Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

APR 4-7, 2020
A-
Fox News
1,107   RV   

https://www.scribd.com/document/455760294/Fox-News-Poll-April-4-7-2020


Job Approval   
49 (+1 since MAR 21-24)
49 (-2)

Corona:
51 (nc)
48 (+2)

H2H:
Biden 42 (-7)
Trump 42 (+2)

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

APR 4-7, 2020
A-
Fox News
1,107   RV   

https://www.scribd.com/document/455760294/Fox-News-Poll-April-4-7-2020


Job Approval   
49 (+1 since MAR 21-24)
49 (-2)

Corona:
51 (nc)
48 (+2)

H2H:
Biden 42 (-7)
Trump 42 (+2)

Both Biden and Trump only garner support from a combined 47% of independent respondents?

[wbrocks67]

APR 4-7, 2020
A-
Fox News
1,107   RV   

https://www.scribd.com/document/455760294/Fox-News-Poll-April-4-7-2020


Job Approval   
49 (+1 since MAR 21-24)
49 (-2)

Corona:
51 (nc)
48 (+2)

H2H:
Biden 42 (-7)
Trump 42 (+2)

Both Biden and Trump only garner support from a combined 47% of independent respondents?

yep, which is why it's junk

[wbrocks67]

Trump coronavirus approval, via ABC/Ipsos poll

March 18-19: 55/43 (+12)
April 1-2: 47/52 (-5)
April 8-9: 44/55 (-11)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/half-americans-wear-masks-coronavirus-normal-takes-hold/story?id=70073942&cid=social_twitter_abcn

[Person Man]

Trump is not gonna win, regardless if it's a 413 election or a 278 election,  Trump is doomed and will take McConnell or the R senate with him. Regardless of McConnell loses, but Amy McGrath and Doug Jones stands a chance in this environment.  Bush W only won reelection due to Katrina, another national disaster took place in 2005, not 2004🤩🤩🤩

Don’t think so.

Coronavirus was overhyped, so Trump looks victorious in a few weeks for defeating the virus with minimal death (as compared to models and projections). Economy will come back soon thereafter. Wins re election just like GWB.

Tens of thousands of people are projected to   have lost  their lives and tens of millions have lost their jobs...

FTFY

[Brittain33]

Trump coronavirus approval, via ABC/Ipsos poll

March 18-19: 55/43 (+12)
April 1-2: 47/52 (-5)
April 8-9: 44/55 (-11)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/half-americans-wear-masks-coronavirus-normal-takes-hold/story?id=70073942&cid=social_twitter_abcn

Least surprising news ever.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Trump coronavirus approval, via ABC/Ipsos poll

March 18-19: 55/43 (+12)
April 1-2: 47/52 (-5)
April 8-9: 44/55 (-11)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/half-americans-wear-masks-coronavirus-normal-takes-hold/story?id=70073942&cid=social_twitter_abcn

Least surprising news ever.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen's daily tracker had recovered a bit the last few days, but today it's down to 43/56, a level not seen since the same reading on Oct. 25 of last year, and the worst net since 43/57 on Feb. 1, 2019.  For an approval rating below 43 we have to go back to early 2018.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

I am impressed by Trump's ability to constantly squander any ounce of momentum he ever seems to pick up in popularity.

[Bidenworth2020]

Rasmussen's daily tracker had recovered a bit the last few days, but today it's down to 43/56, a level not seen since the same reading on Oct. 25 of last year, and the worst net since 43/57 on Feb. 1, 2019.  For an approval rating below 43 we have to go back to early 2018.

Since you seem to know this stuff pretty well, I will ask-- Does movement like this from Rasmussen mean anything considering how terrible a pollster it is?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Rasmussen's daily tracker had recovered a bit the last few days, but today it's down to 43/56, a level not seen since the same reading on Oct. 25 of last year, and the worst net since 43/57 on Feb. 1, 2019.  For an approval rating below 43 we have to go back to early 2018.

Since you seem to know this stuff pretty well, I will ask-- Does movement like this from Rasmussen mean anything considering how terrible a pollster it is?

'
Hard to say.  I certainly don't put a lot of stock in Rasmussen; as you mentioned, they're pretty terrible.  I've only mentioned them recently because it's interesting (at least to me) that they've been among the few pollsters not to show any bounce for Trump, and if anything have gotten worse fo rhim.  Normally they'd have been among the first ones to show a bump for Trump.   I'm not really sure what, if anything, that signifies (suggestions are welcome!)

[Inmate Trump]

I am impressed by Trump's ability to constantly squander any ounce of momentum he ever seems to pick up in popularity.

Idiots don’t know how to not be idiots.

Donald Trump is on par with Joe Exotic.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I am impressed by Trump's ability to constantly squander any ounce of momentum he ever seems to pick up in popularity.

Idiots don’t know how to not be idiots.

Donald Trump is on par with Joe Exotic.

Hence why Joe Exotic, if he wasn't in prison, would be a front-runner for the 2024 GOP primary. Actually, he probably still could get the nomination in prison.

[pbrower2a]

With several caveats (these polls involve on-line, self-selected polling that may understate populations unlikely to be on the Internet or to not trust polling, such as older, poorer white people of limited education -- and I say this because other ethnic groups don't have such a variance from other voters in their groups), here is one near-50-state poll involving the Internet.

Source:https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls

Note that a Trump collapse looks much like this.

Note that Vermont, the District of Columbia, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming are not polled. I have educated guesses about the districts. But we need not be stupid about those electoral bailiwicks. Trump will be absolutely crushed in Vermont and DEE CEE (deep red) and will win North Dakota (medium blue), South Dakota (medium blue), and Wyoming firmly (deep blue).

