KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 01:33:15 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie  (Read 1890 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: February 24, 2020, 12:13:57 PM »

Ha, Rs say McConnell is safe, no he isnt, the big 3 may lose Cornyn, Graham and McConnell 😎😎😎
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2020, 02:23:12 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

Beshear changed KY politics
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2020, 02:25:28 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: February 24, 2020, 02:42:47 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
Yeah, obviously, Democrats will have 70+ seats in the Senate and 400+ seats in House of Representatives after 2020 election

Trump is so bad, and the R cover up was so obvious, Fox news, is a rubber stamp for conservative talk. Trump only won in 2016, due to beating a scandalous first lady, he will run against a real politician this time and a male. Hilary only served 2 terms and didnt spend her life as a politician
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2020, 02:49:20 PM »

The country is ready for Klobuchar to be Veep to Biden or Bernie,  and Ferraro and Palin and Hilary had scandals.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2020, 03:00:06 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.

Bernie's stupid comments on Castro is delegitimizing his candidacy,  if Biden rebounds, McConnell is toast, period
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2020, 03:09:50 PM »

AZ, CO, ME and NC are the swing Seats, this is wave insurance
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: February 24, 2020, 03:24:14 PM »

He cant explain
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: February 24, 2020, 03:56:43 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.

Bernie's stupid comments on Castro is delegitimizing his candidacy,  if Biden rebounds, McConnell is toast, period

Nope, Moscow Mitch is safe. This is a nationalized race with Trump on the ballot. There is no way McGrath comes within striking distance. Kentucky polls have shown the same pattern in previous cycles as well, with a presumed dead heat in the low 40s until weeks before the election, when numbers heavily break in Republicans favor. It's going to be no different this time around.

Best possible result is something like 54-43%; more plausible is 57-40%.

McConnell isnt safe
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: February 24, 2020, 04:05:54 PM »

I have no doubt that a very competent and personable democrat, like Rocky Adkins, could snatch away the seat from McConnell in a good year for the Democrats. Amy McGrath is absolutely not that kind of candidate.


This proves in this poll, unlike R belief that IA and OH is safe it's not, and Biden was always competetive in Iowa River valley. KY is part of Appalachia and parts of FL is too
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: February 24, 2020, 09:06:26 PM »


This is the first poll we have seen, but you also said Bevin was gonna win
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: February 25, 2020, 12:10:36 AM »

Dems always get what they poll at months ahead of the election, so this won't even be close.

That's your opinion
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #12 on: February 25, 2020, 01:18:13 AM »

doubtful, I say Mitch wins by mid to high single digits, similar to Graham here (though Harrison has a higher floor thanks to a big black population)


Nope
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,708
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #13 on: February 25, 2020, 03:09:14 AM »

McConnell is in the low 40 ish approvals as well, he isnt at 50
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.034 seconds with 13 queries.