CA- capitol weekly- Sanders 29, Warren 16, Pete 14, Bloombger 13, biden 11
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  CA- capitol weekly- Sanders 29, Warren 16, Pete 14, Bloombger 13, biden 11
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Author Topic: CA- capitol weekly- Sanders 29, Warren 16, Pete 14, Bloombger 13, biden 11  (Read 3017 times)
Matty
boshembechle
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« on: February 10, 2020, 04:26:03 PM »

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Vaccinated Russian Bear
Russian Bear
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« Reply #1 on: February 10, 2020, 04:27:05 PM »

Calif.      
FEB 6-9, 2020
Capitol Weekly

No Rating on 538

Sanders 29% (+5 since JAN 3-9)
Warren 16% (-5)
Buttigieg 14% (+3)
Bloomberg 13% (+7)
Biden 11% (-10)

Klobuchar 5%
Yang 4%
Gabbard 3%
Steyer 3%
Booker 1%
Williamson 1%
Patrick 1%
Delaney 0%
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #2 on: February 10, 2020, 04:27:23 PM »

California feels the Bern! Purple heart Purple heart Purple heart
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #3 on: February 10, 2020, 04:28:05 PM »

Biden is done
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2020, 04:28:15 PM »

Booker?

Happy to see Biden so low. Smiley
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #5 on: February 10, 2020, 04:30:33 PM »

LMAO! Yes, Biden can survive a fifth-place finish in NH, but he absolutely cannot, under any circumstances, survive with fifth place in California.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: February 10, 2020, 04:32:28 PM »

It's funny about Carol Mosley-Braun endorsing Biden over Harris and all the black ministers that felt Biden was better than Booker; consequently, both Harris and Booker dropped out too early, due to them both thinking the impeachment would last more than 2 weeks. Biden would have the advantage
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President Johnson
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« Reply #7 on: February 10, 2020, 04:33:50 PM »

Just one poll, but it's starts to look like a pattern. I'm saying this as the biggest Biden fan: If he can't win decisively in South Carolina and come in at least a close second in Nevada, there is no path for Joe Biden. Sadly. If this scenario occurs, he should consider to exit gracefully and endorse Mike Bloomberg. Same with Amy Klobuchar and Mayor Pete, who have no or just a narrow path.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: February 10, 2020, 04:36:24 PM »

If this is anywhere near accurate, it's hard to see how Sanders isn't favored to win the nomination. It's one thing for him to win California narrowly, but if he wins decisively, he'll start to build up a huge delegate advantage.
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OneJ
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« Reply #9 on: February 10, 2020, 04:39:37 PM »

“Iowa was bad for Biden, but the Black voters down South will save him though.” Lol. If this looks anything close to accurate when California gets ready to vote Biden is done.
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Florida Man for Crime
The Impartial Spectator
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« Reply #10 on: February 10, 2020, 04:47:08 PM »

The really notable thing about this poll is it has basically no undecided, and the only candidates that are >15% (viability) are Sanders and Warren (barely).

While support will vary geographically, this means that if the results are similar to this there will be some Congressional districts where Bernie gets ALL the delegates, and many where different mixes of the other candidates get 0 delegates. The field being split like it currently is with no other candidates being clearly > 15% statewide is very favorable for Bernie in terms of delegates.

And also, California will start early voting soon, so there is less and less time for this to really change.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #11 on: February 10, 2020, 04:49:47 PM »

“Iowa was bad for Biden, but the Black voters down South will save him though.” Lol. If this looks anything close to accurate when California gets ready to vote Biden is done.

California is already voting as we speak.
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Ljube
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« Reply #12 on: February 10, 2020, 04:51:13 PM »

“Iowa was bad for Biden, but the Black voters down South will save him though.” Lol. If this looks anything close to accurate when California gets ready to vote Biden is done.

Biden was done even before Iowa.
People just didn't want to admit it, even though it was obvious he was a weak candidate.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #13 on: February 10, 2020, 04:51:38 PM »

And also, California will start early voting soon, so there is less and less time for this to really change.

California's early voting started exactly a week ago.
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RI
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« Reply #14 on: February 10, 2020, 04:51:44 PM »

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: February 10, 2020, 05:03:59 PM »

~30,000 have voted already in California
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Ljube
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« Reply #16 on: February 10, 2020, 05:05:17 PM »

~30,000 have voted already in California

Voting early in the primaries. Not smart.
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Holmes
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« Reply #17 on: February 10, 2020, 05:09:12 PM »


Booker and Williamson are on the ballot even though they dropped out 
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #18 on: February 10, 2020, 05:10:16 PM »

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar
Seriously can we get some of these pundits to start talking about how great Bernie is doing with the Hispanic vote? It’s the story of his rise and it is never talked about
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Gracile
gracile
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« Reply #19 on: February 10, 2020, 05:11:15 PM »

~30,000 have voted already in California

Voting early in the primaries. Not smart.


It probably wouldn't make much of a difference for these voters. Most people who vote early in the primary have been locked in for months.
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Holmes
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« Reply #20 on: February 10, 2020, 05:11:48 PM »

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar
Seriously can we get some of these pundits to start talking about how great Bernie is doing with the Hispanic vote? It’s the story of his rise and it is never talked about

When he wins California and makes Texas competitive(or outright wins it) I'm sure people will talk about it.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #21 on: February 10, 2020, 05:15:57 PM »

Just one poll, but it's starts to look like a pattern. I'm saying this as the biggest Biden fan: If he can't win decisively in South Carolina and come in at least a close second in Nevada, there is no path for Joe Biden. Sadly. If this scenario occurs, he should consider to exit gracefully and endorse Mike Bloomberg. Same with Amy Klobuchar and Mayor Pete, who have no or just a narrow path.

If Biden drops out, his son will be throughly investigated for his Ukraine scandal and rightly so, no one should be above the law. Biden, is gonna hold off as long as he can
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #22 on: February 10, 2020, 05:18:37 PM »

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar
Seriously can we get some of these pundits to start talking about how great Bernie is doing with the Hispanic vote? It’s the story of his rise and it is never talked about

When he wins California and makes Texas competitive(or outright wins it) I'm sure people will talk about it.

Or Nevada.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #23 on: February 10, 2020, 05:36:44 PM »

Biden is finished. Black voters are rolling with Bloomberg. With my girls Harris and Warren either out or not viable I am going with Black voters.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #24 on: February 10, 2020, 07:21:23 PM »

Hispanics:

39 Sanders
16 Warren
  8 Bloomberg
  8 Buttigieg
  7 Biden
  7 Klobuchar
  4 Yang

Blacks:

26 Biden
25 Bloomberg
19 Sanders
12 Warren
  3 Yang
  2 Buttigieg
  0 Klobuchar

Asians:

28 Sanders
22 Warren
15 Yang
12 Biden
12 Buttigieg
11 Bloomberg

Whites:

26 Sanders
18 Buttigieg
16 Warren
14 Bloomberg
10 Biden
  6 Klobuchar
Seriously can we get some of these pundits to start talking about how great Bernie is doing with the Hispanic vote? It’s the story of his rise and it is never talked about

Yeah, this is a massive factor, and if it actually pans out in the primary (Nevada will be the first test, of course), it could have a decisive impact.
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