A Campaign which will Shape a New Decade- A 2020 Election Prediction Mini TL

[OSR stands with Israel]

So with Iowa just a a week and a half away I am gonna start a mini TL where I basically predict the direction of how I think the 2020 Primaries and General Election campaign will go .


Format:

I: The Primaries

- The Early States
- Super Tuesday
- Primaries between Super Tuesday and the North East Primaries(If Necessary)
- Rest of Primaries(If Necessary)


II: Conventions(Each Convention will be summarized in one post though)

- VP Selection
- Main Speakers
- Summary of Speeches

III: General Election campaign

- Summarize Main Events of Campaign
- Summarize All the Debates(Each Debate will be one post)
- Battleground Map

IV: Election Night

- Each post will encompass one hour on election night
- Battleground Senate and Gubernatorial Races will be mentioned
- Individual House races won't be mentioned but the projected composition will be mentioned once in each post
- Victory Speeches and Concession Speeches

V: Post Election Night

- The Cabinet of a 2nd Term Trump or 1st term cabinet of the new Democratic President-Elect(Will encompass 3-4 posts)
- If Trump wins a pre-inauguration Press Conference, if Trump loses a Farewell speech

[President Johnson]

TL idea endorsed. Would actually be interesting to see President Michael Bloomberg.

[OBD]

TL idea endorsed. Would actually be interesting to see President Michael Bloomberg.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Democratic Primary Results: The Early Four

Iowa Caucus:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 24% 13 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 22% 12 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 16% 8 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 15% 8 Delegates
Senator Amy Klobuchar  10%
Businessman Andrew Yang 9%
Businessman Tom Steyer 2%
All Others 2%


Dropouts after Primary Results: Amy Klobuchar, Michael Bennett


New Hampshire Primary:

Senator Bernie Sanders 34% 11 Delegates
Former Vice President Joe Biden 24% 7 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 18% 6 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 13%
Businessman Andrew Yang 7%
Businessman Tom Steyer 3%
All Others 3%

Drop Outs:  John Delaney, Deval Patrick


Nevada Caucus:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 35% 19 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 33% 17 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14%
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 7%
Businessman Andrew Yang 6%
Businessman Tom Steyer 4%
All Others 1%

Drop Outs: Elizabeth Warren, Pete Buttigieg


South Carolina Primary:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 63% 39 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 25% 15 Delegates
Businessman Tom Steyer 6%
Businessman Andrew Yang 4%
Congresswomen Tulsi Gabbard 1%
All Others 1%


Drop Outs: None


Total Delegate Count:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 78 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 55 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 8 Delegates




Warren Endorses Senator Bernie Sanders before Super Tuesday while Buttigieg and Klobuchar endorse Former Vice President Joe Biden


Cooper: In a move that could shape Super Tuesday , former Presidential candidate , Senator Elizabeth Warren endorsed Senator Sanders for the Presidency calling him the best candidate to take on Trump and push through a progressive agenda in the White House. Their fued which erupted right before the Iowa Caucuses seemed to have been resolved or else Senator Warren probably would not have endorsed Senator Sanders.

On the other hand Mayor Buttigieg and Senator Klobuchar have also announced their endorsements and they announced that they both will be endorsing Vice President Biden. So at this point it looks like Super Tuesday will be a repeat of 2016 with Biden taking on the role of Secretary Clinton and Senator Sanders taking on his role from 2016 but with one twist of the possibility that Mr.Bloomberg could cut into Vice President Biden's vote on Super Tuesday and Mr.Steyer and Mr.Yang could cut into Senator Sanders's vote.

[OSR stands with Israel]

TL idea endorsed. Would actually be interesting to see President Michael Bloomberg.

Thanks , I hope you guys like it and feel free to comment on these results given that it’s a prediction TL and tell me the parts your agree and disagree with this .


Final note is this TL will not be covering the winner’s term so it will end when this TL gets to Jan 19 2021

[UWS]

Surprising that Gabbard didn't drop out even after weak showing in New Hampshire which I think is the state she's counting on.

