Super Tuesday Results Thread

[n1240]

A word of caution-We will not know the CA margins for a few days after the election. This is not the establishment rigging it, just a ton of mail in ballots.
Also, does anyone know when we get the (American) Samoa caucus results?

More like a few weeks (closer to a couple actually) in California. Harley Rouda for example, who advanced to the general election and won, was in 3rd place on June 16, 11 days after the primary.

[2016]

Vermont & Utah are the only TWO States, who won't have Exit Polling today. Every other State will have.

[Gass3268]

Got done voting here in Arkansas, was able to convince a relative who was for Bloomberg and convinced by the ads to go for Biden instead. 

Good job!

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I don't know what's to get excited this Day. Sanders will lose in a landslide. He will be at least 3 Million behind Biden in the Popular Vote and 150 Delegates behind.

Yeah. That's exciting!

[Gass3268]

Almost Midterm General Election level turnout so far in NoVA:

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234864302177345537?s=20

https://twitter.com/vpapupdates/status/1234865825632395265?s=20

[Agonized-Statism]

First one to vote at my poll. Wash your hands, everyone!

[Heebie Jeebie]

I just got back from voting at my polling place in Memphis.  There was one other person there.  It's a working class neighborhood, though, so maybe everyone voted early before heading to work?

[Holmes]

Vermont & Utah are the only TWO States, who won't have Exit Polling today. Every other State will have.

[Tender Branson]

A word of caution-We will not know the CA margins for a few days after the election. This is not the establishment rigging it, just a ton of mail in ballots.

More like 5 weeks. CA vote counting takes ages.

[RI]

Vermont & Utah are the only TWO States, who won't have Exit Polling today. Every other State will have.

I understand VT, but I would've really liked an exit poll in UT.

[Volrath50]

I don't know what's to get excited this Day. Sanders will lose in a landslide. He will be at least 3 Million behind Biden in the Popular Vote and 150 Delegates behind.

I've been disappointed by the Stop Sanders movement, but it's really too uncertain to say that.

The GOP tried to stop Trump in a similar way in 2016 and failed. There is little enthusiasm for Biden, and he has underperformed his polls in some states. So it's entirely possible he underperforms expectations and Sanders still pulls out a "win" today.

[Non Swing Voter]

Just voted.  Why is there always rain in Northern Virginia when it's an election?  

To answer a question above.  I think we will get some noticeable results out of Virginia early.  Northern Virginia has gotten better about reporting, particularly Loudoun.  Anecdotal but the turnout looked large for a primary in my precinct (in Fairfax County).

[smoltchanov]

I don't know what's to get excited this Day. Sanders will lose in a landslide. He will be at least 3 Million behind Biden in the Popular Vote and 150 Delegates behind.

Even if Sanders "loses in a landslide" (though i doubt it) - it won't be "the end of the world" . May be even vice versa...

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Vermont & Utah are the only TWO States, who won't have Exit Polling today. Every other State will have.

Taft’s revenge

[Arizona Iced Tea]

Just voted.  Why is there always rain in Northern Virginia when it's an election?  

To answer a question above.  I think we will get some noticeable results out of Virginia early.  Northern Virginia has gotten better about reporting, particularly Loudoun.  Anecdotal but the turnout looked large for a primary in my precinct (in Fairfax County).

Tears of Robert E Lee

[Intell]

Just voted.  Why is there always rain in Northern Virginia when it's an election?  

To answer a question above.  I think we will get some noticeable results out of Virginia early.  Northern Virginia has gotten better about reporting, particularly Loudoun.  Anecdotal but the turnout looked large for a primary in my precinct (in Fairfax County).

Poses bad for Benie. In IA and NH we saw that the Suburbs had greatly increased democratic turnout (Biden areas) while white working class areas had abysmal democratic turnout, even lower than 2015 (Sanders areas).

Now Sanders appears to still have strong turnout amongst the younger working and middle class voters, and those who live in urban areas- which is a strength of his.

[n1240]

Another California counting tidbit, all previous runs are accessible for Orange County dating back to 2016 - here's what the count looked like in the 2016 primary:

Initial run 7:49 pm June 7: Clinton 62.91% Sanders 35.93% (104808 votes)
Final election night run 2:11 am: Clinton 54.59% Sanders 44.49% (226639 votes)
Official results June 24 6:36 pm: Clinton 51.90% Sanders 47.26% (330595 votes)

https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2016/Run%2001/cumulative.pdf

You can change the URL to view different elections/runs (e.g. pri2016 -> gen2018 or Run%2001 -> Run%2010)

[Sbane]

Vermont & Utah are the only TWO States, who won't have Exit Polling today. Every other State will have.

