Super Tuesday Results Thread

[Badger]

Pretty interesting stratification by income there, especially when you take out Sanders. The very richest areas for Bloomberg, the also-rich-but-slightly-less-so areas for Biden, the rich-but-like-to-pretend-they-aren't-rich areas for Warren, and then the not-rich areas also Biden (Biden then strongest in the poorest areas).

Also interesting Bernie won Hunters Point, which is the primary black neighborhood in SF.

EDIT: what the heck is that Bloomberg precinct near Hunters Point?

[NOVA Green]

San Francisco Co... CA

We have actually had two post Election Night updates:
 snip

Here was an initial map I made before the subsequent ballots, a map which I intend to update later on.

That's an extremely interesting map, although what do you mean by early results? 

Is it the ED number, the 3/4 Update, or the 3/5 Update???

Looking at the map it once again appears the Bernie is heading to a Big Win in the Mission District, which is THE historically Latino district in the City (Especially "Inner Mission").

Warren's numbers in the Castro/Noe Valley area are not particularly surprising, and depending upon when these ballots are cast, since SF numbers based upon returns by day, appear to indicate a late "Surge" within the City...

Seeing Bernie with an initial EV lead in Hunter's Point, Bayview, and Candlestick Point is very interesting, especially since these are some the Blackest precincts in SF...

We do have a few have some decent % Black Precincts left around the Tenderloin district, although I can't tell off-hand from the map if these overlap with some of the Biden Precincts....

I am a bit surprised by the Sanders leads in heavily Asian-American (Mainly Chinese-American Community) in the Sunset District and parts of SW and South SF County....

I do seem to call that patch of Biden Blue on the map, as you head up towards the Marina District being a bit more Bernie vs HRC in '16.

The SoMa District blew my mind, when I was down in SF in '12 since these were giant high-rise apartments that came out of nowhere from the last time I had been to the City...

It's interesting to see this as Bernie Country, but at the same time when I was living down in South Bay, SF was "exporting Tech Workers to South Bay" and had gotten zoning exemptions to create more "affordable housing" where 550 sf or less was now considered "habitable", and the reality is that the City was becoming much cheaper than South Bay...

[NOVA Green]

Pretty interesting stratification by income there, especially when you take out Sanders. The very richest areas for Bloomberg, the also-rich-but-slightly-less-so areas for Biden, the rich-but-like-to-pretend-they-aren't-rich areas for Warren, and then the not-rich areas also Biden (Biden then strongest in the poorest areas).

Also interesting Bernie won Hunters Point, which is the primary black neighborhood in SF.

Well    Oryxslayer hasn't yet commented upon which precinct updates comprise the map  (ED... 3/4 or 3/5)....

It's also important to note that there is a large Latino Population floating around these historically working-class Black Neighborhoods that helped support the War effort against the NAZIs and Fascists in WW II, building and repairing the Ships, that is now facing massive amounts of environmental contamination from the Heavy Industry during the War  (Environmental Racism)...

Disposable Heroes of hypocrisy  (Hip-Hop Band from the Bay Area in the late'80s/early '90s Fact Checked Hunters Point...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Disposable_Heroes_of_Hiphoprisy

[Oryxslayer]

SNIP

I'm originally from SF, so I made this map on midday Wednesday for the election data community on twitter. So by early data I mean what was available at that time.

One thing that I noticed a lot, particularly in those Hunter's point and Marina precincts was a large Biden/Bloomberg split. Essentially the early vote matched what we saw in polls early and then confirmed on Super Tuesday - Bloomberg was trying to replace Biden when it came to coalitions and failed. Looking at the Progressive side of things one can really see where all the youth are moving in. The older, established Progressives are around H-A and the Castro, these were stronger for Warren. The newer youth movement  around Valencia, the Dogpatch, SoMA, Geary... they all went to Bernie by good margins. Warren still was number 2 though. This is also seen in the SF State precinct, a pocket of Warren surrounded by Biden on map 2.

[Grassroots]

Can you guys send precinct level maps from other primaries and states?