[OBD]

Looks good, but I'm fairly certain you need 15% to get delegates.

[Huey Long is a Republican]

Looks good, but I'm fairly certain you need 15% to get delegates.

Yeah, the Democrats need a candidate to win 15% of the vote in any state  during a state primary/caucus to get a single delegate. Only the republican system is different.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Looks good, but I'm fairly certain you need 15% to get delegates.

Yeah, the Democrats need a candidate to win 15% of the vote in any state  during a state primary/caucus to get a single delegate. Only the republican system is different.

Ok thanks guys, I will edit that soon .


I wonder though what would happen hypothetically if no candidate reaches the 15% threshold. Would all the delegates be unpledged then

[Nightcore Nationalist]

Looking forward to it.

Did Bloomberg drop out in your TL? 

[OSR stands with Israel]

Looking forward to it.

Did Bloomberg drop out in your TL? 

No Bloomberg is still in the race, its just that he wasnt on the ballot in the states before Super Tuesday because of the fact that he entered the race after the filing deadline had passed for those 4 states

[OSR stands with Israel]

Former Vice President Joe Biden wins Texas and 7 other contests on Super Tuesday while Senator Bernie Sanders wins California and 6 other contests.



Wolf Blitzer: Before we end our coverage lets recap the night, first by looking at the States Vice President Biden won from East to West


Contests won by Vice President Joe Biden:

Virginia: Biden 44% 50 Delegates, Sanders 28% 32 Delegates, Bloomberg 16% 17 Delegates, Yang 7% , Steyer 3%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

North Carolina: Biden 45% 61 Delegates, Sanders 36% 49 Delegates, Bloomberg 7%, Yang 6%, Steyer 4%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Tennessee: Biden 62% 45 Delegates, Sanders 26% 19 Delegates, Yang 4%, Bloomberg 3%, Steyer 3%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Alabama: Biden 66% 40 Delegates, Sanders 19% 12 Delegates, Bloomberg 6%, Yang 5%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Arkansas: Biden 56% 20 Delegates, Sanders 30% 11 Delegates, Bloomberg 5% , Yang 4%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 2%, All Others 1%

Oklahoma: Biden 45% 19 Delegates, Sanders 43% 18 Delegates, Yang 4%, Bloomberg 3%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 2%, All Others 1%

Texas: Biden 49% 141 Delegates, Sanders 30% 87 Delegates, Bloomberg 11%, Yang 6%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

American Samoa: Biden 55% 4 Delegates, Sanders 20% 1 Delegate, Gabbard 16% 1 Delegate, Steyer 4%, Yang 2%, Bloomberg 2%, Others 1%


Blitzer: Ok Now lets look at the states that Senator Sanders won again from East to West

Contests won by Senator Sanders

Maine: Sanders 61% 18 Delegates, Biden 21% 6 Delegates , Yang 9%, Bloomberg 4%, Seyer 3%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Vermont: Sanders 81% 16 Delegates, Biden 10%, Yang 4%, Bloomberg 2%, Steyer 1%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Massachusetts : Sanders 46% 46 Delegates, Biden 29% 29 Delegates, Bloomberg 16% 16 Delegates, Yang 5%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Minnesota: Sanders 44% 43 Delegates, Biden 33% 32 Delegates, Yang 11%, Bloomberg 7%, Steyer 3%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

Colorado: Sanders 45% 38 Delegates, Biden 34% 29 Delegates, Yang 9%, Bloomberg 7%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 2%, All Others 1%

Utah: Sanders 44% 15 Delegates, Biden 42% 14 Delegates, Yang 8%, Bloomberg 4%, Steyer 2%, Gabbard 1%, All Others 1%

California: Sanders 38% 213 Delegates, Biden 36% 202 Delegates, Bloomberg 10% Yang 8%, Steyer 5%, Gabbard 2%, All Others 1%


Blitzer: Now lets look at the overall map with John King so far


King: I just want people to remember last year everyone was talking about the fact that how different the democratic primary would be to 2016, with so many new candidates such as Harris, Booker, Warren , Beto but the fact is its shaping up to basically be 2016 but even closer with Biden taking the role of Hillary Clinton and Bernie reprising his role from 2016.

