Malaysia political crisis

[xelas81]

The general dynamic of blocs is working against Anwar and PH.  The Sarawak based GPS bloc is much more likely to align with UNMO-PAS and/or PPBM.  The reason is in Sarawak GPS's main rival are PKR-DAP of PH bloc.  So for GPS to support Anwar and PH would make the upcoming 2021 Sarawak assembly election awkward with rival blocs as allies at the federal level.   Also Anwar's age of 72 means that if he becomes PM he will be there for a while which make various ambitious MPs of all parties to be wary of backing him.

I mean 72 is old, just less old than 94 (Mahathir's age)
Is Mahathir's end goal to make his son PM?

[xelas81]

Why would PAS back PPBM? Would the decision be out of sheer likelihood to get into the next government or due to some sort of fallout with UMNO?

Mostly because of political geography.   States where PAS is strong, Kedah, Kelantan, and Terengganu, are also places where UMNO are strong and PPBM in their current form are non-existent.  So seat sharing talks will be very hard for UMNO and PAS but easy for PPBM and PAS.  In case of a PPBM-PAS alliance, PAS will run in Kedah, Kelantan, and Terengganu while in the rest of Peninsular Malaysia PPBM and PAS will most likely share seats by something like 3 to 1 ratio in favor of PPBM.  A UMNO-PAS alliance talk will almost breakdown right away over how to divide up Kedah, Kelantan, and Terengganu.

And we see this playing out

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/pas-mic-express-support-muhyiddin

"PAS, MIC express support for Muhyiddin"

Interesting that old BN Indian party MIC  is also coming out for Muhyiddin.  It does seems UMNO, seeing that its Chinese ally MCA and Indian ally MIC did not really transfer that many votes to them in 2018, are most likely to drop them as allies or give them very few seats to run in the next election. Reading this fact MIC, it seems, will go with PPBM.  Last I check MCA might run separately which is very had news for PH as the anti-UMNO Chinese vote could now safely vote MCA to show their frustration of DAP.

Aren't both MIC and MCA irreverent parties at this point?