Super Tuesday Results Thread

[Matty]

That m4a number in mass is horrific for Bernie

[Oryxslayer]

Both VA and NC have 60-30ish White/AA divides according to CNN

VA only has 20% identifying as very liberal. NC 24%. NC though has more somewhat liberals, and also 12% saying they are Conservatives - aka the Dixiecrats.

[RI]

That m4a number in mass is horrific for Bernie

Could they be less receptive due to Romneycare?

Both VA and NC have 60-30ish White/AA divides according to CNN

VA only has 20% identifying as very liberal. NC 24%. NC though has more somewhat liberals, and also 12% saying they are Conservatives - Dixiecrats.

NC is a closed primary, so that's not unexpected. Lots of DINOs in west NC.

[Mr. Morden]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/03/politics/super-tuesday-exit-polls/index.html

Black voters made up about a quarter of the electorate in Tuesday's Democratic primaries in both North Carolina and Virginia. That's about on par with the 2016 results in Virginia, and represents a slight drop in the share of black voters in North Carolina compared with 2016.

White voters made up about two-thirds in each state, while Latino voters were roughly 5% in each state.
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The two Super Tuesday states appear significantly more liberal than South Carolina's electorate, according to these preliminary results. A majority of voters in each state described themselves as liberal in the early exit poll. In South Carolina, it was 47%.

North Carolina's Democratic voters were a bit more apt than those in Virginia to describe themselves as conservative: Fewer than 1 in 10 said so in Virginia, while roughly 1 in 8 said so in North Carolina.

[RI]

https://twitter.com/SStanizzi/status/1234968034915373057

A lot of conservatives voting in both states.

[2016]

North Carolina will be the the closer State compared to Virginia. Black Vote in NC appears to be down from '16 when it was 32 %, now it's 27%.

[President Johnson]

I'm most worried about California. If Joe Biden can't win it, I hope he gets into mid or high 20s territory. Bernie can rack up a ton of delegates here, even if he loses Virginia badly. Texas is also closer than it should be.

[Oryxslayer]

Looking ahead to TX:

https://twitter.com/CBS11Andrea/status/1234957020350107648

[Mr. Morden]

https://twitter.com/evanmcmurry/status/1234968292504330241

[Dr. Arch]

https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/03/politics/super-tuesday-exit-polls/index.html

Black voters made up about a quarter of the electorate in Tuesday's Democratic primaries in both North Carolina and Virginia. That's about on par with the 2016 results in Virginia, and represents a slight drop in the share of black voters in North Carolina compared with 2016.

White voters made up about two-thirds in each state, while Latino voters were roughly 5% in each state.
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.
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The two Super Tuesday states appear significantly more liberal than South Carolina's electorate, according to these preliminary results. A majority of voters in each state described themselves as liberal in the early exit poll. In South Carolina, it was 47%.

North Carolina's Democratic voters were a bit more apt than those in Virginia to describe themselves as conservative: Fewer than 1 in 10 said so in Virginia, while roughly 1 in 8 said so in North Carolina.

In other words, mixed signals from exit polls, as always. So, let's wait on results.

I would like to say, however, that this whole transition in the narrative from NV to ST has been surreal. Biden has lost 3/4 states quite decisively, and massively underperformed Clinton in SC. Yet, somehow, he's now an electoral super titan.

[MABA 2020]

https://twitter.com/USPoliticsPoll/status/1234965378738130945

This should narrow, but not a great start for Sanders.

God help us.

I'm starting to get a lot less excited about tonight.

[RI]

https://twitter.com/ManojMate/status/1234968484179673088

https://twitter.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1234968416311742465

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Seems fewer last minute deciders in NC relative to VA:

https://twitter.com/sluggahjells/status/1234964235114942468

Good.

Great,

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

My guess is that there feels like less of a need for M4A in Mass. given the health care laws already in place.

[RI]

Maine seems really good for Sanders so far.

[Matty]

An issue for Bernie is that his best states are later in the night

People watching at home tonight will see biden donwell and May go to bed and miss the sanders surge

[FairBol]

Polls close at 1 am in VA?

Europe time.

You son of a....ya got me! LOL!

[ilikeverin]

I hate the "Beat Trump vs. Agree on Issues" question because it cuts both ways depending on the viewpoint of the respondent

Yeah - people tend to more often say "beat Trump" than "agree on issues", but that gap was smallest in South Carolina. Voters swung to Biden because they believed Sanders did not agree with them on the issues.

[2016]

Accross All States 18 % Hispanic Voters. Might bode well for Sanders.

[Matty]

Accross All States 18 % Hispanic Voters. Might bode well for Sanders.

Does that number include California?

[Eraserhead]

Not looking good for Bloomberg, lol.

[Horsemask]

Maine seems really good for Sanders so far.

Fully expecting a comfortable Sanders win here.

My ballot place was pretty busy. Been busy all day. Good energy!

[RI]

72% support Medicare for All in Maine.

56% support Medicare for All in North Carolina.

72% ME
62% NV
58% NH
57% IA
56% NC
54% MA
52% VA
49% SC

[Mr. Reactionary]

Just voted for Tulsi. Not lying when I say I've had more than 10 Trump voting friends post/text today that they crossed over and voted Biden to stop the Communist. The precinct my dad works at, he's guess >50% voters voted for Biden. On the way to vote I heard a black-themed pro-Biden, anti-Bernie ad. Biden may pull this off afterall.

What was the anti-Bernie angle of the ad?

Black narrator says Trump sucks and Biden can beat him.

Obama trusted Biden to take point on Obamacare. Now he's going to expand it rather than eliminate it like Bernie Sanders.

There were also points about Biden being most electable against Trump and Biden "standing up to the NRA" because he opposes the violence facing the black community ".

[n1240]

The collective Super Tuesday exit makeups don't seem very useful without any sort of solid reference point.