Total Delegate Count:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 770 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 673 Delegates
Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg 33 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 8 Delegates
Congresswomen Tulsi Gabbard 1 Delegate


King: In my opinion the nomination will very much well be decided on Super Tuesday II when Illionis and Ohio vote and if Biden wins , its probably over especially with Bloomberg saying if he doesnt win a state by then he will drop out as well.

Blitzer: Talking about drop outs , both Tom Steyer and Tulsi Gabbard have dropped out of the race and Mr.Yang is saying if he doesnt get at least 25% in Michigan he will drop out as well then.

King: I wonder if Mr.Yang drops out after Michigan if Mayor Bloomberg also will drop out then as well

[OSR stands with Israel]

Yang and Bloomberg drop out after poor showing on mini Tuesday making the contest a two race between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders.

Blitzer: After poor performances on this mini Tuesday , both Andrew Yang and Michael Bloomberg have dropped out of the race making this now a two way race between Former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Bernie Sanders. Now lets look at the states won tonight by Former Vice President Biden from east to west


Contests won by Former Vice President Biden:

Mississippi: Biden 79% 36 Delegates, Bernie 12%, Bloomberg 4%, Yang 3%, Others 1%

Missouri: Biden 46% 34 Delegates, Bernie 45% 34 Delegates, Yang 5%, Bloomberg 3%, Others 1%

North Dakota: Biden 52% 8 Delegates, Bernie 40% 6 Delegates, Yang 6%, Bloomberg 1%, Others 1%


Blitzer: Now lets look at the contests won by Senator Bernie Sanders


Contests won by Senator Bernie Sanders


Michigan: Bernie 43% 65 Delegates, Biden 40% 60 Delegates, Yang 9%, Bloomberg 7%, Others 1%

Idaho: Bernie 60% 13 Delegates, Biden 32% 7 Delegates, Yang 4%, Bloomberg 3%, Others 1%

Washington: Bernie 54% 57 Delegates, Biden 30% 32 Delegates, Bloomberg 9%, Yang 6%, Others 1%

Democrats Abroad : Bernie: 61% 8 Delegates, Biden 33% 5 Delegates, Bloomberg 3%, Yang 2%, Others 1%


Blitzer: Now lets go over to John King to look at the map

King: And here it is

Total Delegate Count:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 952 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 856 Delegates
Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg 33 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 8 Delegates
Congresswomen Tulsi Gabbard 1 Delegate


King: Due to the fact that Mr.Yang didnt have a strong performance in Michigan, a state that many in his campaign thought was tailor made for his type of message is why he dropped out . In response to that , Mayor Bloomberg who exit polls show time and time again takes votes overwhelmingly from Vice President Biden has dropped out because the fact is if he was in the race it would benefit the progressive wing who now will be completely united behind Senator Sanders.

As for tonight , things didnt change much at all and next Tuesday will be a critical turning point because if Vice President Biden can win Ohio and Illinois, it will be very hard for Senator Sanders to win the nomination given how many few big states will be left and one of them being Vice President Biden's 2nd home state, Pennsylvania. If Senator Sanders wins both , he will probably be the favorite moving forward given the map but if they split it well then the nomination battle will be a complete tossup and wont be decided till June.

[Pericles]

Interesting TL. I think Biden is the nominee in this scenario, I'm not sure yet how he'd do against Trump. My personal opinion is basically the opposite of the conventional wisdom and thinks that he and Warren are the weakest of the top 4, of course being a weak candidate doesn't mean you can't win  but it just makes it harder.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Interesting TL. I think Biden is the nominee in this scenario, I'm not sure yet how he'd do against Trump. My personal opinion is basically the opposite of the conventional wisdom and thinks that he and Warren are the weakest of the top 4, of course being a weak candidate doesn't mean you can't win  but it just makes it harder.