[n1240]

Current California delegate count:

Sanders 218
Biden 165
Bloomberg 22
Warren 8
Buttigieg 1

edit: could be Sanders 219 Bloomberg 21 but California SOS doesn't seem to have new SF results yet

[Sbane]

It's embarrassing how long it takes for California to count the vote. Larger countries count faster than this it really is unacceptable how slow this.

I don't have any issues with VBM and love the election system in that sense in California. It is absolutely ridiculous though that they can't count all the votes by the end of this weekend. All the votes received or cast on election day should already be counted. I understand having to wait for ballots that are postmarked by election day, but the ballots they already have should have been counted by yesterday.

[BlueSwan]

Before one of the mods swooped in and deleted all of my posts the other morning because my post count was lower than most, I tried to address one of the Biden posters calling Sanders supporters conspiracy theorists for suggesting an organized effort to get Pete and Klob to drop out and for they and Beto to endorse.

I stated that it had been reported on by multiple outlets that it did happen and that Obama spearheaded the effort.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/looking-obama-s-hidden-hand-candidate-coalescing-around-biden-n1147471

So it wasn't a conspiracy theory, Creepy Joes... just a conspiracy.

Eh...if you had paid attention I also wrote that IF infact Obama had a hand in persuading Pete, Amy and Beto to endorse Biden, then there was nothing nefarious about that. That doesn't make it a "conspiracy". No cheating is going on whatsoever. Obama or anybody else can only try to persuade these candidates to endorse Joe, they can't force them. And of course the voters are still the ones deciding. Bernie supporters have a hard time accepting the fact that the real problem here is that you can't win a primary with 25-30% support unless your opponents are dividing the field. It has always been clear that the "moderate" candidates had larger overall support than the "leftist" candidates and the thing that allowed Bernie Sanders to be the frontrunner was the divided field.

[n1240]

Noticed a pretty sharp shift in the results from the first run to the current results in Denver.

How the vote shares changed from the first round, to the last run on election night, to the first post election day run, to the current results (second post election day run)

Sanders: 41.53% -> 39.63% -> 37.88% -> 38.75%
Biden: 12.35% -> 16.08% -> 21.61% -> 22.77%
Warren: 19.90% -> 20.62% -> 21.38% -> 20.76%
Bloomberg: 24.34% -> 21.92% -> 17.74% -> 16.37%

Not sure how much vote is left though, seems like turnout is very high currently, with 55.7% of eligible voters in Denver voting in the primary.

The fact that Buttigieg and Klobuchar votes are counted as undervotes hurt Sanders quite a bit in terms of delegate math, despite winning the state by double digits he may only be able to rack up as low as a 5 delegate margin of the state's 67, as Warren and Bloomberg are able to reach viability in areas where they may not have if the Buttigieg and Klobuchar vote were taken into consideration for viability calculation.

[NOVA Green]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (70-27 Obama)
2016 GE: (73-21 HRC)

2016 DEM PRIM: (277.5k DEM PRIM Voters)

(57%-42% HRC vs Sanders)

2020 DEM PRIM: Election Night (153.5k Votes)

Bernie:               49,818  Votes  (32.4%)
Biden:                30,916   Votes (20.1%)
Bloomberg:         27,243   Votes (17.7%)
Warren:              18,261   Votes  (11.9%)
Pete:                  11,477   Votes  (7.5%)
Amy:                   7,223    Votes   (4.7%)
Others:                8,594     Votes  (5.6%)

2020 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 3/4 UPDATE DEM PRIM VOTES (162.2k)   +8.7k Votes

Bernie:               51,786   Votes     (31.9%)      + 1,968 Votes (-0.5%)
Biden:                33,405   Votes     (20.6%)      + 2,489 Votes (+0.5%)
Bloomberg:         28,721  Votes     (17.7%)       + 1,478‬ Votes (+ 0.0%)
Warren:              19,745   Votes    (12.2%)       + 1,484 Votes (+0.3%)
Pete:                  12,005   Votes    ( 7.4%)        +   528  Votes (-0.1%)
Amy:                  7,644     Votes   ( 4.7%)         +  421 Votes   (+ 0.0%)
Others:               8,873     Votes   ( 5.6%)         +  279 Votes  (+ 0.0%)

