International COVID-19 Megathread (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 10:50:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  International General Discussion (Moderators: afleitch, Hash)
  International COVID-19 Megathread (search mode)
Thread note
Please try to avoid posting unverified info/spreading unwarranted panic.


Pages: [1]
Author Topic: International COVID-19 Megathread  (Read 448888 times)
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« on: April 23, 2021, 09:35:01 AM »

The rise of COVID-19 in India is very frightening.

330,000+ cases in one day and in fact it has surpassed the USA in per capita COVID-19 new cases per day.

Exponential growth! 20% Positivity Rate! 😬😬😬







Best of wishes to the people in India who are suffering from this disease.
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2021, 04:51:03 AM »
« Edited: April 30, 2021, 06:50:06 AM by Abdullah »

Obviously the accuracy of stats reported and when/where the zenith of cases will appear can affect such a comparison, but over the past few days, the reported data doesn't suggest there is some mass number of deaths in India (yet) relative to the US.

US Population: 23.91% of India
US Deaths, Past 3 Days: 25.57% of India
US Cases, Past 3 Days: 14.49% of India

It's all about the positivity rates

India: 20.3% and rapidly rising
USA: 6.2% and steadily rising

Source: ourworldindata

The first wave in India seems to have largely avoided the urban middle class, because they could afford to lockdown, but the slum-dwellers couldn't. That gave the impression in India's political elite and mainstream media that India as a whole went off lightly. But this wave shattered that illusion. There's no way that India's real death toll is less than a million by now. I can't imagine what happened in rural areas that lacked any modern infrastructure.

Honestly, most people in rural areas in India* probably got off better than those in urban areas. People in rural areas are generally more active, less obese, and healthier than those in urban areas, even if they're somewhat poorer in material terms.

As for those people who got to critical condition though in rural areas (prob 2% definitely way lower than the percentage in America), they definitely had a lower rate of survival, though. For the elderly especially its incredibly horrid what's happening. Sad

I think that actually only reason we hear about this wave is probably because it's actually affecting the urban middle class who are relatively unhealthy and have a much higher death rate compared to both the rural areas and the upper-class areas. If something happened in the rural areas there sadly wouldn't be much concern. It'd sweep through kill a few million people (which while tragic is a drop in the bucket) and nobody would notice otherwise.  Sad

I could be wrong though.
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #2 on: August 01, 2021, 01:39:22 PM »

We've been lucky in Pakistan for far too long

Delta Variant has broken out in Karachi megacity and they have been put under lockdown. Positivity rates in non-Sindh parts of the country remain low though for now.

National Positive Rate last six days: 7.88%

Sindh: 13.54%
Punjab: 3.38%
KPK: 3.95%
Balochistan: 4.95%
ICT: 9.07% (also getting into yikes territory)
AJK: 20.65% (damn)
Gilgit-Baltistan: 8.26%

Vaccination efforts are speeding up as 1 Million new people take shots every day but it isn't a fast process.

24 Million people (11% of population) have Dose One (+750K yesterday)
6.5 Million have (3%) have Dose Two (+200K yesterday)
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #3 on: August 10, 2021, 06:50:50 PM »

Positivity Rates in Pakistan on the downtrend:


Image Link

India-style crisis averted once again
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2021, 08:50:15 PM »
« Edited: September 06, 2021, 08:56:33 PM by Clarevoyance »


What politicization does to a country! Sad

Very disappointing how America's anti-vaccination movement has grown to be larger than those of Europe (previously the largest) over the COVID-19 pandemic.
Logged
_.
Abdullah
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,300
United States
P P P
« Reply #5 on: November 26, 2021, 09:30:05 AM »

It looks to have a R0 of 35 and a case fatality rate of 10-25% as well.

Proof?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.025 seconds with 10 queries.