I think the polls are underestimating Biden and the way the Democratic primaries are , the South gives a huge advantage to one candidate which neither Hillary in 08 or Bernie in 16 were able to overcome.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Biden greatly expands delegate lead in primaries between Mini Tuesday and Acela Primaries



Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joe_Biden#2020_presidential_campaign

John King: Going into tomorrow Acela's primaries , Senator Sanders will need a big night if he wants to have a good chance at winning the nomination and the reason is his performance since this became a 2 way race has not been that great and Vice President Biden has greatly expanded his lead.

Here is a summary of those contests since this primary became a 2 person race, and lets first look at the contests Vice President Biden won, from East to West

Contests won by Former Vice President Biden

Puerto Rico: Biden 56% 29 Delegates, Bernie 43% 22 Delegates

Florida: Biden 64% 140 Delegates, Bernie 35% 79 Delegates

Georgia: Biden 69% 73 Delegates, Bernie 30% 32 Delegates

Ohio: Biden 53% 73 Delegates, Bernie 46% 63 Delegates

Illinois: Biden 51% 80 Delegates, Bernie 48% 75 Delegates

Louisiana: Biden 74% 40 Delegates, Bernie 25% 14 Delegates

Arizona: Biden 54% 37 Delegates, Bernie 45% 30 Delegates

Northern Mariana: Biden 55% 4 Delegates, Sanders 44% 2 Delegates

King: Now lets do the same for Senator Sanders

Contests won by Senator Bernie Sanders:

Wisconsin: Bernie 57% 48 Delegates, Biden 42% 36 Delegates

Wyoming: Bernie 53% 8 Delegates, Biden 46% 6 Delegates

Alaska: Bernie 70% 11 Delegates, Biden 29% 4 Delegates

Hawaii: Bernie 74% 18 Delegates, Biden 25% 6 Delegates



King: Now lets look at the overall map and delegate count

Total Delegate Count:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 1553 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 1258 Delegates
Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg 33 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 8 Delegates
Congresswomen Tulsi Gabbard 1 Delegate

King: As you can see now Vice President Biden has a solid 295 Delegate lead currently and needs just 37% of the remaining delegates to win the nomination while Senator Sanders needs around 62%. Now one caveat to that is that the schedule after the Acela primary completely favors Senator Sanders so if he does well tommorow he still will have a chance. Now the question is how well, so lets find out. In the first scenario, lets say Vice President Biden and Senator Sanders split the amount of delegates so out of 663 lets give Vice President Biden 331 Delegates and Senator Sanders 332 , so not an exact split but basically so. That would give Vice President Biden 1884 Delegates and just put him just 106 Delegates short of the nomination. That would mean that Vice President Biden would just need just a little more than 20% of remaining delegates to win the Nomination which almost certainly would happen. So if both Vice President Biden and Senator Sanders split tomorrow, the primary will basically be over.

Now lets look at scenario two and that lets give Senator Sanders 60% of the delegates tomorrow. That would give Senator Sanders a total of 1666 Delegates and he would need then 62%-63% of remaining delegates which would be really possible with the schedule ahead and you could say even probably to happen in that case. Now on the other hand if you just give him 55% which would give 1623 Delegates and then he would need over 70% of the remaining Delegates which would be very unlikely.


So I would say if Vice President Biden wins tomorrow its over, if Senator Sanders has a narrow victory than its most likely over but not totally over and if Senator Sanders can get over that 60% mark then it's anybody's nomination.

