Super Tuesday Results Thread

[GeorgiaModerate]

Twitter is having a meltdown. #BernieOrBust is trending as is #DropOutWarren

As others have pointed out, last night was a great demonstration that the resemblance between Twitter and the real world is quite low.

[iceman]

It's good to note that half of the votes from the MN primary were cast from Hennepin and Ramsey counties. The counties surrounding them seem to have lower turnout.

[Calthrina950]

Loving that Texas map. Rural white backlash.

Sanders won Bexar, Travis and its suburbs, Collin, Denton, Tarrant, and most of the Hispanic counties in South and West Texas; Biden took Dallas, Harris, and most of the rural white counties. Bloomberg managed to get majorities in three counties, Hansford, Roberts, and McMullen. But Sanders lost most of the rural counties against Hillary Clinton as well, so it's not that much of a surprise.

You should look at an updated map.  Tarrant and Collin voted Biden

My mistake. I was looking at the map on Atlas, which apparently hasn't been updated yet. That doesn't make much of a difference, though, with the overall contours of the race.

But it does because people vote not counties and there are way way more people in Tarrant and Collin than these rural counties you speak of.

I was talking about the geographical and demographical context of the race, not about votes. And Tarrant and Collin went for Hillary Clinton last time as well, so Biden's victories in those two counties do not surprise me.

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/Sobie2020/status/1235223317793120257

[Inmate Trump]

Twitter is having a meltdown. #BernieOrBust is trending as is #DropOutWarren

As others have pointed out, last night was a great demonstration that the resemblance between Twitter and the real world is quite low.

Same with reddit.

These people don’t represent the nation.  And besides, they had their chance.  Young people didn’t get out and vote.

[CellarDoor]

Twitter is having a meltdown. #BernieOrBust is trending as is #DropOutWarren

As others have pointed out, last night was a great demonstration that the resemblance between Twitter and the real world is quite low.

I think people forget that Twitter is not the same for all people.  We all choose who we follow and our Twitter feeds become echo chambers.

Twitter itself is not having a meltdown.  Some folks' twitter feeds include people having meltdowns, others don't.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Twitter is having a meltdown. #BernieOrBust is trending as is #DropOutWarren

I am a Warren supporter and think she should drop out. 

But why does anyone think that hostility from online BernieBro trolls will do anything to encourage her to do this?

[HAnnA MArin County]

It's good to note that half of the votes from the MN primary were cast from Hennepin and Ramsey counties. The counties surrounding them seem to have lower turnout.

Don't know if it's already been posted on here or not, but Minnesota already has the results by precinct/congressional districts posted. Not sure if these numbers will change over the next few days, though.

Here are each candidate's best congressional district by percentages in Minnesota:
Buttigieg: MN-07 (1.67%)
Klobuchar: MN-07 (13.13%)
Sanders: MN-05 (38.26%)
Warren: MN-05 (22.37%)
Bloomberg: MN-08 (11.19%)
Biden: MN-03 (45.56%)

Looks like Biden won every congressional district with the exception of MN-05.

..and here are some of the minor other candidates' best districts:
Steyer: MN-07 (0.16%)
Yang: MN-04 (0.33%)
Gabbard: MN-07 (0.51%)

[jaichind]

The results shows that Sanders is struggling to grow beyond his core base despite other candidates dropping out.  This is surprising when compared to the Trump experience in 2016. 

Polls back in 2016 showed that early in the GOP primary process Trump's net approvals with GOP voters were clearly more negative when compared to other candidates and Trump also were behind other key GOP rivals head-to-head in polls.  Yet Trump gained vote share as other GOP candidates dropped out. 

In 2020 Sanders have fairly high favorables with Dem primary voters in polls and are ahead of other key Dem candidates in head-to-head polls.  It is strange that Sanders cannot grow beyond his core 25%-30% base despite other Dem candidates dropping out. 

The only reason I can think of is a) Cruz is also disliked by the GOP Establishment so they never really tried to consolidate support behind Cruz as an alternative and b) In 2020 the desire to defeat Trump is so high in the Dem base that potential Sanders voters shifted to Biden as the consensus choice to end the primary  as early as possible to then focus on Trump.

[Bojack Horseman]

As I watched CNN's coverage of Bloomberg's exit, they went to commercial and of course the first ad was yet another MIKE WILL GET IT DONE ad.

[emailking]

As I watched CNN's coverage of Bloomberg's exit, they went to commercial and of course the first ad was yet another MIKE WILL GET IT DONE ad.

Yeah I saw a Klobuchar add the other day after she had already announced she was withdrawing.

I remember in 2004 I saw a Bush ad on election day after polls had already closed in my state. Didn't see what the point of that was.

[Xing]

I'm sure someone has pointed this out already, but perhaps the highlight of the night for me is Sanders winning Orange County, and by so much. So much for this county flipping back in 2020.

