TX NBC/Marist: Cornyn +8 over Hegar (user search)
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  TX NBC/Marist: Cornyn +8 over Hegar (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX NBC/Marist: Cornyn +8 over Hegar  (Read 1674 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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Posts: 44,769


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: March 05, 2020, 06:47:29 PM »

Likely R , Closer to Safe than Lean.

Trump will have to lose TX by at least 3 points for Cornyn to lose and that will only happen in a 1980 scenario. Even a 2008 scenario where Trump barely loses Texas will result in basically a 2 point win for Cornyn
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,769


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2020, 05:51:22 PM »

Democrats are dumb as hell for not putting more effort into this race. An 8 point lead against someone with basically no name recognition outside the Austin metro is an extremely weak result for Cornyn.

Not really, given that Trump is only leading by 4 and Cornyn is not someone who could outperform the top of the ticket by more than 3-4 points so this result is not at all surprising.


Im gonna say this Cornyn will only lose if Trump loses TX by 3 points or else he will be reelected so basically Cornyn will lose if its 1980, barely win if its 2008 and if its 1976/2004/2012 this race will basically be safe because there is no way Cornyn will lose TX if Trump is winning the state
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