[538Electoral]

Interesting.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Despite Defeat in New York , Biden comes out night big winner thanks to large wins in Pennsylvania, Maryland and Deleware



Blitzer: To review the night, lets first look at the states won by Vice President Biden, once again from East to West


Contests won By Former Vice President Biden:

Deleware: Biden 66% 14 Delegates , Bernie 33% 7 Delegates
Maryland: Biden 59% 57 Delegates, Bernie 40% 39 Delegates
Pennsyvnaia: Biden: 60% 113 Delegates  , Bernie 39% 73 Delegates

Blitzer: Now lets do the same thing for Senator Sanders

Contests won by Senator Bernie Sanders:

Rhode Island: Bernie 57% 15 Delegates, Biden 42% 11 Delegates
Connecticut: Bernie 55% 33 Delegates , Biden 44% 27 Delegates
New York: Bernie 53% 147 Delegates, Biden 46% 127 Delegates


Blitzer: Now lets walk over to John King and look at the magic wall , and John despite a win in New York today was not a good day for Senator Sanders

King: No it wasnt, not even close and lets look why , first lets look at the overall map and the overall delegate count

Total Delegate Count:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 1901 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 1572 Delegates
Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg 33 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 8 Delegates
Congresswomen Tulsi Gabbard 1 Delegate

King: Just to remind everyone you need 1990 Delegates to win the nomination on the first ballot, so Vice President Biden is just 89 Delegates short of that magic number and there is a total of 522 Delegates left meaning he only needs a little more than 17% of the remaining Delegates to win the nomination, 17%. That would mean that Senator Bernie Sanders would have to perform basically even better than he did in his home state of Vermont from here on to win the nomination and that just wont happen.

To say so is like saying that Donald Trump can win the election despite losing every battleground state,  Texas and Georgia by winning California and New York which yes is Mathematically possible but just wont happen.


Van Jones: I agree, I think Senator Sanders realistically has no shot at the nomination


Blitzer: Well Senator Sanders in his speech today said he wont drop out until and unless Vice President Biden crosses the magic number of 1990 Delegates.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Breaking News: Joe Biden will be the Presumptive Democratic Nominee



Wolf Blitzer: The polls are about to close in Kentucky and we have some breaking news to project to you

Breaking News: Joe Biden wins Democratic Nomination
Wolf Blitzer: CNN can now project that former Vice President Joe Biden will be the presumptive Democratic Nominee and face President Donald Trump in November's election. Now lets go over to John King who will explain why we can make this projection

King: First lets go over the results of the race since the end of the Acela Primary

Contests won by Former Vice President Biden:

Indiana: Biden 54% 45 Delegates, Bernie 45% 37 Delegates
Guam: Biden 60% 4 Delegates Bernie 39% 3 Delegates

Contests won by Senator Bernie Sanders:

West Virginia: Bernie 53% 15 Delegates , Biden 46% 13 Delegates
Nebraska: Bernie 51% 15 Delegates , Biden 48% 14 Delegates
Kansas: Bernie 59% 23 Delegates , Biden 40% 16 Delegates

King: Now people may be saying wait didnt Bernie win more states since the well that's true, but remember Vice President Biden as only 89 Delegates short of the nomination after the Acela Primary and since then has won another 92 meaning he has surpassed the magic 1990 delegate number any candidate needs for the nomination. Lets look at the map and total delegate count to help understand this more

Total Delegate Count:

Former Vice President Joe Biden 1993 Delegates
Senator Bernie Sanders 1665 Delegates
Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg 33 Delegates
Senator Elizabeth Warren 14 Delegates
Mayor Pete Buttigieg 8 Delegates
Congresswomen Tulsi Gabbard 1 Delegate


Former President Obama and DNC Chair Tom Perez announce endorsements of Former Vice President Joe Biden




Tweet from Former President Barack Obama: It is my great honor and privilege to endorse my friend Joe Biden for the Presidency of the United States and one of the best Vice Presidents this nation has ever seen. He will be a President who will represent all Americans and restore honor and dignity to the White House.


Tweet from DNC Chair Tom Perez: It has been a great primary season for our party, debating all sorts of new ideas and I want to thank Vice President Biden, Senator Sanders and all the candidates in this race for running a great race but it is now time for us to unite to defeat one of the worst Presidents this nation has ever seen, Donald Trump .