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/5 Update  (177.9k Votes)        +38.5k votes from ED

Bernie:               56,392    Votes  (31.7%)     -0.5% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Biden:                38,166    Votes  (21.5%)     +1.4% from ED     +0.9% from 3/4
Bloomberg:         31,052    Votes  (17.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Warren:              22,033    Votes   (12.4%)    +0.5% from ED     +0.2% from 3/4
Pete:                  12,693    Votes   ( 7.1%)      -0.4% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4
Amy:                   8,184    Votes   ( 4.7%)     +0.0% from ED     +0.0% from 3/4
Others:                9,350   Votes    ( 5.3%)      -0.3% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4

So again it should be disturbing for anybody but Bernie to see these EV numbers (although granted we are much, much lower than the '16 DEM PRIM turnout in not only the largest POP Center in the Bay, but also additionally a County which is Majority-Minority Asian-American (34.4%, Anglo 33.2%, Latino 26.0%)....

Maybe these numbers will shift a bit later, and there are still tons of votes out there (Which appears to be the case, the key question is where the votes out from, and which ways are the winds blowing.... Provisional Ballots will likely be a HUGE deal within San Jose, but it's starting to look like a massive Bernie blow-out within the Bay Area (One of his worst areas in Cali way back in '16)...

Time will tell...

[BlueSwan]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (53-45 Obama)
2016 GE: (56-37 HRC)

2016 DEM PRIM: (277.5k DEM PRIM Voters)

(57%-42% HRC vs Sanders)

2020 DEM PRIM: Election Night (153.5k Votes)

Bernie:               49,818  Votes  (32.4%)
Biden:                30,916   Votes (20.1%)
Bloomberg:         27,243   Votes (17.7%)
Warren:              18,261   Votes  (11.9%)
Pete:                  11,477   Votes  (7.5%)
Amy:                   7,223    Votes   (4.7%)
Others:                8,594     Votes  (5.6%)

2020 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 3/4 UPDATE DEM PRIM VOTES (162.2k)   +8.7k Votes

Bernie:               51,786   Votes     (31.9%)      + 1,968 Votes (-0.5%)
Biden:                33,405   Votes     (20.6%)      + 2,489 Votes (+0.5%)
Bloomberg:         28,721  Votes     (17.7%)       + 1,478‬ Votes (+ 0.0%)
Warren:              19,745   Votes    (12.2%)       + 1,484 Votes (+0.3%)
Pete:                  12,005   Votes    ( 7.4%)        +   528  Votes (-0.1%)
Amy:                  7,644     Votes   ( 4.7%)         +  421 Votes   (+ 0.0%)
Others:               8,873     Votes   ( 5.6%)         +  279 Votes  (+ 0.0%)

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/5 Update  (177.9k Votes)        +38.5k votes from ED

Bernie:               56,392    Votes  (31.7%)     -0.5% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Biden:                38,166    Votes  (21.5%)     +1.4% from ED     +0.9% from 3/4
Bloomberg:         31,052    Votes  (17.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Warren:              22,033    Votes   (12.4%)    +0.5% from ED     +0.2% from 3/4
Pete:                  12,693    Votes   ( 7.1%)      -0.4% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4
Amy:                   8,184    Votes   ( 4.7%)     +0.0% from ED     +0.0% from 3/4
Others:                9,350   Votes    ( 5.3%)      -0.3% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4

So again it should be disturbing for anybody but Bernie to see these EV numbers (although granted we are much, much lower than the '16 DEM PRIM turnout in not only the largest POP Center in the Bay, but also additionally a County which is Majority-Minority Asian-American (34.4%, Anglo 33.2%, Latino 26.0%)....

Maybe these numbers will shift a bit later, and there are still tons of votes out there (Which appears to be the case, the key question is where the votes out from, and which ways are the winds blowing.... Provisional Ballots will likely be a HUGE deal within San Jose, but it's starting to look like a massive Bernie blow-out within the Bay Area (One of his worst areas in Cali way back in '16)...

Time will tell...