#OrangeCoLovesSocialism

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

The results shows that Sanders is struggling to grow beyond his core base despite other candidates dropping out.  This is surprising when compared to the Trump experience in 2016. 

Polls back in 2016 showed that early in the GOP primary process Trump's net approvals with GOP voters were clearly more negative when compared to other candidates and Trump also were behind other key GOP rivals head-to-head in polls.  Yet Trump gained vote share as other GOP candidates dropped out. 

In 2020 Sanders have fairly high favorables with Dem primary voters in polls and are ahead of other key Dem candidates in head-to-head polls.  It is strange that Sanders cannot grow beyond his core 25%-30% base despite other Dem candidates dropping out. 

The only reason I can think of is a) Cruz is also disliked by the GOP Establishment so they never really tried to consolidate support behind Cruz as an alternative and b) In 2020 the desire to defeat Trump is so high in the Dem base that potential Sanders voters shifted to Biden as the consensus choice to end the primary  as early as possible to then focus on Trump.

I think it's even simpler: people just......like Joe Biden.

[RI]

I'm sure someone has pointed this out already, but perhaps the highlight of the night for me is Sanders winning Orange County, and by so much. So much for this county flipping back in 2020.

#OrangeCoLovesSocialism

I'm very curious to the precinct map in OC, especially how the Vietnamese areas are voting.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Expect Biden to net another 11,000 ish ballots from Dallas county

[wbrocks67]

How often is CA going to update? They haven't pushed an update since this morning

[Calthrina950]

How often is CA going to update? They haven't pushed an update since this morning

California is notorious for how slow it counts it votes, especially compared to other large states like Texas and Florida, which report results much more quickly. It will probably take days before all the votes are in and counted.

[RI]

Fun fact: it looks like Julian Castro (and to a lesser extent Rocky de la Fuente) got a fair number of votes in the Rio Grande Valley.

[Gass3268]

I'm sure someone has pointed this out already, but perhaps the highlight of the night for me is Sanders winning Orange County, and by so much. So much for this county flipping back in 2020.

#OrangeCoLovesSocialism

I imagine he'll still win it, but I'd imagine things might look a bit different once all the votes are in.

[JerryArkansas]

I'm sure someone has pointed this out already, but perhaps the highlight of the night for me is Sanders winning Orange County, and by so much. So much for this county flipping back in 2020.

#OrangeCoLovesSocialism

I imagine he'll still win it, but I'd imagine things might look a bit different once all the votes are in.

He's already close to losing the 48th and 49th to biden right now, and those should both flip within the next two updates.  It looks like its going to be an inverse of what happened in 2016 all over the state. 

[Badger]

Even though I don't like Bernie, this is so frustrating to read. It's our future and we just sit idly by and let others decide for us, and then we complain.

A large portion of the poli sci department at every university is comprised of Twitter leftists who think that the major is just a venue for their bogus "activism" like gender studies is. They are in for a rude awakening. Ironically, they also tend to be some of the most politically uninformed people in the country.

In fairness though, this sort of ignorance or at best superficial knowledge about ongoing elections is pretty common among non-college students as well. Particularly college-age you still aren't going to college.

[n1240]

How often is CA going to update? They haven't pushed an update since this morning

Varies by county, some like to do daily updates in the afternoon/evening (usually the bigger counties), some will only update all their outstanding in one large batch. Usually county websites (again particularly larger counties) will announce reporting schedules. Orange County will post new results at 5 pm PST for example.

[BlueSwan]

Fun fact: it looks like Julian Castro (and to a lesser extent Rocky de la Fuente) got a fair number of votes in the Rio Grande Valley.

Oh sh*t. Imagine being Julian Castro right now. The GOP are probably gonna use his debate attack on Biden in their attempt to character assassinate Uncle Joe now. If they do, Castro could end up as the most hated democrat in the party (maybe outside of Tulsi).

[Gass3268]

How often is CA going to update? They haven't pushed an update since this morning

Varies by county, some like to do daily updates in the afternoon/evening (usually the bigger counties), some will only update all their outstanding in one large batch. Usually county websites (again particularly larger counties) will announce reporting schedules. Orange County will post new results at 5 pm PST for example.

By the end of the week we should have a statewide report of the number of ballots in each county left to county.

[n1240]

How often is CA going to update? They haven't pushed an update since this morning

Varies by county, some like to do daily updates in the afternoon/evening (usually the bigger counties), some will only update all their outstanding in one large batch. Usually county websites (again particularly larger counties) will announce reporting schedules. Orange County will post new results at 5 pm PST for example.

By the end of the week we should have a statewide report of the number of ballots in each county left to county.

In the past they've posted the following day, idk where it is though. Orange county has some 150k VBM to count and an unknown amount of provisionals.