50.3%
Terry Neese 15,524
49.7%

Projected with 86% in, including all rural vote being counted

This is a very premature declaration on your part. Horn's chances are much better than what she's been given credit for, especially since Biden, according to the latest polls, is leading in this district. Bice obviously can win, and it will be a competitive race, but Horn is not DOA as you are treating her; trends within the district could work in her favor.

The race is tilt R/tossup with Bice..

If Neese had won the runoff, I would have had no qualms moving the district to Lean D.

This is my rating for it as well, and I've stated previously that Bice is a strong candidate. But the recent polls we've gotten from this district, indicating that Biden is in the lead and that Trump is unpopular here, demonstrates that it's not an automatic Republican pickup.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final:

Stephanie Bice 27,396 52.9%
Terry Neese 24,366 47.1%

[Roll Roons]

Final:

Stephanie Bice 27,396 52.9%
Terry Neese 24,366 47.1%

Not a terrible result. Hopefully Bice's fundraising picks up now that she's the nominee.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WI-4 R: Rogers

There are now finally no remaining uncalled primaries!

[Lognog]

WI-4 R: Rogers

There are now finally no remaining uncalled primaries!

*Massachusetts enters the chat*

[The Arizonan]

YOUR NEXT CONGRESSWOMAN, STEPHANIE BICE!

Stephanie Bice
15,725
50.3%
Terry Neese 15,524
49.7%

Projected with 86% in, including all rural vote being counted

Why do Atlas users keep making predictions that could turn out to be wrong?

Kendra Horn still has a real shot of winning.

EDIT: There isn't anything inherently wrong with making predictions on these forums. Just don't state them like they are absolutely going to happen.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WI-4 R: Rogers

There are now finally no remaining uncalled primaries!

*Massachusetts enters the chat*

Was referring to past states of course

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tonight: MA: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/09/01/us/elections/results-massachusetts-primary-elections.html?action=click&module=ELEX_results&pgtype=Interactive&region=Navigation

Polls close at 8 ET

[Gracile]

Very early MA-01 returns per NYT:

Richard Neal 1,016 (65.8%)   
Alex Morse 529 (34.2%)

The bulk of this is coming out of Springfield.

[n1240]

Only a couple precincts from Holyoke but Neal is up, looking pretty poor for Morse but it's very early.

[W]

Morse losing Holyoke at the moment on NYT.

[Nyvin]

Mermell has taken the lead with the latest update, but still way too close for comfort.

I'd rather Kennedy just stayed in his seat,  this is too stressful :-(

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/AndrewFiggy/status/1300947154064859136

[n1240]

Mermell has taken the lead with the latest update, but still way too close for comfort.

I'd rather Kennedy just stayed in his seat,  this is too stressful :-(

Mermell's lead is buoyed by Brookline where she will definitely do very well and Auchincloss very poorly. However Mermell and Auchincloss will run pretty similarly to each other in Newton, but everything outside of these towns are terrible for Mermell, which make up around 70% of the district.

[SnowLabrador]

Mermell has taken the lead with the latest update, but still way too close for comfort.

I'd rather Kennedy just stayed in his seat,  this is too stressful :-(

Mermell's lead is buoyed by Brookline where she will definitely do very well and Auchincloss very poorly. However Mermell and Auchincloss will run pretty similarly to each other in Newton, but everything outside of these towns are terrible for Mermell, which make up around 70% of the district.

I'll be pretty ashamed to have Auchincloss as my Congressman. Hopefully he'd lose a 2022 primary, but I doubt it.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling MA-6 D for Moulton!

[Nyvin]

Mermell back in the lead on DDHQ!