WI-Marquette Law: Biden +4, Sanders +1, Buttigieg -2, Warren -3
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  WI-Marquette Law: Biden +4, Sanders +1, Buttigieg -2, Warren -3
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette Law: Biden +4, Sanders +1, Buttigieg -2, Warren -3  (Read 2225 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: January 15, 2020, 01:42:46 PM »

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Cinemark
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« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2020, 01:44:26 PM »

And again, more proof Biden is the most electable of the Top 4.
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2020, 01:46:27 PM »

Why does warren consistently underperform sanders in Ge polls even though their platform is same?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2020, 01:46:49 PM »

Annatar and ElectionsBoy owned.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2020, 01:48:07 PM »

Why does warren consistently underperform sanders in Ge polls even though their platform is same?
I think it's because, personality-wise, she's horrible compared to him.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2020, 01:50:14 PM »
« Edited: January 15, 2020, 02:00:57 PM by Cinemark »

I think its pretty much certain Wisconsin is going to look more like this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin

and this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin

and less like this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin

and this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin
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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2020, 01:50:29 PM »

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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2020, 01:51:34 PM »


Map wise it will look more like a mix between 2016 and 2018 Gov.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2020, 01:51:53 PM »

Marquette has consistently been finding Trump with a better job approval than basically any other Wisconsin poll.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2020, 01:53:00 PM »



And yet:



This is the best number in favor of impeachement in Wisconsin so far by Marquette.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2020, 01:58:04 PM »

Proof 854 that Joe Biden is the safest bet to get rid of the Trump clown.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2020, 01:58:58 PM »

Why does warren consistently underperform sanders in Ge polls even though their platform is same?

Lately I have had difficulty envisioning Elizabeth Warren coming out to do the coin toss or first pitch, you know? I don't know if she's able to be the ceremonial figurehead for this country. It's sort of the same with Bernie though but for him, it's not nearly as bad. These people are very frail.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2020, 02:00:29 PM »

Marquette has consistently been finding Trump with a better job approval than basically any other Wisconsin poll.

Wisconsin definitely hasnt budged much on Trump since he became president. He was at 48/52 in the 2018 exit polls and that's where Marquette has continued to find him(give or take a point or two) for most of 2019.

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Matty
boshembechle
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« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2020, 02:25:42 PM »



And yet:



This is the best number in favor of impeachement in Wisconsin so far by Marquette.

Support for removal is -5

Tracks with it being neck and neck nationally

Somewhat irrelevant though.
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #14 on: January 15, 2020, 02:31:28 PM »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.
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Cinemark
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« Reply #15 on: January 15, 2020, 02:34:01 PM »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.

I'm getting kind of sick of this mindset.

Yes, swing state polling was off in 2016. But that does not mean swing state polling is off now. And I should note Marquette nailed the governors race in 2018.
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swf541
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« Reply #16 on: January 15, 2020, 02:34:38 PM »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.

Its also quite possible Trump's support falls by then
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I Can Now Die Happy
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« Reply #17 on: January 15, 2020, 02:41:10 PM »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.

I'm getting kind of sick of this mindset.

Yes, swing state polling was off in 2016. But that does not mean swing state polling is off now. And I should note Marquette nailed the governors race in 2018.

You may end up very disappointed if Trump overperforms again.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: January 15, 2020, 02:47:41 PM »

WI is a Toss-Up. News at 11.
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SN2903
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« Reply #19 on: January 15, 2020, 03:49:37 PM »

WI is lean R
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: January 15, 2020, 03:52:33 PM »


😖😖😖😖

Hard for u to believe Trump will lose WI, and and PA to Bernie and Bennet or Biden and Sally Yates

He has trailed in Fox polls too
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #21 on: January 15, 2020, 03:55:34 PM »

If I had to guess, this is a state where the whole Iran situation is really hurting Trump. He has no one to blame but himself for trailing in what is obviously a must-win state for him.
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Matty
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« Reply #22 on: January 15, 2020, 04:19:09 PM »

If I had to guess, this is a state where the whole Iran situation is really hurting Trump. He has no one to blame but himself for trailing in what is obviously a must-win state for him.

There is zero evidence from this poll that Iran has hurt him

His approvals are up since the strike against QS according to this poll
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #23 on: January 15, 2020, 04:53:04 PM »


Exactly for Warren and Buttigieg, but it's lean D for Biden and tilt D for Sanders.  And either Uncle Joe or Bernie is going to be the nominee.
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SN2903
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« Reply #24 on: January 15, 2020, 05:00:50 PM »


Exactly for Warren and Buttigieg, but it's lean D for Biden and tilt D for Sanders.  And either Uncle Joe or Bernie is going to be the nominee.
It's lean R against all dems. He is within the MOE in all of these polls and polls notoriously undercount his support.
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