It's funny that online leftist David Pakman was super pessimistic on election night super tuesday and stated that the 7 points Bernie was leading with in California would probably not hold. Now it is starting to look more like Bernie was by something like 9 points. Oh well, I just wish they'd finish counting these goddamn votes already.

[NOVA Green]

California Vote Update--- Los Angeles County

TOTAL LA CO REG VOTERS 2020:   5,546,785

2016: 1,435k TOTAL DEM PRIM VOTERS

HRC:        780,013 Votes (54.4%)
Bernie:     639,886 Votes (44.6%)


2020 LA COUNTY ELECTION NIGHT VOTES:

Bernie:               291,984   Votes  (37.8%)
Biden:                205,550   Votes  (26.6%)
Bloomberg:          90,559   Votes   (11.7%)
Warren:               93,695   Votes   (12.1%)
Pete:                   31,812   Votes   ( 4.1%)
Amy:                   14,426   Votes   ( 1.9%)
Others:                45,156   Votes   ( 5.8%)

2020 LA COUNTY 3/4/20 Update:


Bernie:                329,108  Votes  (38.2%)       + 37,124 Votes   (+0.4%)
Biden:                 233,020  Votes  (27.0%)       + 27,470 Votes   (+0.4%)
Bloomberg:           97,276   Votes  (11.3%)       + 6,717  Votes   (-0.4%)
Warren:               105,764   Votes  (12.3%)      + 12,069 Votes   (+0.2%)
Pete:                   32,903   Votes   ( 3.8%)        +  1,091 Votes   (-0.3%)
Amy:                   14,904  Votes    (1.7%)         +    478 Votes    (-0.2%)
Others:                48,661 Votes     (5.7%)         + 3,505 Votes    (-0.1%)

2020 LA COUNTY 3/5/20 Update:    (890,383 TOT DEM PRIM VOTES)

Bernie:                337,846  Votes  (37.9%)         -0.3% ED Votes
Biden:                 239,851   Votes  (26.9%)        -0.1% ED VOTES
Bloomberg:          101.544    Votes  (11.4%)      +0.1% ED Votes
Warren:               110,270    Votes  (12.4%)      +0.3% ED Votes
Pete:                   34,998      Votes  (3.9%)        -0.2% ED Votes
Amy:                   15,754      Votes  (1.8%)        -0.1% ED Votes
Others:                50,120      Votes  (5.6%)        -0.2% ED Votes

So if I had to hazard a guess once again we are seeing a California Turnout electorate based upon samples that we have seen from other Counties when it comes to the "early-early votes", the "early Votes", and lack or possible composition of "same day in person ED Voters".... Meanwhile there are likely at least a Million of Provos floating around Statewide in the mixture of which a certain % might be valid, and many voters who are legit voters, but it is looking that not only is LA County Bernie Country, but that as the Votes keep rolling in, we might likely see some landslides in certain CD's within the County....

[NOVA Green]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (53-45 Obama)
2016 GE: (56-37 HRC)

2016 DEM PRIM: (277.5k DEM PRIM Voters)

(57%-42% HRC vs Sanders)

2020 DEM PRIM: Election Night (153.5k Votes)

Bernie:               49,818  Votes  (32.4%)
Biden:                30,916   Votes (20.1%)
Bloomberg:         27,243   Votes (17.7%)
Warren:              18,261   Votes  (11.9%)
Pete:                  11,477   Votes  (7.5%)
Amy:                   7,223    Votes   (4.7%)
Others:                8,594     Votes  (5.6%)

2020 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 3/4 UPDATE DEM PRIM VOTES (162.2k)   +8.7k Votes

Bernie:               51,786   Votes     (31.9%)      + 1,968 Votes (-0.5%)
Biden:                33,405   Votes     (20.6%)      + 2,489 Votes (+0.5%)
Bloomberg:         28,721  Votes     (17.7%)       + 1,478‬ Votes (+ 0.0%)
Warren:              19,745   Votes    (12.2%)       + 1,484 Votes (+0.3%)
Pete:                  12,005   Votes    ( 7.4%)        +   528  Votes (-0.1%)
Amy:                  7,644     Votes   ( 4.7%)         +  421 Votes   (+ 0.0%)
Others:               8,873     Votes   ( 5.6%)         +  279 Votes  (+ 0.0%)

