Democrats are dumb as hell for not putting more effort into this race. An 8 point lead against someone with basically no name recognition outside the Austin metro is an extremely weak result for Cornyn.
Not really, given that Trump is only leading by 4 and Cornyn is not someone who could outperform the top of the ticket by more than 3-4 points so this result is not at all surprising.
Im gonna say this Cornyn will only lose if Trump loses TX by 3 points or else he will be reelected so basically Cornyn will lose if its 1980, barely win if its 2008 and if its 1976/2004/2012 this race will basically be safe because there is no way Cornyn will lose TX if Trump is winning the state