Senator Bernie Sanders Suspends Campaign after Former Vice President Joe Biden clinches nomination:




Wolf Blitzer: Senator Bernie Sanders in his concession speech today announced that he would be dropping out of the race as a result of today's primary and said he would be endorsing him as well.

Bernie: With my opponent, Vice President Joe Biden officially getting enough pledged delegates to win the Democratic Nomination, we will have no choice but to drop out of the race as it is no longer possible for us to win the nomination.  That does not mean the fight is over as we must fight for progressive candidates down the ballot in Congress and yes we must support Vice President Biden for the Presidency as the fact is we just cannot reelect Donald Trump who has given everything to the rich, denies climate change and panders to racists.

 

[OSR stands with Israel]

Joe Biden's VP Shortlist:

Kamala Harris:




Elizabeth Warren:



Tammy Baldwin:



Joe Sestak:



Doug Jones:



Amy Klobuchar:



Julian Castro:



Michael Bennet:

[President Johnson]

Biden/Harris would be the best ticket here

[OSR stands with Israel]

Joe Biden names Amy Klobacher as running mate



Cooper: We have some breaking news to report and that is that Vice President Biden as officially named Minnesota Senator and former Presidential Candidate Amy Klobuchar as his running mate. We are told yesterday he was deciding between Senator Klobuchar, Senator Harris and Senator Baldwin and it looks like he has chosen Senator Klobuchar

King: Yes and while we dont know about the reasons why he didnt go with the other two , here are some major ones we can speculate about. For Senator Baldwin, it is that the state of Wisconsin does not allow the governor of the state to fill the vacancy and instead his filled by a special election which is held 3 months later, which means if we have a 50-50 Senate in November, it will become a 50-49 Republican-controlled senate for at least 3 months. Another fact is history because the fact is the party in power usually does not do well in off-year elections especially in battleground states, so it would be more likely than not the Republicans would take that seat so it would be better for Democrats if Senator Baldwin stayed in the seante than become Vice President.

For Senator Harris, well the simple reasons is she doesn't directly help the ticket in battleground states anywhere near, as well as Senator Klobuchar does. Senator Klobuchar helped the ticket in states such as Wisconsin, Michigan, Iowa and helps keep Minnesota in the Democratic fold while Senator Harris does help in a state like Arizona she doesn't help much in flipping other states because President Trump can be reelected if he loses Arizona if he wins Wisconsin and either Pennsylvania or Michigan while on the other hand if he wins Arizona, he still would lose if he loses just one of those 3 Rust Belt states.


Cooper: Ok now lets see Senator Klobuchar's introduction speech

Biden: It is my honor to introduce to you my running mate and the next Vice President of the United States, Amy Klobuchar(Applause).

Klobuchar: Thank You, Thank You. I am honored to be your running mate Mr.Vice President, and I am honored to be this great party's nominee for Vice President. This election campaign will be the most important election campaign of our lifetimes because the fact is President Trump has spent the last 4 years dividing our nation instead of uniting it, disgraced the office of the Presidency with his behavior,  has isolated us from the rest of the world and even denies what the entire scientific community says about the impacts of Climate Change. On the other hand Vice President, Biden will restore honor and dignity to Oval Office, unite the country once again, will reaffirm our commitments with our allies, take action to deal with the issue of climate change, and work to make sure every American can afford Healthcare(Applause) instead of implement policies what take healthcare away from people.

Thank You, May God Bless You and May God Bless America

[OBD]

Good geographic balance for Biden, but definitely sacrificing minority support. Could this indicate a Rust Belt strategy?

[OSR stands with Israel]

Good geographic balance for Biden, but definitely sacrificing minority support. Could this indicate a Rust Belt strategy?

I disagree, polls through most of the primary showed that Biden was the strongest candidate among minority voters even more so than Kamala , Castro, Booker etc so I dont really find the argument that Biden would need to name them as his running mate to do well among minority voters that good.

Now if Mayor Pete is the nominee, he will need to name someone like Kamala, Castro or Booker as his running mater given his weakness with minority voters.

[Amtrak Joe]

Very interesting, hope to see more.