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  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  Economics (Moderator: Babette d'Interlaken)
  Key Market Indicator Points to Trump Winning a Second Term
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Author Topic: Key Market Indicator Points to Trump Winning a Second Term  (Read 1201 times)
Grand Mufti of Northern Virginia
Frodo
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« on: February 13, 2020, 09:42:37 am »

I don't think I've heard of the 'Misery Index' before:

Trump will win a 2nd presidential term if this roughly 50-year-old gauge of the economy holds true

The ‘Misery Index’ is at a reading of 5.9%

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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: February 13, 2020, 05:59:45 pm »
« Edited: February 13, 2020, 08:36:49 pm by KaiserDave »

Well, let's pack it up then.

EDIT: Did Yellowhammer think I was serious or humorous? The world will never know.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #2 on: February 13, 2020, 10:45:03 pm »

Anyone can back-engineer an economic metric that has correctly predicted previous Presidential elections.

Also, chronically low inflation for the last few decades doesn't mean reelection has become more likely for all modern Presidents. The idea that "misery" was supposedly only about average at the time of the 2008 election is completely insane.
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AGA
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« Reply #3 on: February 23, 2020, 10:47:11 pm »

Then why did Gore and Clinton lose? Oh wait...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2020, 05:53:38 am »

...and how did Reagan get re-elected when the misery index was above average?

Or FDR in 1936 and 1940?
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