ABC NEWS / Post poll : Trump is competitive nationally

[Frenchrepublican]

https://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1210a32020GeneralElection.pdf

[Frenchrepublican]

Trump vs Biden : Biden leads 50/46 (down from a 56/39 lead three months ago)
Trump vs Sanders : Sanders leads 49/47
Trump vs Warren : Tied at 48/48
Trump vs Buttigieg : Buttigieg trails 45/48

Concerning suburban women : ''while it’s the opposite among suburban women. They support Biden by 68-30 percent'' LOL

[Annatar]

Trump vs Biden : Biden leads 50/46
Trump vs Sanders : Sanders leads 49/47
Trump vs Warren : Tied at 48/48
Trump vs Buttigieg : Buttigieg trails 45/48

So far the January average is looking similar to the December average for Biden, 6 H2H reputable polls in December with an average Biden lead of 4.5%, 5 such polls in January with an average Biden lead of 4.8%.


Sanders led by 2.7% in average of December polls, leads by 3.6% in average of January polls so he does seem to have gained some ground vs Trump.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Not that bad results for Trump under assumption that he gain 1-2% going to "likely" voters and keeping if not expanding his electoral college super power.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Good to get the confirmation that the ABC poll was/is an outlier

[Sir Mohamed]

Biden and Sanders numbers would be very similar to the actual result if election was held today. Maybe Sanders by 3-4 instead of 2 pts.

[SN2903]

Trump looking good in these head to heads. He is within the MOE and there isn't even a nominee yet. He could be in the lead in these head to heads by spring/early summer.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Trump looking good in these head to heads. He is within the MOE and there isn't even a nominee yet. He could be in the lead in these head to heads by spring/early summer.
[/quote
These polls arent that different than the Emerson ones, it remains to be seen if Trump ever leads in consecutive polls,. He never lead in polls in 2016 either

[Ebsy]

Further evidence that Buttigieg would be a poisonous general election candidate.

[wbrocks67]

A lot of these polls are doing total rollercoaster acrobatics with poll results from one month to the next.

[soundchaser]

Interesting to note that Trump is basically stuck at his 47% approval rating in this poll - which, based on the average, means he's not making up a lot of ground with voters who don't like him already.

[SN2903]

Interesting to note that Trump is basically stuck at his 47% approval rating in this poll - which, based on the average, means he's not making up a lot of ground with voters who don't like him already.

We already know that. There is no nominee yet though. That could all change when there is a binary choice. Could go up to low 50s.

[soundchaser]

We already know that. There is no nominee yet though. That could all change when there is a binary choice. Could go up to low 50s.

I don't think you understand what I'm saying. If Trump isn't outperforming his *average* approval rating, he's going to have a difficult time.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Interesting to note that Trump is basically stuck at his 47% approval rating in this poll - which, based on the average, means he's not making up a lot of ground with voters who don't like him already.

We already know that. There is no nominee yet though. That could all change when there is a binary choice. Could go up to low 50s.

Not if the impeachment is extended and call for witnesses are now talked about,. Trump will never hit 50 with corruption

[Bidenworth2020]

One thing to note that is consistent through both this poll and the last-- Biden, and Bernie slightly less so, are essentially winning by the same margin as Trump's job approval numbers. If this holds and turns out to be what happens (not certain by any means) I honestly do not see how Trump wins.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I think until the impeachment is over and nominee is selected we can all know that the race is fluid. But, crts has stated Trump should be indicted and the FBI cant do it do R Justice Dept; consequently, voters will have to remove Trump. But Trump is corrupted and factor in to election

[Progressive Pessimist]

If you ask me, really only Biden is in comfortable territory, according to this poll. I have long said that, in order for the Democrat to win the electoral college, they probably need to be consistently beating Trump by three points or more and be at or above 50%.