2016: Trump as independent

[BigVic]

Suppose Kasich, Rubio and Cruz all stay right up to the end hoping for a brokered convention denying Trump the majority of delegates needed. Dem campaign is the same. Evan McMullin runs third party from Utah.

A brokered convention does happen and the RNC chooses one of those 3 candidates. Trump then runs as an Independent with Mike Pence as his running mate. Everything in the election campaign stays the same as OTL.

Who wins? Discuss with maps.

[😥]

mr. Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) 429 EVs; 42.6% PV
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)/Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 69 EVs; 28.4% PV
Mr. Donald Trump (I-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (I-IN) 40 EVs; 23.7% PV
Mr. Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Fmr. Gov. Lincoln Chafee (I-RI) 0 EVs; 4.4%

[538Electoral]

Hillary wins in landslide.

[OSR STANDS WITH PALESTINE]

Well I can’t do maps.
Depending on who the GOP nominee is, idk.
I’d vote for Kasich or Rubio.
But Hillary wins

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I can't see McMuffin running with a establishment Reaganite neocon like Rubio as the GOP nominee. He would endorse the Rubio/Cruz ticket.

[BigVic]

McMullin will endorse Cruz/Rubio

[brucejoel99]

The GOP vote is very obviously split & Hillary likely wins in a landslide.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The GOP vote is very obviously split & Hillary likely wins in a landslide.

While it is split I suspect that votes would still go to the GOP nominee due to lesser-evils voting. So its a 30/15 split or something to that effect.

[morgankingsley]

Trump wins AL, MS, LA, AR

[Lechasseur]

Hillary Clinton landslide

She'd win almost every state in the country

[RI]

Depends on if we get the OT Republican Trump or he goes even more populist and co-opts much of the Bernie vote. A more highly populist Trump could split off voters from both sides pretty equally.

[dw93]

mr. Sec. Hillary Clinton (D-NY)/Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) 429 EVs; 42.6% PV
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL)/Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 69 EVs; 28.4% PV
Mr. Donald Trump (I-NY)/Gov. Mike Pence (I-IN) 40 EVs; 23.7% PV
Mr. Evan McMullin (I-UT)/Fmr. Gov. Lincoln Chafee (I-RI) 0 EVs; 4.4%

First off, McMullin probably doesn't run and instead endorses Rubio. Secondly, I'd give Trump/Pence Arkansas, Indiana, and possibly Louisiana and South Carolina.

[Sumner 1868]

He would do no better than Perot's 1996 numbers. Two-party hackish is insanely strong in this country.

[VPH]

Depends on if we get the OT Republican Trump or he goes even more populist and co-opts much of the Bernie vote. A more highly populist Trump could split off voters from both sides pretty equally.

Yeah, I can't see him running on a GOP platform if he isn't in the GOP. Likely we see a hardcore populist platform something like Perot's but with extra xenophobia.

[Agonized-Statism]

Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) / Senator Tim Kaine (D-VA) ✓
Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) / Governor Mike Pence (R-IN)
Businessman Donald Trump (I-FL) / Fmr. Mayor Rudy Giuliani (I-NY)

Trump changes his address to Florida earlier to run with Giuliani. McMullin might endorse Rubio, but otherwise has little impact.