KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie
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Author Topic: KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie  (Read 1825 times)
Pollster
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« on: February 24, 2020, 12:12:29 PM »

McConnell 41
McGrath 41
Barron 7
Undecided 11

1,281 likely voters, margin of error 2.8%, fielded late January

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: February 24, 2020, 12:13:57 PM »

Ha, Rs say McConnell is safe, no he isnt, the big 3 may lose Cornyn, Graham and McConnell 😎😎😎
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Pollster
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« Reply #2 on: February 24, 2020, 12:14:03 PM »

Quote
Further review of undecided voters shows the majority are likely to reject the incumbent and
choose McGrath. Just 10% say they have positive feelings about McConnell, while 46% have
negative feelings. In addition, an overwhelming majority of undecided voters have a negative
view of McConnell’s job performance with 76% ranking it as “fair” or “poor” and only 9%
ranking it as “excellent” or “good.”

McConnell has terrible ratings among Independent voters as well, with just one-third giving
him a positive rating and two-thirds rating his performance as only fair or poor.
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andjey
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« Reply #3 on: February 24, 2020, 02:17:06 PM »

#KentuckyIsTossup
#VulnerableMcConnell
#McConnellIsMoreLikelyToLoseThanCollins

Anyway, Safe R
Nothing to see here
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Politician
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« Reply #4 on: February 24, 2020, 02:19:49 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: February 24, 2020, 02:23:12 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

Beshear changed KY politics
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: February 24, 2020, 02:25:28 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
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andjey
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« Reply #7 on: February 24, 2020, 02:29:02 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
Yeah, obviously, Democrats will have 70+ seats in the Senate and 400+ seats in House of Representatives after 2020 election
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #8 on: February 24, 2020, 02:35:11 PM »

I could see McConnell losing.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #9 on: February 24, 2020, 02:42:47 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
Yeah, obviously, Democrats will have 70+ seats in the Senate and 400+ seats in House of Representatives after 2020 election

Trump is so bad, and the R cover up was so obvious, Fox news, is a rubber stamp for conservative talk. Trump only won in 2016, due to beating a scandalous first lady, he will run against a real politician this time and a male. Hilary only served 2 terms and didnt spend her life as a politician
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #10 on: February 24, 2020, 02:44:10 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
Yeah, obviously, Democrats will have 70+ seats in the Senate and 400+ seats in House of Representatives after 2020 election

Trump is so bad, and the R cover up was so obvious, Fox news, is a rubber stamp for conservative talk. Trump only won in 2016, due to beating a scandalous first lady, he will run against a real politician this time and a male. Hilary only served 2 terms and didnt spend her life as a politician

Tell me more
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andjey
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« Reply #11 on: February 24, 2020, 02:47:00 PM »

Safe R, sorry. Much like KS-SEN the polls are obviously overestimating Democrats.

You doubt your friend Solid who says the big 3 can lose and Kobach will lose? The Dems will have a wave in the Senate.
Yeah, obviously, Democrats will have 70+ seats in the Senate and 400+ seats in House of Representatives after 2020 election

Trump is so bad, and the R cover up was so obvious, Fox news, is a rubber stamp for conservative talk. Trump only won in 2016, due to beating a scandalous first lady, he will run against a real politician this time and a male. Hilary only served 2 terms and didnt spend her life as a politician
Hillary lost because she is a woman. No doubt
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: February 24, 2020, 02:49:20 PM »

The country is ready for Klobuchar to be Veep to Biden or Bernie,  and Ferraro and Palin and Hilary had scandals.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #13 on: February 24, 2020, 02:50:01 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.
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UncleSam
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« Reply #14 on: February 24, 2020, 02:57:45 PM »

This race isn’t inevitable (last year’s governor election proved that) but it’ll take a lot more than an internal from McGrath showing a tie to convince me it’s truly competitive.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: February 24, 2020, 03:00:06 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.

Bernie's stupid comments on Castro is delegitimizing his candidacy,  if Biden rebounds, McConnell is toast, period
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #16 on: February 24, 2020, 03:03:46 PM »

Stuff like this is why most of us know not to take you seriously.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #17 on: February 24, 2020, 03:09:15 PM »

Safe R -> Safe R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #18 on: February 24, 2020, 03:09:50 PM »

AZ, CO, ME and NC are the swing Seats, this is wave insurance
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #19 on: February 24, 2020, 03:11:04 PM »

Stuff like this is why most of us know not to take you seriously.

Explain
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #20 on: February 24, 2020, 03:24:14 PM »

He cant explain
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #21 on: February 24, 2020, 03:35:47 PM »


It doesn't need explaining. If you can't even wrap your mind around the fact that KY is Titanium R at the federal level, and that McConnell is guaranteed re-election unless he's dead, then it's unlikely that your political takes are worth listening to.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #22 on: February 24, 2020, 03:40:59 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.

Bernie's stupid comments on Castro is delegitimizing his candidacy,  if Biden rebounds, McConnell is toast, period

Nope, Moscow Mitch is safe. This is a nationalized race with Trump on the ballot. There is no way McGrath comes within striking distance. Kentucky polls have shown the same pattern in previous cycles as well, with a presumed dead heat in the low 40s until weeks before the election, when numbers heavily break in Republicans favor. It's going to be no different this time around.

Best possible result is something like 54-43%; more plausible is 57-40%.
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Aurelio21
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« Reply #23 on: February 24, 2020, 03:45:19 PM »

McConnell 41
McGrath 41
Barron 7
Undecided 11

1,281 likely voters, margin of error 2.8%, fielded late January

Link

Let me translate the numbers:
McConnell 41 % Would elect Satan (R) over Jesus (D)

McGrath 41 % Want to elect (D) as the voice of Ronny Adkins conducted the poll

Barron 7 % Want to elect Barron Trump as next president. NOW!
Undecided 11 % are undecided if they to EV or vote (R) on election day
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junior chįmp
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« Reply #24 on: February 24, 2020, 03:53:59 PM »


It doesn't need explaining. If you can't even wrap your mind around the fact that KY is Titanium R at the federal level, and that McConnell is guaranteed re-election unless he's dead, then it's unlikely that your political takes are worth listening to.

Whatever dude. That's like....just your opinion
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