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/5 Update  (177.9k Votes)        +38.5k votes from ED

Bernie:               56,392    Votes  (31.7%)     -0.5% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Biden:                38,166    Votes  (21.5%)     +1.4% from ED     +0.9% from 3/4
Bloomberg:         31,052    Votes  (17.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Warren:              22,033    Votes   (12.4%)    +0.5% from ED     +0.2% from 3/4
Pete:                  12,693    Votes   ( 7.1%)      -0.4% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4
Amy:                   8,184    Votes   ( 4.7%)     +0.0% from ED     +0.0% from 3/4
Others:                9,350   Votes    ( 5.3%)      -0.3% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4

So again it should be disturbing for anybody but Bernie to see these EV numbers (although granted we are much, much lower than the '16 DEM PRIM turnout in not only the largest POP Center in the Bay, but also additionally a County which is Majority-Minority Asian-American (34.4%, Anglo 33.2%, Latino 26.0%)....

Maybe these numbers will shift a bit later, and there are still tons of votes out there (Which appears to be the case, the key question is where the votes out from, and which ways are the winds blowing.... Provisional Ballots will likely be a HUGE deal within San Jose, but it's starting to look like a massive Bernie blow-out within the Bay Area (One of his worst areas in Cali way back in '16)...

Time will tell...

It's funny that online leftist David Pakman was super pessimistic on election night super tuesday and stated that the 7 points Bernie was leading with in California would probably not hold. Now it is starting to look more like Bernie was by something like 9 points. Oh well, I just wish they'd finish counting these goddamn votes already.

I'm assuming this is a joke???

Santa Clara County +17% HRC in '16 is now +10% Bernie, with only a relatively small number of the vote being counted compared the likely Total Vote outstanding?

Plus the votes likely outstanding by the time the final results roll in within Santa Clara County will likely significantly increase Sanders margins within the largest County within the Bay Area?

We haven't even seen anything other than ED numbers from Alameda County within East Bay (Which was Bernie's best County within the Bay Area overall)....

I like your sense of humor sir, but considering that the Bay Area was Sander's worst performing areas in '16 against HRC, I'm not quite seeing where your "9%" Math comes from....

Maybe you are observing early returns from SoCal that present a different narrative?

[BlueSwan]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (53-45 Obama)
2016 GE: (56-37 HRC)

2016 DEM PRIM: (277.5k DEM PRIM Voters)

(57%-42% HRC vs Sanders)

2020 DEM PRIM: Election Night (153.5k Votes)

Bernie:               49,818  Votes  (32.4%)
Biden:                30,916   Votes (20.1%)
Bloomberg:         27,243   Votes (17.7%)
Warren:              18,261   Votes  (11.9%)
Pete:                  11,477   Votes  (7.5%)
Amy:                   7,223    Votes   (4.7%)
Others:                8,594     Votes  (5.6%)

2020 SANTA CLARA COUNTY 3/4 UPDATE DEM PRIM VOTES (162.2k)   +8.7k Votes

Bernie:               51,786   Votes     (31.9%)      + 1,968 Votes (-0.5%)
Biden:                33,405   Votes     (20.6%)      + 2,489 Votes (+0.5%)
Bloomberg:         28,721  Votes     (17.7%)       + 1,478‬ Votes (+ 0.0%)
Warren:              19,745   Votes    (12.2%)       + 1,484 Votes (+0.3%)
Pete:                  12,005   Votes    ( 7.4%)        +   528  Votes (-0.1%)
Amy:                  7,644     Votes   ( 4.7%)         +  421 Votes   (+ 0.0%)
Others:               8,873     Votes   ( 5.6%)         +  279 Votes  (+ 0.0%)

