AZ (OH-Predictive Insights): Kelly +7
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  AZ (OH-Predictive Insights): Kelly +7
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Author Topic: AZ (OH-Predictive Insights): Kelly +7  (Read 1466 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: March 11, 2020, 06:49:19 AM »

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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2020, 08:03:40 AM »

This race is probably Lean D flip at this point.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2 on: March 11, 2020, 09:02:52 AM »

I really don't see how McSally can win this one.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: March 11, 2020, 09:05:54 AM »

MT, AZ, CO, ME and NC appear to be headed towards Dems
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: March 11, 2020, 10:20:20 AM »

It's still early, but as crazy as it sounds, it looks like picking the very person who lost a Senate race in Arizona in 2018 to run in a Senate race in Arizona in 2020 wasn't such a good idea.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #5 on: March 11, 2020, 10:23:14 AM »

It's still early, but as crazy as it sounds, it looks like picking the very person who lost a Senate race in Arizona in 2018 to run in a Senate race in Arizona in 2020 wasn't such a good idea.

Ducey probably appointed McSally knowing she's likely to lose special election in 2020 so that he can run in the 2022 regular election, when he's term-limited for his current job. Especially under a Dem prez.

But yup, this looks like it's more Lean D than tossup for now. Kelly is the best senate recruitment this cycle besides Bullock.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: March 11, 2020, 10:32:51 AM »

By the time 2022, rolls around, unless Biden has a net disapproval, Kelly isnt going anywhere
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
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« Reply #7 on: March 11, 2020, 11:24:06 AM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by Other Source on 2020-03-11

Summary: D: 49%, R: 42%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
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« Reply #8 on: March 11, 2020, 11:29:23 AM »

It's still early, but as crazy as it sounds, it looks like picking the very person who lost a Senate race in Arizona in 2018 to run in a Senate race in Arizona in 2020 wasn't such a good idea.

Naw, man.  Picking a proven loser to go up against an American hero is grand strategy!  4-D chess and all that Vulcan logic crap.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #9 on: March 11, 2020, 12:42:53 PM »

This race is probably Lean D flip at this point.

"probably"
"at this point"

I still think MI is more winnable than AZ.
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Person Man
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« Reply #10 on: March 11, 2020, 02:27:56 PM »

If Biden wins, McConnell will lose.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #11 on: March 11, 2020, 03:08:03 PM »

McSally is such a mess
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President Johnson
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« Reply #12 on: March 11, 2020, 03:26:20 PM »

Lean Democratic. Kelly might even outperform Joe Biden.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: March 11, 2020, 03:28:57 PM »



AZ has moved leftward,  just like McCain. has, along with NC, they are no longer GoP strongholds
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #14 on: March 11, 2020, 03:35:03 PM »

McSally is finished

If I may be so bold
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Harvey Updyke Jr🌹
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« Reply #15 on: March 11, 2020, 04:25:27 PM »

If Biden wins, McConnell will lose.

Does this hypothetical happen after Trump pummels the hell out of Biden's numbers by scaring the sh**t out of everyone about his rapid cognitive decline?
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indietraveler
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« Reply #16 on: March 11, 2020, 06:52:50 PM »

Excited to see more polling on this race.

This could be the start of turning the entire SW border blue before the end of the decade.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: March 11, 2020, 06:58:14 PM »

Biden will win AZ
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #18 on: March 11, 2020, 07:02:42 PM »

If Biden wins, McConnell will lose.

Does this hypothetical happen after Trump pummels the hell out of Biden's numbers by scaring the sh**t out of everyone about his rapid cognitive decline?

N o b o d y   c a r e s
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #19 on: March 11, 2020, 07:04:00 PM »

It's still early, but as crazy as it sounds, it looks like picking the very person who lost a Senate race in Arizona in 2018 to run in a Senate race in Arizona in 2020 wasn't such a good idea.

Naw, man.  Picking a proven loser to go up against an American hero is grand strategy!  4-D chess and all that Vulcan logic crap.

Calling Mark Kelly of all people an "American Hero" is lowering the bar for that title down to the floor.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #20 on: March 11, 2020, 07:15:39 PM »

It's still early, but as crazy as it sounds, it looks like picking the very person who lost a Senate race in Arizona in 2018 to run in a Senate race in Arizona in 2020 wasn't such a good idea.

Naw, man.  Picking a proven loser to go up against an American hero is grand strategy!  4-D chess and all that Vulcan logic crap.

Calling Mark Kelly of all people an "American Hero" is lowering the bar for that title down to the floor.

Well you said similar things on Jefferson Beauregard Sessions III so....
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #21 on: March 12, 2020, 12:34:29 AM »

Looks like Dems have their new Senate class AZ, CO, ME and MT
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OneJ
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« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2020, 02:25:01 AM »

Congratulations Senator-elect Mark Kelly!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #23 on: March 12, 2020, 02:45:57 AM »

I doubt this is the final outcome, but Kelly will win by the same margin as Sinema
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #24 on: March 12, 2020, 03:21:36 PM »

Lean Democratic. Kelly might even outperform Joe Biden.

I'd bet on it
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