I understand VT, but I would've really liked an exit poll in UT.

Definitely agree. It's a very interesting state.

[RI]

Another California counting tidbit, all previous runs are accessible for Orange County dating back to 2016 - here's what the count looked like in the 2016 primary:

Initial run 7:49 pm June 7: Clinton 62.91% Sanders 35.93% (104808 votes)
Final election night run 2:11 am: Clinton 54.59% Sanders 44.49% (226639 votes)
Official results June 24 6:36 pm: Clinton 51.90% Sanders 47.26% (330595 votes)

https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2016/Run%2001/cumulative.pdf

You can change the URL to view different elections/runs (e.g. pri2016 -> gen2018 or Run%2001 -> Run%2010)

While the initial results in 2016 were very unfavorable to Sanders, I'm not sure it's guaranteed to be that way this time. Sanders voters tended to be locked in from the beginning, whereas non-Sanders voters waited to see who would emerge from later primaries. This may be offset by how younger voters vote later as do many poorer voters. We'll have to see.

[Illini Moderate]

I've been supporting Biden since the beginning. However, whatever the results are, I just hope we can avoid a contested convention and are able to rally around the nominee come time. I don't have the luxury of sitting out an election because the candidate of my choosing did not win. I will enthusiastically support Sanders if winds up with a plurality.

[n1240]

Another California counting tidbit, all previous runs are accessible for Orange County dating back to 2016 - here's what the count looked like in the 2016 primary:

Initial run 7:49 pm June 7: Clinton 62.91% Sanders 35.93% (104808 votes)
Final election night run 2:11 am: Clinton 54.59% Sanders 44.49% (226639 votes)
Official results June 24 6:36 pm: Clinton 51.90% Sanders 47.26% (330595 votes)

https://www.ocvote.com/fileadmin/live/pri2016/Run%2001/cumulative.pdf

You can change the URL to view different elections/runs (e.g. pri2016 -> gen2018 or Run%2001 -> Run%2010)

While the initial results in 2016 were very unfavorable to Sanders, I'm not sure it's guaranteed to be that way this time. Sanders voters tended to be locked in from the beginning, whereas non-Sanders voters waited to see who would emerge from later primaries. This may be offset by how younger voters vote later as do many poorer voters. We'll have to see.

Yeah it's definitely a bit harder to say, and 2016 didn't really have the momentum factor that will probably cause Biden to do better in the votes that are counted later (but maybe not as good as Sanders since there are a lot of provisionals + late VBM which skew young and non-white). The early results will still skew a bit old and more white - 45% of the ballots returned are from over 65+ on the dem side and 67% white and 19% latino. I think we should expect to see a pretty mixed bag from the very first returns, with Biden cutting into the deficit as the night rolls on, then Sanders building his lead slightly from the late counted ballots

[Xing]

Since I won't be around when results actually come in, let me predict some of the reactions...

When Sanders underperforms in a county/state/overall:
"Bernie is done!"
"I knew Bernie was done, you all should have listened to me."
"LOL Bernie!"
"Congrats, nominee Biden!"
"Socialist Bernie Bros owned!"
"If Bernie doesn't drop out tomorrow, he's just dividing the party/helping Trump like he always does!"

When Biden underperforms in a county/state/overall:
"LOL Biden!"
"B-b-b-but muh Biden surge!"
"LOL at Atlas for calling the race for Biden!"
"So much for moderate consolidation!"
"Congrats, nominee Sanders!"
"Biden should drop out and endorse Bloomberg/Warren, it's the only way to stop Bernie."

[Tender Branson]

I will not be watching the results live because it's 1am to 6am here.

This week is really hectic at my company (lots of orders to process and ship and other stuff), so I need to get up at 5 and head to work at 6.

Will probably watch the results come in as I'm typing in the orders ...

I will probably take off the day after the general election instead, even though I have a feeling that Trump gets re-elected.

[libertpaulian]

So, is there any #RainInNOVA today?

[TomC]

What happens if some of the polling sites were physically damaged from the tornado? Are there backup sites in place for those? Strange thing you gotta deal with (on election day) TN.

My wife, who's from the Nashville area, said they are planning on setting up temporary locations in the effected areas. No idea how they are going to let people know that, but at least it seems like they have a plan.

The new locations are being spread by social media and listserve emails fairly extensively. Polling places did open an hour late. No extensions as we will go over the 10-hour minimum by an hour. Worst hit is downtown, East and North Nashville.