AK-SEN alternative: Mike Gravel
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  AK-SEN alternative: Mike Gravel
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Author Topic: AK-SEN alternative: Mike Gravel  (Read 345 times)
voice_of_resistance
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« on: February 26, 2020, 11:48:09 PM »

Gravel won in 1968 and 1974 fairly convincingly. What if history took a different turn and Gravel won his primary and the general in 1980? How long would he survive, margins, etc?

My thoughts:

1980, beats Clark Gruening 52-48 roughly, and beats Frank Murkowski 50-49
1986, good year for Dems, beats R 54-46
1992, was D+5 Senate ballot, with Clinton winning and ticket splitting still surviving/Alaska liking long-term incumbent (cf. Stevens/Murkowski/Young), Gravel wins 55-45
1998, Clinton impeachment depresses GOP turnout, Gravel wins 57-43
2004, Gravel's luck finally runs out as age, combined with GOP downballot wave finally forces him to either retire or lose to Lisa Murkowski, 55-45

Thus, he would become a six-term senator, up there with the legendary Ted Stevens. This is my hypothetical scenario. Discuss.
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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #1 on: February 26, 2020, 11:54:11 PM »

I'd say something similar, but he doesn't run for re-election in '04. He runs for President.

He probably doesn't get far, but it's a possibility.
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