2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Michigan  (Read 41306 times)
Boobs
HCP
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Posts: 2,521
« on: February 15, 2020, 04:00:14 PM »


Competitive map, I guess;

12 is 50.3% black, 13 is 49.8% black. Both, along with 7 (Clinton +8.1) and 8 (Clinton +13.3%) are Safe D.

9 is Clinton +7.2, so safe for now, but will probably shift closer through the decade. Likely D.

10 is Clinton +1. Tossup/Lean D.

3 is Trump +4.4 and 6 is Trump +6. Lean R. 6 was probably won by Whitmer; 3 definitely.

The rest (1,2,4,5,11) are safe R, with the closest being 11 at Trump +19.

Seems like it would be 7R, 6D but with the realistic chances of going 8R-5D or 8D-5R.
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