2020 DEM PRIM: 3/5 Update  (177.9k Votes)        +38.5k votes from ED

Bernie:               56,392    Votes  (31.7%)     -0.5% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Biden:                38,166    Votes  (21.5%)     +1.4% from ED     +0.9% from 3/4
Bloomberg:         31,052    Votes  (17.5%)     -0.2% from ED      -0.2% from 3/4
Warren:              22,033    Votes   (12.4%)    +0.5% from ED     +0.2% from 3/4
Pete:                  12,693    Votes   ( 7.1%)      -0.4% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4
Amy:                   8,184    Votes   ( 4.7%)     +0.0% from ED     +0.0% from 3/4
Others:                9,350   Votes    ( 5.3%)      -0.3% from ED     -0.3% from 3/4

So again it should be disturbing for anybody but Bernie to see these EV numbers (although granted we are much, much lower than the '16 DEM PRIM turnout in not only the largest POP Center in the Bay, but also additionally a County which is Majority-Minority Asian-American (34.4%, Anglo 33.2%, Latino 26.0%)....

Maybe these numbers will shift a bit later, and there are still tons of votes out there (Which appears to be the case, the key question is where the votes out from, and which ways are the winds blowing.... Provisional Ballots will likely be a HUGE deal within San Jose, but it's starting to look like a massive Bernie blow-out within the Bay Area (One of his worst areas in Cali way back in '16)...

Time will tell...

It's funny that online leftist David Pakman was super pessimistic on election night super tuesday and stated that the 7 points Bernie was leading with in California would probably not hold. Now it is starting to look more like Bernie was by something like 9 points. Oh well, I just wish they'd finish counting these goddamn votes already.

I'm assuming this is a joke???

Santa Clara County +17% HRC in '16 is now +10% Bernie, with only a relatively small number of the vote being counted compared the likely Total Vote outstanding?

Plus the votes likely outstanding by the time the final results roll in within Santa Clara County will likely significantly increase Sanders margins within the largest County within the Bay Area?

We haven't even seen anything other than ED numbers from Alameda County within East Bay (Which was Bernie's best County within the Bay Area overall)....

I like your sense of humor sir, but considering that the Bay Area was Sander's worst performing areas in '16 against HRC, I'm not quite seeing where your "9%" Math comes from....

Maybe you are observing early returns from SoCal that present a different narrative?

I’m talking about California as a whole. Aren’t we assuming at this point that Bernie wins by something like 9 points? Enlighten me if I’m wrong, I haven’t really been following the Cali count.

[n1240]

Current delegate count in North Carolina per AP is Biden 66 Sanders 36 Bloomberg 2 Warren 2 with 4 unallocated - I've taken the time to look through the districts where delegates are unallocated: 3, 8,9, and 11 to try and determine where the remaining delegates would be allocated.

District 3: Uncertainty with respect to Bloomberg being viability - I calculate him at 15.5% here
District 8: Uncertainty with respect to allocating last delegate to Biden/Sanders - I calculate Biden earning 3.53 and Sanders earning 1.47, thus allocating the last delegate to Biden
District 9: Uncertainty with respect to allocating last delegate to Biden/Sanders - I calculate Biden earning 3.56 and Sanders earning 1.44, thus allocating the last delegate to Biden
District 11: Uncertainty with respect to winner and thus winning the last delegate. I found Sanders to be the winner, thus allocating the last delegate to Sanders

A caveat with my calculations are that I'm using an assumption that the early/absentee vote is proportion to the amount of election day vote in a county contained to a district in the event of a county split, which may provide some uncertainty in my calculations.

My estimate for North Carolina delegates thus are Biden 68 Sanders 37 Bloomberg 3 Warren 2.

[n1240]

The AP seems to be allocating one delegate to Bloomberg in Alabama, but I'm struggling to figure out what CD he might be viable in. He only reaches 15% in a few counties and doesn't really come close to 15% in the major population centers.

[wbrocks67]

California really going at a snails pace adding anything since Tuesday...

[Sbane]

San Francisco Co... CA

We have actually had two post Election Night updates:
 snip

Here was an initial map I made before the subsequent ballots, a map which I intend to update later on.

That's an extremely interesting map, although what do you mean by early results? 

Is it the ED number, the 3/4 Update, or the 3/5 Update???

