CA- capitol weekly- Sanders 29, Warren 16, Pete 14, Bloombger 13, biden 11

[Bumaye]

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

So every 4th Black Person is still bought by the highest bitter...

[Adam Griffin]

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar

Trump wasted all that time to extort a foreign power to dig up dirt on a opponent that won't win the nomination. Trump is a cuck lmao

[NOVA Green]

Although these numbers sound plausible, especially considering prior polling from CA, as well as shifts in National polling numbers, anybody have any insights as to the street cred of this outfit?

[Pouring Rain and Blairing Music]

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

So every 4th Black Person is still bought by the highest bitter...

Phrasing?

[Ljube]

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar

Trump wasted all that time to extort a foreign power to dig up dirt on a opponent that won't win the nomination. Trump is a cuck lmao

The dirt he dug up on Biden played a big part in Biden's collapse.
People started seeing Biden as a weaker version of Clinton, just as corrupt as her, if not even more corrupt and certainly less electable and that sealed his fate.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

This race is over if Bernie whoops Biden’s butt this bad in California.

[NOVA Green]

Although I certainly can't speak to the credibility of this poll, overall numbers based upon Race/Ethnicity, it appears to not only show the support for Bernie among Latino voters, but additionally explain some of the regional polling numbers we saw from a poll or so a Week or two back...

Bay Area voters in particular appear to be a factor here....

HRC dominated Asian-American Precincts of SF, while Bernie appears to have won the Latino Precincts of SF....

Santa Clara County was an HRC stronghold, namely as a result of extremely strong performance among Asian-American and Latino-American Democratic Voters....

Polls a few weeks back showing a tie between Sanders and Biden within the Bay Area appear to indicate that Bernie is cracking into the Asian-American population within the Bay Area, and quite possibly taking a bit of a lead among Latino-American voters within Santa Clara County....

East Bay becomes a bit of trip, especially considering that UC-Berkeley Students, Professors, and Faculty might not be as hot as Bernie with other contenders in the DEM PRIM race....

Oakland, will likely be Bernie Country with people priced out of the East Bay Neighborhoods.... Those with the Mansions on the hills overlooking the East Bay (Even places like Walnut Creek & Concord) will likely be supporting a more "palatable DEM LIB (Warren/Pete )

Meanwhile down in Contra Costa County on the flatlands and working-class strongholds around the Oil Refineries of Richmond, with a rapidly growing Latino and Filipino-American Blue Collar workforce, along with plenty of jet black and proud Brothers & Sisters, people will back a true Left DEM and not some $$$ poseur from Wall Street who is trying to buy votes with dollars....

Marin County is likely Pete/Warren Country (Assuming Biden croaks), as well as San Mateo County on the Peninsula....

SC will likely be overwhelmingly Sanders, but margins will likely be much lower if Warren doesn't drop out before ED CA Votes....

Monterey County.... gonna go with the $$$,  Bernie will hold a base, but Pete/Liz/Bloomberg might play around the joint....

Could get started on SoCal, but thinkin' my NorCal numbers make more sense with the polling breakdowns....

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Just one poll, but it's starts to look like a pattern. I'm saying this as the biggest Biden fan: If he can't win decisively in South Carolina and come in at least a close second in Nevada, there is no path for Joe Biden. Sadly. If this scenario occurs, he should consider to exit gracefully and endorse Mike Bloomberg. Same with Amy Klobuchar and Mayor Pete, who have no or just a narrow path.

Mr stop and frisk Bloomberg is far from acceptable, but so is Biden. I can't believe you're saying this as a social democrat. My mom is a christian democrat and she supports Sanders. I mean why is he so unacceptable to you. Why must he at all costs be stopped. He is hardly any more left-wing than social democrats in EU. He would transition the US to a country like Sweden with strong tradition of a welfare state, which is what the US needs.

One question to you: what would you do in a Sanders vs Trump vs independent Bloomberg vs independent Gabbard (because she has such an ego she will certainly do it, especially if a centrist is nominated) match-up.

[President Johnson]

Just one poll, but it's starts to look like a pattern. I'm saying this as the biggest Biden fan: If he can't win decisively in South Carolina and come in at least a close second in Nevada, there is no path for Joe Biden. Sadly. If this scenario occurs, he should consider to exit gracefully and endorse Mike Bloomberg. Same with Amy Klobuchar and Mayor Pete, who have no or just a narrow path.

Mr stop and frisk Bloomberg is far from acceptable, but so is Biden. I can't believe you're saying this as a social democrat. My mom is a christian democrat and she supports Sanders. I mean why is he so unacceptable to you. Why must he at all costs be stopped. He is hardly any more left-wing than social democrats in EU. He would transition the US to a country like Sweden with strong tradition of a welfare state, which is what the US needs.

One question to you: what would you do in a Sanders vs Trump vs independent Bloomberg vs independent Gabbard (because she has such an ego she will certainly do it, especially if a centrist is nominated) match-up.