Biden 55% or higher
Biden 50-54%
Biden ahead with 49% or less
ties are in white
Trump ahead with less than 49%
Trump 50-55%
Trump 55% or higher

[wbrocks67]

Latest Civiqs data

Overall: 43/54 (-11)

Arizona: 43/54 (-11)
Colorado: 40/57 (-17)
Florida: 46/51 (-5)
Georgia: 47/50 (-3)
Iowa: 49/49 (=)
Michigan: 45/53 (-8)
Minnesota: 43/55 (-12)
Nevada: 39/58 (-19)
New Hampshire: 38/58 (-20)
North Carolina: 44/53 (-9)
Ohio: 51/47 (+4)
Pennsylvania: 45/51 (-6)
Texas: 51/46 (+5)
Virginia: 42/56 (-14)
Wisconsin: 46/52 (-6)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?annotations=true&uncertainty=true&zoomIn=true

[American2020]

Latest Civiqs data

Overall: 43/54 (-11)

Arizona: 43/54 (-11)
Colorado: 40/57 (-17)
Florida: 46/51 (-5)
Georgia: 47/50 (-3)
Iowa: 49/49 (=)
Michigan: 45/53 (-8)
Minnesota: 43/55 (-12)
Nevada: 39/58 (-19)
New Hampshire: 38/58 (-20)
North Carolina: 44/53 (-9)
Ohio: 51/47 (+4)
Pennsylvania: 45/51 (-6)
Texas: 51/46 (+5)
Virginia: 42/56 (-14)
Wisconsin: 46/52 (-6)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?annotations=true&uncertainty=true&zoomIn=true

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

I was wondering is pbrowler2a not doing the approval rating maps, due to the improvement of Trump poll numbers or what?

It's not like him to stay away from maps this long

He's doing them again with help of MSN "poll"!

[Brittain33]

I am impressed by Trump's ability to constantly squander any ounce of momentum he ever seems to pick up in popularity.

Idiots don’t know how to not be idiots.

Donald Trump is on par with Joe Exotic.

Hence why Joe Exotic, if he wasn't in prison, would be a front-runner for the 2024 GOP primary. Actually, he probably still could get the nomination in prison.

Republicans would never nominate a gay. It’s a bridge too far.

[pbrower2a]

I was wondering is pbrowler2a not doing the approval rating maps, due to the improvement of Trump poll numbers or what?

It's not like him to stay away from maps this long

He's doing them again with help of MSN "poll"!

That's not really a poll.

In any event, it has limitations which I recognize (it surely under-counts large populations that have no access to the Internet). It also shows what a collapse of Donald Trump looks like.

The objective in showing approval ratings is to predict as well as possible on the basis of information available how the election will go. The match-ups matter more than do the approval ratings.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I couldnt even find the polls these are internet based polls, why dont they poll Senate races and congressional races, instead

[Progressive Pessimist]

I am impressed by Trump's ability to constantly squander any ounce of momentum he ever seems to pick up in popularity.

Idiots don’t know how to not be idiots.

Donald Trump is on par with Joe Exotic.

Hence why Joe Exotic, if he wasn't in prison, would be a front-runner for the 2024 GOP primary. Actually, he probably still could get the nomination in prison.

Republicans would never nominate a gay. It’s a bridge too far.

I think they would now. Not because they finally accept the LGBTQ community, but because, as we've seen with Trump, they will always look the other way on something if they feel like they have something to gain. That could be the case if a hypothetical Joe Exotic candidacy, campaigning from prison, excites their deranged base.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Those MSN polls arent scientific and are junkie. The best Dems can hope for is winning AZ, FL as wave insurance,  IA and OH goes GOP and VA is the Bellwether

[pbrower2a]

Latest Civiqs data

Overall: 43/54 (-11)

Arizona: 43/54 (-11)
Colorado: 40/57 (-17)
Florida: 46/51 (-5)
Georgia: 47/50 (-3)
Iowa: 49/49 (=)
Michigan: 45/53 (-8)
Minnesota: 43/55 (-12)
Nevada: 39/58 (-19)
New Hampshire: 38/58 (-20)
North Carolina: 44/53 (-9)
Ohio: 51/47 (+4)
Pennsylvania: 45/51 (-6)
Texas: 51/46 (+5)
Virginia: 42/56 (-14)
Wisconsin: 46/52 (-6)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?annotations=true&uncertainty=true&zoomIn=true

These, I regret, include polling data from as early as January. Still, these leave little question: the President is in deep trouble.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump is already in trouble, the 278 states are stacked against him this time. Like it was for GW Bush, but he managed 44 percent of the Latino vote by having Jeb as Gov of FL to take from Dems, that Trump doesn't have. Trump only won FL due to Rubio dropping out of campaign and running for Senate. Without McCain or Rubio on ballot in 2020, Trump is certainly to lose the minority vote by a wider margin.

[wbrocks67]

Latest Civiqs data

Overall: 43/54 (-11)

Arizona: 43/54 (-11)
Colorado: 40/57 (-17)
Florida: 46/51 (-5)
Georgia: 47/50 (-3)
Iowa: 49/49 (=)
Michigan: 45/53 (-8)
Minnesota: 43/55 (-12)
Nevada: 39/58 (-19)
New Hampshire: 38/58 (-20)
North Carolina: 44/53 (-9)
Ohio: 51/47 (+4)
Pennsylvania: 45/51 (-6)
Texas: 51/46 (+5)
Virginia: 42/56 (-14)
Wisconsin: 46/52 (-6)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?annotations=true&uncertainty=true&zoomIn=true

These, I regret, include polling data from as early as January. Still, these leave little question: the President is in deep trouble.

They... don't. Civiqs goes back that far, but the latest numbers are a rolling number.