Most Winnable Election for the Incumbent Party: 1980, 1992 or 2008 (user search)
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  Most Winnable Election for the Incumbent Party: 1980, 1992 or 2008 (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Most Winnable Election for the Incumbent Party
#1
1980		  
#2
1992		  
#3
2008		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 64

Author Topic: Most Winnable Election for the Incumbent Party: 1980, 1992 or 2008  (Read 1819 times)
buritobr
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Posts: 3,676
« on: March 01, 2020, 08:21:18 AM »
1980

On monday evening 1992 and 2008, everybody knew Clinton and Obama would win. In 1980, Reagan was considered to have the biggest probability, but not everyone was sure. The polls showed a 3% difference in the national popular vote. The 10% margin was a surprise, but a surprise to the other side could have happened. The newspapers were expecting a long night in 1980.
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