Looking at the map it once again appears the Bernie is heading to a Big Win in the Mission District, which is THE historically Latino district in the City (Especially "Inner Mission").

Warren's numbers in the Castro/Noe Valley area are not particularly surprising, and depending upon when these ballots are cast, since SF numbers based upon returns by day, appear to indicate a late "Surge" within the City...

Seeing Bernie with an initial EV lead in Hunter's Point, Bayview, and Candlestick Point is very interesting, especially since these are some the Blackest precincts in SF...

We do have a few have some decent % Black Precincts left around the Tenderloin district, although I can't tell off-hand from the map if these overlap with some of the Biden Precincts....

I am a bit surprised by the Sanders leads in heavily Asian-American (Mainly Chinese-American Community) in the Sunset District and parts of SW and South SF County....

I do seem to call that patch of Biden Blue on the map, as you head up towards the Marina District being a bit more Bernie vs HRC in '16.

The SoMa District blew my mind, when I was down in SF in '12 since these were giant high-rise apartments that came out of nowhere from the last time I had been to the City...

It's interesting to see this as Bernie Country, but at the same time when I was living down in South Bay, SF was "exporting Tech Workers to South Bay" and had gotten zoning exemptions to create more "affordable housing" where 550 sf or less was now considered "habitable", and the reality is that the City was becoming much cheaper than South Bay...

Thank you Oryx for making these maps. I like to see your maps on twitter as well!

Hayes Valley and the Tenderloin show up better in the second map without the Bernie votes. It is that area just north and northeast of the Warren precincts in HA. It has a strong second preference for Biden as opposed to the precincts a little north of there which are much wealthier and more split between Bloomberg and Biden. Would be interesting to see if areas like the Tenderloin, Hayes Valley and Bayview-Hunters Point flip to Biden as the rest of the vote comes in. 

[FrancoAgo]

Someones can clear me the results in Alabama?
for green papers we have 41 delegate for Biden, 7 for Sanders and 1 for Bloomberg
so i've 2 questions
1) why Bloomberg get one delegate, he's under the 15%
2) why there are 3 available delegates?

[Landslide Lyndon]

I want to thank NOVA, Oryxslayer, and n1240 for their amazing work with results (especially the California ones) and maps.

[n1240]

I want to thank NOVA, Oryxslayer, and n1240 for their amazing work with results (especially the California ones) and maps.

Thanks although I don't think I've been doing comparatively as much as them haha, those two definitely deserve lots of credit.

[n1240]

Someones can clear me the results in Alabama?
for green papers we have 41 delegate for Biden, 7 for Sanders and 1 for Bloomberg
so i've 2 questions
1) why Bloomberg get one delegate, he's under the 15%
2) why there are 3 available delegates?

Mentioned earlier that I couldn't figure out why Bloomberg had any delegates, but I was tired and missed his strength in AL-07. It seems like there is a pretty good chance that Bloomberg is viable in AL-07 as he reaches 18.9% in the non-split counties in the district. Question is how well is he doing in the Montgomery/Jefferson/Tuscaloosa portions of the district to determine whether he'd gain 1 delegate or 2 delegates from the district, but due to a lack of available precinct-level or district data provided by the state, there is some uncertainty in delegate projections in the event of county splits, which there are a decent amount of in Alabama.

[Holmes]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (53-45 Obama)
2016 GE: (56-37 HRC)

What? No. 2012 was 69-27 Obama and 2016 was 73-21 Clinton in Santa Clara county.

[Gass3268]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (53-45 Obama)
2016 GE: (56-37 HRC)

What? No. 2012 was 69-27 Obama and 2016 was 73-21 Clinton in Santa Clara county.

Pretty sure those are the primary numbers.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Meanwhile let's hit the South Bay once again, largest POP CENTER within METRO NorCAL....

Santa Clara County:

We have a couple post election Night Updates

951,292   TOT Registered Voters:

2012 GE: (53-45 Obama)
2016 GE: (56-37 HRC)

What? No. 2012 was 69-27 Obama and 2016 was 73-21 Clinton in Santa Clara county.

Pretty sure those are the primary numbers.

It looks like San Diego County