|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 04, 2020, 07:58:48 pm
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  WI-Marquette Law: Biden +4, Sanders +1, Buttigieg -2, Warren -3
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print
Author Topic: WI-Marquette Law: Biden +4, Sanders +1, Buttigieg -2, Warren -3  (Read 1030 times)
GeorgiaModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,938


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 15, 2020, 01:42:46 pm »

Logged
Cinemark
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 873


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 15, 2020, 01:44:26 pm »

And again, more proof Biden is the most electable of the Top 4.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 15, 2020, 01:46:27 pm »

Why does warren consistently underperform sanders in Ge polls even though their platform is same?
Logged
heatcharger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,351
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 15, 2020, 01:46:49 pm »

Annatar and ElectionsBoy owned.
Logged
LCameronOR
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,236
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 15, 2020, 01:48:07 pm »

Why does warren consistently underperform sanders in Ge polls even though their platform is same?
I think it's because, personality-wise, she's horrible compared to him.
Logged
Cinemark
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 873


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 15, 2020, 01:50:14 pm »
« Edited: January 15, 2020, 02:00:57 pm by Cinemark »

I think its pretty much certain Wisconsin is going to look more like this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin

and this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin

and less like this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin

and this:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012_United_States_presidential_election_in_Wisconsin
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 15, 2020, 01:50:29 pm »

Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,709
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 15, 2020, 01:51:34 pm »


Map wise it will look more like a mix between 2016 and 2018 Gov.
Logged
wbrocks67
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,525
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 15, 2020, 01:51:53 pm »

Marquette has consistently been finding Trump with a better job approval than basically any other Wisconsin poll.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,709
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 15, 2020, 01:53:00 pm »



And yet:



This is the best number in favor of impeachement in Wisconsin so far by Marquette.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,594
Germany



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 15, 2020, 01:58:04 pm »

Proof 854 that Joe Biden is the safest bet to get rid of the Trump clown.
Logged
Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
Sprouts
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,335
Italy


Political Matrix
E: -4.90, S: 1.74


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 15, 2020, 01:58:58 pm »

Why does warren consistently underperform sanders in Ge polls even though their platform is same?

Lately I have had difficulty envisioning Elizabeth Warren coming out to do the coin toss or first pitch, you know? I don't know if she's able to be the ceremonial figurehead for this country. It's sort of the same with Bernie though but for him, it's not nearly as bad. These people are very frail.
Logged
Cinemark
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 873


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 15, 2020, 02:00:29 pm »

Marquette has consistently been finding Trump with a better job approval than basically any other Wisconsin poll.

Wisconsin definitely hasnt budged much on Trump since he became president. He was at 48/52 in the 2018 exit polls and that's where Marquette has continued to find him(give or take a point or two) for most of 2019.

Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 15, 2020, 02:25:42 pm »



And yet:



This is the best number in favor of impeachement in Wisconsin so far by Marquette.

Support for removal is -5

Tracks with it being neck and neck nationally

Somewhat irrelevant though.
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,963
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 15, 2020, 02:31:28 pm »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.
Logged
Cinemark
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 873


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 15, 2020, 02:34:01 pm »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.

I'm getting kind of sick of this mindset.

Yes, swing state polling was off in 2016. But that does not mean swing state polling is off now. And I should note Marquette nailed the governors race in 2018.
Logged
swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,278


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 15, 2020, 02:34:38 pm »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.

Its also quite possible Trump's support falls by then
Logged
I Can Now Die Happy
NYC Millennial Minority
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,963
United States
Political Matrix
E: 4.39, S: -4.70

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 15, 2020, 02:41:10 pm »

Impeachment support in WI will inevitably go down from 47% once Trump gets justifiably acquitted.

Note that Trump outperformed 2016 Wisconsin polling significantly. There's already the possibility that he'd win it against Biden if it was held today, and there's also the possibility that his numbers will also go up! I can see a Trump margin of victory of maybe around 4% or even a bit more if all goes well.

I'm getting kind of sick of this mindset.

Yes, swing state polling was off in 2016. But that does not mean swing state polling is off now. And I should note Marquette nailed the governors race in 2018.

You may end up very disappointed if Trump overperforms again.
Logged
Make America Malarkey Free Again
xingkerui
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,335
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 15, 2020, 02:47:41 pm »

WI is a Toss-Up. News at 11.
Logged
SN2903
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.35, S: 2.87


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: January 15, 2020, 03:49:37 pm »

WI is lean R
Logged
Cory Booker
olawakandi
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,288
Jamaica


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: January 15, 2020, 03:52:33 pm »


😖😖😖😖

Hard for u to believe Trump will lose WI, and and PA to Bernie and Bennet or Biden and Sally Yates

He has trailed in Fox polls too
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,001
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: January 15, 2020, 03:55:34 pm »

If I had to guess, this is a state where the whole Iran situation is really hurting Trump. He has no one to blame but himself for trailing in what is obviously a must-win state for him.
Logged
marty
boshembechle
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,757


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: January 15, 2020, 04:19:09 pm »

If I had to guess, this is a state where the whole Iran situation is really hurting Trump. He has no one to blame but himself for trailing in what is obviously a must-win state for him.

There is zero evidence from this poll that Iran has hurt him

His approvals are up since the strike against QS according to this poll
Logged
Georgia Swing
mollybecky
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,438


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: January 15, 2020, 04:53:04 pm »


Exactly for Warren and Buttigieg, but it's lean D for Biden and tilt D for Sanders.  And either Uncle Joe or Bernie is going to be the nominee.
Logged
SN2903
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,892
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.35, S: 2.87


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: January 15, 2020, 05:00:50 pm »


Exactly for Warren and Buttigieg, but it's lean D for Biden and tilt D for Sanders.  And either Uncle Joe or Bernie is going to be the nominee.
It's lean R against all dems. He is within the MOE in all of these polls and polls notoriously undercount his support.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines