KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie
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Author Topic: KY-Change Research (McGrath internal): Tie  (Read 1828 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #25 on: February 24, 2020, 03:56:43 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.

Bernie's stupid comments on Castro is delegitimizing his candidacy,  if Biden rebounds, McConnell is toast, period

Nope, Moscow Mitch is safe. This is a nationalized race with Trump on the ballot. There is no way McGrath comes within striking distance. Kentucky polls have shown the same pattern in previous cycles as well, with a presumed dead heat in the low 40s until weeks before the election, when numbers heavily break in Republicans favor. It's going to be no different this time around.

Best possible result is something like 54-43%; more plausible is 57-40%.

McConnell isnt safe
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Farmlands
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« Reply #26 on: February 24, 2020, 03:59:35 PM »

I have no doubt that a very competent and personable democrat, like Rocky Adkins, could snatch away the seat from McConnell in a good year for the Democrats. Amy McGrath is absolutely not that kind of candidate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #27 on: February 24, 2020, 04:05:54 PM »

I have no doubt that a very competent and personable democrat, like Rocky Adkins, could snatch away the seat from McConnell in a good year for the Democrats. Amy McGrath is absolutely not that kind of candidate.


This proves in this poll, unlike R belief that IA and OH is safe it's not, and Biden was always competetive in Iowa River valley. KY is part of Appalachia and parts of FL is too
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #28 on: February 24, 2020, 04:27:33 PM »

Kentucky polls all over again. This is safe Republican. Period.

Bernie's stupid comments on Castro is delegitimizing his candidacy,  if Biden rebounds, McConnell is toast, period

Nope, Moscow Mitch is safe. This is a nationalized race with Trump on the ballot. There is no way McGrath comes within striking distance. Kentucky polls have shown the same pattern in previous cycles as well, with a presumed dead heat in the low 40s until weeks before the election, when numbers heavily break in Republicans favor. It's going to be no different this time around.

Best possible result is something like 54-43%; more plausible is 57-40%.

McConnell isnt safe

You tell em OC
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #29 on: February 24, 2020, 07:30:25 PM »

Rocky Adkins could beat him
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Xing
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« Reply #30 on: February 24, 2020, 08:01:00 PM »

Nope, not happening.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #31 on: February 24, 2020, 09:06:26 PM »


This is the first poll we have seen, but you also said Bevin was gonna win
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #32 on: February 24, 2020, 11:52:45 PM »

Dems always get what they poll at months ahead of the election, so this won't even be close.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #33 on: February 25, 2020, 12:10:36 AM »

Dems always get what they poll at months ahead of the election, so this won't even be close.

That's your opinion
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #34 on: February 25, 2020, 12:21:00 AM »

doubtful, I say Mitch wins by mid to high single digits, similar to Graham here (though Harrison has a higher floor thanks to a big black population)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #35 on: February 25, 2020, 01:18:13 AM »

doubtful, I say Mitch wins by mid to high single digits, similar to Graham here (though Harrison has a higher floor thanks to a big black population)


Nope
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #36 on: February 25, 2020, 02:54:13 AM »

Looks about right. 41% is close to what McGrath will get.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #37 on: February 25, 2020, 03:09:14 AM »

McConnell is in the low 40 ish approvals as well, he isnt at 50
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
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« Reply #38 on: March 11, 2020, 03:48:29 PM »

I've been adding a lot of polls today and last night (on the poll map at least).  It's not against the rules to post internals on there is it? I looked all over the place, but I don't see anything prohibiting it.

This is bullsh**t that we don't have at least one decent poll for this freakin race though.
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
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« Reply #39 on: March 11, 2020, 04:00:26 PM »

New Poll: Kentucky Senator by  Change Research on 2020-02-23

Summary: D: 41%, R: 41%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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