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October 29, 2020, 11:04:10 PM

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  AZ-HighGround Public Affairs: Kelly +7
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Author Topic: AZ-HighGround Public Affairs: Kelly +7  (Read 906 times)
Gass3268
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« on: February 19, 2020, 02:08:25 PM »

39.3%    Martha McSally
46.0%    Mark Kelly
2.5%      Some other candidate
12.2%    Donít know, Refused

Source
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Make PA Blue Again!
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« Reply #1 on: February 19, 2020, 02:25:03 PM »

HighGround is a GOP-aligned consulting firm in Arizona so this is really bad for McSally.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #2 on: February 19, 2020, 02:28:19 PM »

McSally is an electoral loser who was given a seat she did not deserve. This will be a glorious flip in November.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: February 19, 2020, 02:48:51 PM »

McSally could very well win, but to not have Kelly as a slight favorite right now would have sort of strange. I love to see this poll.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: February 19, 2020, 02:51:15 PM »

Tilt Democratic. I think Kelly is slightly favored regardless of the presidential nominee, but he won't win by seven. Maybe by four, two is more likely. Hopefully defeated appointee McSally paying the price for siding with Trump.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #5 on: February 19, 2020, 02:59:56 PM »
« Edited: February 19, 2020, 03:08:50 PM by Cory Booker »

CO, ME, AZ likely D, NC, GA, KS tossup, wave insurance IA, SC, AK and TX
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We Live in Black and White
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« Reply #6 on: February 19, 2020, 05:47:59 PM »

Mother of God. The decimals suggest that this poll is garbage, but at this rate McSally could very well lose even if Trump is reelected.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #7 on: February 19, 2020, 05:52:24 PM »

Lean D
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #8 on: February 19, 2020, 06:05:55 PM »
« Edited: February 19, 2020, 06:41:36 PM by Cory Booker »

www.electionprojection.com still has AZ tilt R and ME, but Trump is doing better in IA and OH and doing bad in AZ and NC. But, don't buy Ernst winning and McSally and Tillis losing
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Lemmiwinks
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« Reply #9 on: February 19, 2020, 06:24:53 PM »

Poor McSilly
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Kansas City Suburbanite for Orman-Clinton-Kelly For Marshall
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« Reply #10 on: February 19, 2020, 07:21:58 PM »

Congrats Senator Kelly!
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Elastic Iowan Going Nuclear on Joni
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« Reply #11 on: February 19, 2020, 10:28:13 PM »

It will be closer than that, but I really donít buy that this race is more winnable for Republicans than MI. Lean D.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2020, 12:19:19 AM »

Mother of God. The decimals suggest that this poll is garbage, but at this rate McSally could very well lose even if Trump is reelected.

This is right. I think Kelly will defeat McSally. She is a weak candidate and a chronic electoral underperformer.
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jimmie
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« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2020, 01:33:12 AM »

It will be closer than that, but I really donít buy that this race is more winnable for Republicans than MI. Lean D.

Yea, I do not buy that Sanders will win Arizona but Kelly seems rather doomed.

Right now my prediction is that Sanders will lose Arizona by 1 or 2% while Kelly wins the state by 4 to 6%.

Sanders may win Maricopa County by less than 0.5% though. Kelly will carry it by 4 to 6.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2020, 05:10:44 AM »

It will be closer than that, but I really donít buy that this race is more winnable for Republicans than MI. Lean D.

Yea, I do not buy that Sanders will win Arizona but Kelly seems rather doomed.

Right now my prediction is that Sanders will lose Arizona by 1 or 2% while Kelly wins the state by 4 to 6%.

Sanders may win Maricopa County by less than 0.5% though. Kelly will carry it by 4 to 6.

All Dems are leading Trump in NC, AZ, FL and NC are in play. Trump isnt Bush W or Jeb, he is weaker
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2020, 07:02:04 AM »

Poor MAGA Martha.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #16 on: February 20, 2020, 08:27:37 AM »

Dems have the Senate majority, Dems would like to knock off Ernst, Cornyn for acquitting Prez Trump
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here2view
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« Reply #17 on: February 20, 2020, 09:27:43 PM »

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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #18 on: February 20, 2020, 09:56:11 PM »

We already discussed this in Election trends, Wiz and IA and PA can become R and AZ, NC and FL and even TX can become D leaning. Since 2006, when we had VA and WVA switch places, it started that trend. AZ since there is no more McCain is becoming another NV, CO and NM
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Frenchrepublican
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« Reply #19 on: February 21, 2020, 04:47:25 AM »

Not a great poll for McSally obviously, now polls which are publishing decimals and which have so many undecideds should be taken with a grain of salt but it's clear that McSally is the underdog at the moment
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #20 on: February 21, 2020, 10:23:08 PM »

Thereís no way Kelly is leading by 6.7% right now.  Heís ahead by 6.4% at the most.
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Harvey Lee Updyke III🌹
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« Reply #21 on: March 11, 2020, 08:06:05 AM »

New Poll: Arizona Senator (Special) by Other Source on 2020-02-09

Summary: D: 46%, R: 39%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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