Is Amy Klobuchar the best candidate in terms of the PV/EC split?
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  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Is Amy Klobuchar the best candidate in terms of the PV/EC split?
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Question: Is Amy Klobuchar the best candidate in terms of the PV/EC split?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No, Sanders is
 
#3
No, Biden is
 
#4
No, Warren is
 
#5
No, Buttigieg is
 
#6
No, Bloomberg is
 
#7
No, another candidate is (specify)
 
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Total Voters: 31

Author Topic: Is Amy Klobuchar the best candidate in terms of the PV/EC split?  (Read 388 times)
nclib
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« on: February 15, 2020, 03:43:42 PM »

Klobuchar may or may not be the best candidate in the PV, and most Dems would beat Trump in the PV, but sadly we have this stupid electoral college, and the biggest issue in 2016 was the very large PV/EC split.

Klobuchar is very popular in Minnesota and would appeal to working-class whites in the Midwest, helping her easily win Minn. and probably win WI, MI, and PA in a 50-50 election.
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SN2903
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« Reply #1 on: February 15, 2020, 04:07:44 PM »

Yes but she has no chance at the nomination. Way too moderate for where the party is
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: February 15, 2020, 05:26:26 PM »

No, it's Bloomberg, because there would be a significant chance of FL and PA both voting left of the nation.

   
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #3 on: February 15, 2020, 06:52:16 PM »

To me, she is probably the safest candidate, so that could benefit her in this circumstance.
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Fuzzy Bear
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« Reply #4 on: February 15, 2020, 08:47:42 PM »

I think she's the candidate most likely to beat Trump.  I think more people are coming to see this.  I also think that she's more likely to beat Trump than Bloomberg.

I saw Warren's "Persist" signs.  They apply more to Klobuchar than to Warren in this race.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #5 on: February 15, 2020, 09:00:24 PM »

In the sense that only she could figure out how to lose the popular vote to Trump, possibly, while possibly holding the 78,000 that cost Hillary.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #6 on: February 15, 2020, 09:17:32 PM »

Sanders is. Sanders could well trail narrowly in the national popular vote and win the electoral college.

Though Sanders-Klobuchar together would be an amazing Democratic ticket.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #7 on: February 15, 2020, 09:32:57 PM »

Sanders is. Sanders could well trail narrowly in the national popular vote and win the electoral college.

Though Sanders-Klobuchar together would be an amazing Democratic ticket.


I used to believe this, but Sanders isn't exactly knocking it out of the park in the rural NE/Midwest compared to the 2016 primary.  The best possibility for a Dem to win the EC while losing the PV probably involves Texas flipping by 0.5% while the Republican gets >60% throughout the non-IL Midwest and only loses IL by like 10.  2020 is very likely too soon for that, but I could see it in 2024 or 2028.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #8 on: February 15, 2020, 10:20:56 PM »

Sanders is. Sanders could well trail narrowly in the national popular vote and win the electoral college.

Though Sanders-Klobuchar together would be an amazing Democratic ticket.


The notion that Sanders would do so much better than the other Democrats in the rurals and industrial towns while bombing worse than them in the suburbs is completely unfounded.
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Forward
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2020, 12:29:22 AM »

Probably yes. Klobuchar is a good fit for the Midwest. The Midwest massively over represented by the electoral college.
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