Serbian elections (new date: June 21 2020) - To boycott or not to boycott?

[bigic]

The coalition list led by Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), "Aleksandar Vučić - For our children", is the first submitted electoral list for the parliamentary election, which means that they will be number 1 on the ballots. They were also the first list in the parliamentary elections of 2014 and 2016.

A list with the same name was also submitted for the Vojvodina regional election and they will be first on the Vojvodina regional election ballot too.

http://rs.n1info.com/Izbori-2020/a575178/SNS-predala-izbornu-listu-Aleksandar-Vucic-za-nasu-decu.html

[bigic]

The list of Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) and its allies (Party of United Pensioners of Serbia, Movement of Socialists, Social Democratic Party of Serbia, Serbian Renewal Movement, Serbian People's Party, People's Peasant Party etc.) is available here: https://docs.google.com/gview?url=https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/extfile/sr/1994/Izborna%20lista%20ALEKSANDAR%20VUCIC-ZA%20NASU%20DECU.%20ispr.%20c.doc

Realistically, maybe even up to 200 seats (out of 250) are winnable for the list - due to the opposition boycott. All the people you would expect on a SNS list are present, notable people from outside of politics - less than expected if the precedent is the SNS list for 2018 Belgrade city election.
In the first 20 places there are about 10 young people from the party academy. Notable persons on the list include violinist Jovan Kolundžija (3.), Milena Popović (55.) (former wife of Oliver Ivanović, assassinated Kosovo Serb politician who was an opponent of SNS-backed Serb List) and Lav Pajkić (148.) (host of pro-regime "comedy" TV show on TV Pink, son of writer Isidora Bjelica).

As for the electoral lists, Milutin Jeličić, the former mayor of Brus and former member of Velimir Ilić's New Serbia and of SNS, is now running for Parliament of Serbia for Vojislav Šešelj's Serbian Radical Party (SRS). He is on trial for sexual abuse and abuse of office. Probably SNS wanted him to be an MP to receive immunity, but fearing backlash, chose to run him for an allied party (SRS). And now a part of the SRS is unhappy because they have him on the list, so they left the party?!
https://www.021.rs/story/Izbori-2020/235867/Seselj-odlucio-da-Jutka-bude-nosilac-liste-u-Brusu-deo-radikala-nezadovoljan-time.html

[mgop]

All real opposition will boycott:
Alliance for Serbia:
People's Party
Dveri
Party of Freedom and Justice
Democratic Party
Movement for Reversal
Fatherland
United Trade Unions of Serbia "Sloga"
Social Democratic Party
Civic Front
Enough is Enough
Movement of Free Citizens
Ljubiša Preletačević
Social Democratic Union

It's safe to say that these are one party election. Regime forming new parties everyday trying to create quasi opposition after election.

[bigic]

Ljubiša Preletačević

Beli too? I didn't expect this...

[bigic]

President of pro-boycott Free Citizens Movement, Sergej Trifunović, filed a complaint about the SNS list arguing that the list should be rejected - he argued that the legality of the SNS party is in doubt because SNS didn't conform to the rules regarding the party's local organizations and the central committee. The Electoral Commission of Serbia rejected the complaints as "unfounded".
The Electoral Commission also approved the pro-regime coalition list of Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) and United Serbia (JS), which should be number 2 on the ballots for the parliamentary election.

Source: see the whole thread from NGO CRTA, starting from this tweet
https://mobile.twitter.com/CRTArs/status/1236260460166512643

[bigic]

As for SPS, 2 of its members in Žabalj, a small town in Vojvodina, were beaten after submitting the list for the local election. The local SPS accused that the mayor of Žabalj, who is from SNS, to be behind the attack. Ivica Dačić, the president of SPS, rejected the accusations, saying that he doesn't see why would SNS, their partners in national government, be behind this. The pro-boycott opposition Alliance for Serbia condemned the attack of SNS on 2 SPS members, and Dveri, one of the Alliance parties, called on SPS to join the election boycott.

http://rs.n1info.com/Izbori-2020/a575614/Maskirane-osobe-upale-u-prostorije-SPS-u-Zablju-pretukle-dve-osobe.html
http://rs.n1info.com/Vesti/a575682/SZS-osudio-napad-na-funkcionere-SPS-Dveri-zovu-socijaliste-u-bojkot.html
http://rs.n1info.com/Izbori-2020/a575698/Dacic-Ne-verujem-da-iza-napada-u-Zablju-stoji-SNS.html

[Omega21]

President of pro-boycott Free Citizens Movement, Sergej Trifunović, filed a complaint about the SNS list arguing that the list should be rejected - he argued that the legality of the SNS party is in doubt because SNS didn't conform to the rules regarding the party's local organizations and the central committee. The Electoral Commission of Serbia rejected the complaints as "unfounded".
The Electoral Commission also approved the pro-regime coalition list of Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) and United Serbia (JS), which should be number 2 on the ballots for the parliamentary election.