As I've said earlier, I will strongly support Bernie if he's the nominee because he's miles better than Donald Trump, who is a corrupt fraud, utterly incompetent and politically radioactive. This isn't even a contest. The reason I'm not supporting Bernie in the primary is because he's making promises that he can't keep or are just not realistic. I do recognize, however, that he has tapped into something that shows America needs bold reforms on climate, infrastructure, fixing healthcare and change the campaign finance system (among other issues). To me, it comes down to the question who can actually deliver these things in a sustainable and practical way. And the answer to me personally is clear: Joe Biden and Mike Bloomberg. Are these guys perfect? Certainly not. They would be rare exceptions if they never did something wrong. They have made mistakes over a long and distinguished career and acknowledged them. That's what a grownup leader does. And with that I mean in contrast to Trump; Bernie has publically regretted some things as well and I give him credit for that. As I've already noted, my biggest reservation with Bernie is not even the man himself, I don't like the cult around him, that has a tendency to smear every Democrat with different views. I think Bernie is a decent guy, but the my-way-or-the-highway mentality of some Bernie supporters is annoying (to put it mildly). In the end, this only helps Trump.

When it comes to being a Social Democrat, I don't see why I, as third-way Social Democrat, couldn't support Mike Bloomberg. When you look at everything he's done (much more good than bad) and the platform he's running on, you find a lot of good stuff. He's bold on climate change and gun control, wants to reform education, fix healthcare and favors to raise taxes on the wealthy. He's advocated to restore international relations and tackle global problems. Overall, I'm just more of a pragmatist than a staunch ideologue. To me, political labels are more of a framework rather than a rigid worldview. Others may come to a different conculsion, and that's okay, too.

Bloomberg will never run third party and has pledged to support the eventual nominee, even if it's Bernie. What he will do is pump in tons of money to elect Democrats to congress to end Moscow Mitch's obstructionism. With regard to Tulsi, I'd never support her for any election (I'd take Bernie over her any day of the week).

[Coastal Elitist]

Oakland, will likely be Bernie Country with people priced out of the East Bay Neighborhoods.... Those with the Mansions on the hills overlooking the East Bay (Even places like Walnut Creek & Concord) will likely be supporting a more "palatable DEM LIB (Warren/Pete )

Actually the people with the fancy homes in the Oakland hills are champagne socialists and will back Bernie.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Once there is a Dem in the WH, more aid can be given to subsidy programs to help the homeless in the nation. We have a homelessness issue in Cali, due to others moving from other states. Leader McConnell wants to keep the Section 8 program from opening up again, as he wants to gut medicaid and food stamps and not raise cap on wealthy

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Just one poll, but it's starts to look like a pattern. I'm saying this as the biggest Biden fan: If he can't win decisively in South Carolina and come in at least a close second in Nevada, there is no path for Joe Biden. Sadly. If this scenario occurs, he should consider to exit gracefully and endorse Mike Bloomberg. Same with Amy Klobuchar and Mayor Pete, who have no or just a narrow path.

Yeah, unfortunately, I think it is only a matter of time before Joe is finished. A 5th place finish tonight and likely a distant 3rd/4th in Nevada will keep his margins here in SC low if he wins at all. I am not ruling out a Steyer victory, but I will wait for more polls.

[Canis]

Oakland, will likely be Bernie Country with people priced out of the East Bay Neighborhoods.... Those with the Mansions on the hills overlooking the East Bay (Even places like Walnut Creek & Concord) will likely be supporting a more "palatable DEM LIB (Warren/Pete )

Actually the people with the fancy homes in the Oakland hills are champagne socialists and will back Bernie.

Your back!

[Coastal Elitist]

Oakland, will likely be Bernie Country with people priced out of the East Bay Neighborhoods.... Those with the Mansions on the hills overlooking the East Bay (Even places like Walnut Creek & Concord) will likely be supporting a more "palatable DEM LIB (Warren/Pete )

Actually the people with the fancy homes in the Oakland hills are champagne socialists and will back Bernie.

Your back!

Haha yeah with election season ramping up I couldn't resist and I didn't get the job I thought I would get so I have more free time

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

NOVA Green, when are we gonna get your SoCal predictions?

[TheLaRocca]

YUP. I'm out here in Richmond and it's ALL BERNIE. Pretty much every group. The only signs you see out here is Bernie.

He's gonna win CA by a good amount. Anywhere from 5 to 15.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

YUP. I'm out here in Richmond and it's ALL BERNIE. Pretty much every group. The only signs you see out here is Bernie.

He's gonna win CA by a good amount. Anywhere from 5 to 15.

Same down here in Riverside. Although I'm starting to see some Bloomberg signs popping up in front yards & intersections, Bernie still dominates the sign/sticker landscape (As much as they matter in a fractured race). I see Bernie doing great in the Downtown/University/Hispanic neighborhoods and Bloomberg leading everywhere else.

[NOVA Green]

NOVA Green, when are we gonna get your SoCal predictions?

Actually flying down Thursday to visit my aging Father, but not too likely to be posting SoCal election predictions at that time.... family business and all that.

 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Bernie can survive a loss in SC, Bloomberg isnt on the ballot to take votes away from Biden. Southern states that Bloomberg will be a factor is VA, FL, OK, TX, CA and FL