Source: see the whole thread from NGO CRTA, starting from this tweet
https://mobile.twitter.com/CRTArs/status/1236260460166512643

I hope he didn't run someone over on coke while he was going to the file the complaint.

Well I guess authoritarianism and control of media + incompetent opposition will equal 80%+ seats for the Govt.

[mgop]

President of pro-boycott Free Citizens Movement, Sergej Trifunović, filed a complaint about the SNS list arguing that the list should be rejected - he argued that the legality of the SNS party is in doubt because SNS didn't conform to the rules regarding the party's local organizations and the central committee. The Electoral Commission of Serbia rejected the complaints as "unfounded".
The Electoral Commission also approved the pro-regime coalition list of Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) and United Serbia (JS), which should be number 2 on the ballots for the parliamentary election.

Source: see the whole thread from NGO CRTA, starting from this tweet
https://mobile.twitter.com/CRTArs/status/1236260460166512643

I hope he didn't run someone over on coke while he was going to the file the complaint.

Well I guess authoritarianism and control of media + incompetent opposition will equal 80%+ seats for the Govt.

well you're guessing wrong, probably. vucic's goal is not to have 80%+, but to have around 51% and controlled quasi opposition, so he can show the west that everything is "democratic".

[Omega21]

President of pro-boycott Free Citizens Movement, Sergej Trifunović, filed a complaint about the SNS list arguing that the list should be rejected - he argued that the legality of the SNS party is in doubt because SNS didn't conform to the rules regarding the party's local organizations and the central committee. The Electoral Commission of Serbia rejected the complaints as "unfounded".
The Electoral Commission also approved the pro-regime coalition list of Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS) and United Serbia (JS), which should be number 2 on the ballots for the parliamentary election.

Source: see the whole thread from NGO CRTA, starting from this tweet
https://mobile.twitter.com/CRTArs/status/1236260460166512643

I hope he didn't run someone over on coke while he was going to the file the complaint.

Well I guess authoritarianism and control of media + incompetent opposition will equal 80%+ seats for the Govt.

well you're guessing wrong, probably. vucic's goal is not to have 80%+, but to have around 51% and controlled quasi opposition, so he can show the west that everything is "democratic".

Oh I know lol

Good Luck to him, the only way he'll manage that is if he tells his own members to vote for the "opposition".

[bigic]

The lists of far-right Serbian Radical Party (SRS) of Vojislav Šešelj and of Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians (SVM/VMSZ), a pro-government ethnic Hungarian party with ties to Fidesz led by Istvan Pasztor, were approved.
Notably, Milutin Jeličić Jutka, the former mayor of Brus accused of sexual abuse, is not on the SRS list, but he will lead an independent list in the Brus local election called "For modern Brus", supported by SRS. His absence was unexpected, as Vojislav Šešelj has earlier announced that Jutka will be on his party's list for the parliamentary election.

Interestingly, the Serbian Progressive Party's list was brought down in opposition-controlled Šabac after a citizen's complaint. The reason is that the permit from Aleksandar Vučić to use his name in the name of the list was not submitted.
http://podrinske.com/ponisteno-resenje-o-proglasenju-izborne-liste-aleksandar-vucic-za-nasu-decu/amp/?fbclid=IwAR1tM3JkDk8mdOOyP5Ykmi1olAamqyx9uXsgTNovX2iT7LkqMXCcjhYqxZo&__twitter_impression=true

[bigic]

So far, 7 lists were approved:
1. "Aleksandar Vučić - For our children" - pro-regime coalition led by Serbian Progressive Party (SNS)
2. "Ivica Dačić - Socialist Party of Serbia (SPS), United Serbia (JS) - Dragan Marković Palma" - another pro-regime coalition
3. "Dr Vojislav Šešelj - Serbian Radical Party" (SRS) - Šešelj's far-right party.
4. "Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians - Pásztor István" - pro-regime ethnic Hungarian party with close ties to Fidesz, the Hungarian ruling party
5. "Aleksandar Šapić - Victory for Serbia" - coalition list dominated by Šapić's "Serbian Patriotic Alliance" (SPAS, the Serbian acronym, means "salvation"). Šapić is the mayor of Novi Beograd and former professional water polo player. Šapić is a former member of Democratic Party (pro-boycott centre-left) but a large part of the list is composed of former Dveri (pro-boycott right) and SRS members. The list also includes Ratko Dmitrović, a journalist with very prominent nationalist views.
6. "For Kingdom of Serbia (Movement for Renewal of Kingdom of Serbia, Monarchist Front - Žika Gojković" (POKS-MF) - a pro-regime coalition campaigning on restoration of Serbian monarchy. POKS is a SPO splinter led by Žika Gojković and MF is a party led by prince claimant Vladimir Karađorđević of the Karađorđević dynasty.
7. "United Democratic Serbia" - coalition claiming to represent "true pro-European politics". It includes Serbia 21 (association founded by former members of pro-boycott Democratic Party (DS) and its splinter Social Democratic Party (SDS), continuing the great tradition of DS splintering), League of Social Democrats of Vojvodina (LSV) (Vojvodina regionalist party led by Nenad Čanak), Civic Democratic Forum (GDF) (splinter of pro-boycott Free Citizens Movement), Party of Modern Serbia (SMS) (splinter of pro-boycott Enough is Enough movement) and a few minor ethnic minority parties. The first on the list is Marko Đurišić, the former chair of SDS in the Serbian parliament. Its rivals (multiple personalities from the pro-boycott opposition and a prominent member of anti-boycott Liberal Democratic Party (LDP)) accuse the coalition of being a tool of Beba Popović (a shadowy personality close to the regime) and of the current regime.

Most political parties and other organisations have recently suspended or limited their campaigning and other activities due to the coronavirus epidemic. There have been calls from some of the opposition parties to delay the elections to limit the spread of coronavirus.

[CumbrianLefty]

Surely this one is going to have to be delayed?

[Omega21]

Surely this one is going to have to be delayed?

Yup, it has been done already.

[bigic]

Serbia yesterday proclaimed a state of emergency over coronavirus, during which the elections can be delayed. But no such decision delaying the elections has been made yet...

2 new lists were approved:
8. "Serbian Party Oath Keepers" (Zavetnici), a minor right-wing nationalist party led by Milica Đurđević Stamenkovski. They won 0,73% in the 2016 parliamentary election.
9. Coalition SPP-DPM "Only Forward" consisting of "Party of Justice and Reconciliation" (SPP), a pro-government ethnic Bosniak party led by dissident Islamic cleric and self-described "academic" Muamer Zukorlić, and minor ethnic Macedonian "Democratic Party of Macedonians" (DPM).

[bigic]

Update: The Electoral Commision of Serbia decided that the elections in Serbia will be delayed - the electoral process will be suspended until the end of the state of emergency.

https://twitter.com/CRTArs/status/1239620437811900416

[bigic]

The coronavirus epidemic doesn't mean that political arguments stopped.
Most of the opposition, although supportive of restrictive measures, consider that the state of emergency was imposed unlawfully, as it wasn't confirmed by the parliament before the 48 hour deadline.
Government officials campaigning during the pandemic and jailing of a journalist that reported about poor conditions in a hospital (she was released shortly after) were also criticised.
There are also minor parties and organisations that are against restrictive measures, such as the populist "Enough is Enough" (DJB) political movement led by Saša Radulović.

Protests moved from the streets to the balconies, and after the non-partisan 20:00 applause, there are two political noise-making protests:
- the 20:05 anti-government protest, making noise with spoons, pots and other cooking wares, inspired by the 90s protests against Slobodan Milošević
- the 20:30 pro-government counter-protest. Formally organised by a little known pro-government NGO, with participation of football hooligans and SNS activists (although the party denies that it's responsible), it consists of lighting up torches and broadcasting chants against Dragan Đilas, one of the opposition leaders, through powerful loudspeakers.

One of the places where the counter-protesters were conducting their performance was near the family home of Dragan Đilas, where his children are also living. He claims that his children were crying and scared. The regime says that the claims are dishonest use of emotion for political battle.

http://rs.n1info.com/Vesti/a595647/Djilas-Sa-razglasa-kod-moje-zgrade-pustali-Djilase-lopove-sutra-ih-cekam.html

As the state of emergency will end tomorrow, the new date has been set: June 21st, after consultation with anti-boycott parties.
And one pro-boycott party changed its mind and decided to contest: Free Citizens Movement (PSG) led by Sergej Trifunović.
http://rs.n1info.com/Izbori-2020/a596263/PSG-izlazi-na-izbore.html

[bigic]

On Sunday, voters will be able to choose from 21 lists. The last one is alliance of two far-right nationalist movements - "Leviathan" (Levijatan) led by Pavle Bihali focusing on "animal rights", and "I live for Serbia" (Živim za Srbiju) led by doctor Jovana Stojković focusing on opposition to vaccination.
Here is a Bellingcat article on Levijatan's activities, including terror towards the Roma community and alleged connections to criminal groups and the ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS): https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2020/06/18/levijatan-serbian-animal-rights-vigilantes-go-to-the-polls/
But I'm not really worried that they will succeed electorally and cross the 3% threshold, considering that they barely succeeded in collecting 10.000 signatures required for participation.

[bigic]

Elections for Serbian Parliament

The 250 seats will be chosen by party-list proportional representation, with 3% threshold (5% until recently) that does not apply to ethnic minority lists.
There are 21 lists contesting the election, compared to 20 in 2016.
This is the second parliamentary election boycotted by a large part of the opposition - the first was in 1997.

1. "Aleksandar Vučić - for our children", coalition led by Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), the current dominant party of Serbia, and including several minor parties.
2016 result for the SNS coalition list: 48,25% (131 MPs)

2. "Socialist Party of Serbia - United Serbia", the second major pro-government list led by "Socialist Party of Serbia" (SPS), a "centre-left" party that was the dominant party during the Milošević era, today led by Foreign Minister Ivica Dačić.
Includes "United Serbia" (party of populist de facto mayor of Jagodina Dragan Marković Palma, a former member of far-right "Party of Serbian Unity" (SSJ) of warlord Željko Ražnatović Arkan) and two minor parties.
2016 result: 10,95% (29)

3. "Serbian Radical Party" (SRS), a far-right party led by convicted war criminal Vojislav Šešelj.
2016 result: 8,10% (22)

4. "Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians" (SVM), pro-government ethnic Hungarian party with close ties to Fidesz, the dominant party of Hungary. Led by István Pásztor.
2016 result: 1,5% (4)

5. "Aleksandar Šapić - Victory for Serbia", the list of Serbian Patriotic Alliance (SPAS), a self-described conservative party led by Aleksandar Šapić, mayor of Novi Beograd, former water polo player and a former member of Democratic Party (DS).

6. "For Kingdom of Serbia", coalition led by Movement for Restoration of Kingdom of Serbia (POKS), a monarchist party led by Žika Gojković, a pro-government MP and a former member of conservative Serbian Renewal Movement (SPO).

7. "United Democratic Serbia", a self-described pro-EU coalition of Serbia 21 (composed of people from DS backgrounds), Vojvodina regionalist party LSV (led by Nenad Čanak), "Party of Modern Serbia" (SMS, a splinter from Enough is Enough (DJB)) and a few minor parties.
The candidates on the list in 2016 have participated on DS+ and SDS-LSV-LDP lists.
Fun fact: one of the candidates on the list is also a candidate on the SNS list in Bujanovac https://www.juznevesti.com/Politika/Jedna-zena-na-dve-liste-Na-lokalu-SNS-za-parlament-UDS.sr.html

8. "Academic Muamer Zukorlić - Only Forward" - coalition led by Party of Justice and Reconciliation (SPP), an Islamist and ethnic Bosniak political party led by Muamer Zukorlić, pro-government MP and spiritual leader of one of two rival Islamic communities in Serbia. Includes ethnic Macedonian "Democratic Party of Macedonians" (DPM).
2016 result for BDZS: 0,86% (2)

9. "Broom 2020" (Metla 2020) - coalition led by conservative Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) of Miloš Jovanović. Includes minor and local parties.
2016 result for DSS-Dveri (Dveri boycotts the election): 5,04% (13)

10. "Let Health Win" - right-wing coalition of "Healthy Serbia" (ZS) led by Milan Stamatović, mayor of Čajetina and former DSS member, "Better Serbia" (BS) led by Dragan Jovanović, mayor of Topola and former New Serbia (NS) member, and Together for Šumadija (ZZŠ) led by former mayor of Kragujevac Verko Stevanović.

11. "Party of Democratic Action of Sandžak" (SDA) - ethnic Bosniak party led by Sulejman Ugljanin modelled on the Bosnian SDA.
2016 result: 0,8% (2)

12. "Serbian Party Oathkeepers" - far-right party led by Milica Đurđević Stamenkovski.
2016 result: 0,73%

13. "People's Bloc" - coalition led by right-wing New Serbia (NS) of Velimir Ilić, including minor parties.
NS in 2016 participated on the SNS+ list, but it left the ruling coalition during the parliamentary term.

14. "Free Citizens Movement" (PSG) - centre-left social-liberal party led by actor Sergej Trifunović. The party was pro-boycott until recently.

15. "Souverainists" (Suverenisti) - a list of "Enough is Enough" (DJB) movement led by former economy minister Saša Radulović. Their ideology shifted from technocratic centrism to anti-globalist populism. The movement was pro-boycott until recently.
2016 result for DJB: 6,02% (16)

16. "Albanian Democratic Alternative - United Valley" - coalition of ethnic Albanian parties representing Albanians from Preševo, Bujanovac and Medveđa municipalities in southern Serbia.
2016 result for PDD/PVD: 0,43% (1)

17. "1 out of 5 million" - movement led by some of the leaders of anti-government protests. The movement was pro-boycott until recently.

18. "Let the Masks Fall" - coalition of liberal New Party (Nova) led by Zoran Živković, former DS member and PM after the assasination of Zoran Đinđić, and Green Party (ZS) (not to be confused with many other similarly named parties) led by MP Goran Čabradi.
2016 result for ZS: 0,63% (1). Nova participated in the DS+ coalition.

19. "Russian Party" - an "ethnic Russian" pro-Russia party with very few (if any) ethnic Russian members, led by Slobodan Nikolić, an ethnic Serb. The Electoral Commision of Serbia didn't award minority status to the list, which means that the standard 3% threshold applies to the list.
2016 result: 0,36%

20. "Coalition for Peace" - led by Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) of Čedomir Jovanović (ex DS). Includes minor ethnic minority parties.
LDP in 2016. has participated on the SDS-LSV-LDP list.

21. "Leviathan Movement - I Live for Serbia" - coalition of two far-right movements - an "animal rights" movement and an anti-vaccination movement. Described in the previous post.

Notable pro-boycott parties, movements and individuals:

Alliance for Serbia, including:
- Democratic Party (DS) (led by Zoran Lutovac, centre-left) PES member
- Dveri (led by Boško Obradović, right-wing)
- People's Party (led by Vuk Jeremić ex DS, centre-right)
- Party of Freedom and Justice (SSP) (led by Dragan Đilas ex DS, centre-left)
- Fatherland (led by Slaviša Ristić ex DSS, right-wing)
- minor parties and movements

Civic Front - alliance of leftist and localist movements, including:
- Don't Drown Belgrade (NDM BGD)
- Local Front (Kraljevo) (Lokalni front)
- minor local parties

- Democratic Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians (DZVM/VMDK), minor ethnic Hungarian party with representatives in Parliament of Vojvodina
- Luka Maksimović ("Ljubiša Preletačević Beli"), the third place candidate in the 2017 Serbian presidential election

Parties boycotting the parliamentary election, contesting some local elections:
- Together for Serbia (ZZS), led by Mayor of Šabac Nebojša Zelenović, a former DS member
- Social Democratic Party (SDS), led by former President of Serbia Boris Tadić, a former DS member

Elections for Assembly of Autonomous Province of Vojvodina

The 120 seats will be chosen by party-list proportional representation, with 3% threshold (5% until recently) that does not apply to ethnic minority lists.
There are 9 lists, compared to 15 in 2016 - some of the 2016 lists are boycotting (SZS parties and DZVM/VMDK), while others aren't contesting the election due to lack of resources.
This is the second parliamentary election boycotted by a large part of the opposition - the first was in 1992.

1. "Aleksandar Vučić - For our children" (SNS+) (2016: 44,48%, 63 seats)
2. SPS-JS (2016: 8,86%, 12)
3. SRS (2016: 7,66%, 10)
4. SVM/VMSZ (ethnic Hungarian party) (2016: 4,88%, 6)
5. "Vojvodina Front" (LSV and minor parties) (2016: 6,43% for LSV + 0,51% for "Vojvodina Tolerance", 9)
6. "For Kingdom of Serbia - For Serbian Voivodeship" (POKS and minor parties)
7. "Broom 2020" (DSS and minor parties) (2016 DSS-Dveri: 3,24%)
8. "Coalition for Peace" (supported by LDP, formally a coalition of 2 ethnic minority parties) (2016 SDS-LDP: 2,78%)
9. "Academic Muamer Zukorlić - Only Forward" (DPM-SPP, ethnic minority coalition)

Analysis of the election and the lists (in Serbian): http://voice.org.rs/pokrajinski-izbori-2020-predstava-pluralizma-bez-ugrozavanja-vlasti/ (Google Translate)

Local elections will be covered in the next post.

[Former President tack50]

Why is Vucic so popular? (to the point of almost having no opposition)

I know Serbian democracy is uh, not great to say the least; maybe comparable to Hungary or something but still he also seems to be genuinely popular?

Speaking of which, how "rigged" is the election expected to be? (not like it matters since the opposition is boycotting but still)

[Omega21]

Why is Vucic so popular? (to the point of almost having no opposition)

I know Serbian democracy is uh, not great to say the least; maybe comparable to Hungary or something but still he also seems to be genuinely popular?

Speaking of which, how "rigged" is the election expected to be? (not like it matters since the opposition is boycotting but still)

That really depends on how you look at it.

It's rigged in the sense that if you have a public sector job, you most likely got it from Mr Vucic, and then you and your close family is expected to vote for them.

It's not that rigged in the sense of ballot stuffing etc. Although some pesky dead people do tend to show up and vote sometimes, it's still more of a joke than a result altering trend. 

Most national channels are controlled by the SNS as well, so that really doesn't help anything either. You can watch his propaganda, or turn on the CNN aligned N1 tv station that spews US propaganda, that's basically it.

Plus, even if they didn't boycott, the opposition is a steaming pile of sh***. The PSG guy is on coke 24/7, the DJB has a weird anti-EU pro-Trump America/"Soveregnist" stance, and the others range from bad and unorganised (like the old Democrats) to even worse right-wing conservative like Dveri or far-right like SRS (Seselj).

Basically it's the case of picking your poison.

[Keep Calm and ...]

Exit polls

https://twitter.com/RTS_Vesti/status/1274783033527341057

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1274787230511497216

[bigic]

Actually these are not exit polls, they are results from a sample of polling stations. Exit polls were banned until recently and AFAIK there is just an experimental exit poll for Belgrade municipality of Voždovac.

[Omega21]

It's not like this was not expected, lol...

I ain't even mad.

I'm glad Sapic got in, he's at least somewhat of a humanitarian.

Apart from that, also glad Seselj is most likely going for good. Just hope he fits through the door on his way out and doesn't slip on a Banana (most of you probably won't get the last part, congrats if you do!).

[pilskonzept]

Well....the opposition had it coming, both with the boycott and especially with the endless splintering.

And the West tacitly encouraged Vucic to Orbanize Serbia as long as he kept decent relations with the neighbours, i.e. by staying away from any territorial pretensions.

Let's see what happens now that a) Vucic is the undisputed ruler of Serbia and b) there is no longer a political West.

[bigic]

Turnout projections:
SNS: 50,2%
CRTA: between 48 and 49%
CeSID and Ipsos: 47,7% ("without Kosovo and prisons")
In 2016 turnout was 56,7%.

Result projection:
CeSID and Ipsos (updated): SNS+ (Vučić), SPS-JS (Dačić), SPAS (Šapić) and ethnic minority lists in parliament.
https://twitter.com/CeSIDBeograd/status/1274817636006846465

https://twitter.com/CeSIDBeograd/status/1274826608956837895

CRTA: Same lists in parliament as in CeSID and Ipsos projection. SNS+ "over 58%", SPS-JS "between 9 and 11%", SPAS "between 3,5 and 4,5%"
https://twitter.com/CRTArs/status/1274807242198585346