Emerson poll (National) : Trump tied with Biden but loses to Sanders

[Frenchrepublican]

https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/national-2020-biden-and-sanders-battle-in-two-way-race-for-democratic-nomination

Matchups:

Trump vs Biden : 50/50 tied
Trump vs Sanders : Sanders leads 51/49
Trump vs Warren : 50/50 tied
Trump vs Buttigieg : Trump leads 52/48

[Annatar]

So far in the rcp average this month there have been 3 H2H polls and Biden has averaged a 3.7% lead in them, in December there were 6 and Biden averaged a 4.5% lead, hopefully we get 2-3 more H2H polls this month so we can keep track of the trend line, 3 is to small of a sample size.

In Jan 2012, there were 12 H2H polls counting the rasmussen ones as one. There has been a big fall off in the frequency of polling this cycle compared to 2012.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

So far in the rcp average this month there have been 3 H2H polls and Biden has averaged a 3.7% lead in them, in December there were 6 and Biden averaged a 4.5% lead, hopefully we get 2-3 more H2H polls this month so we can keep track of the trend line, 3 is to small of a sample size.

In Jan 2012, there were 12 H2H polls counting the rasmussen ones as one. There has been a big fall off in the frequency of polling this cycle compared to 2012.

Why do you suppose that is?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah right

[Mr. Illini]

The American electorate is really puzzling these days.

Although, it is Emerson.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

There is an impeachment trial going on and although voters feel Trump is guilty and trying to avoid prison time, the voters cant decide for themselves whether to remove the Prez, because its politicians arguing. No witnesses. But Dems have themselves to blame, they didnt have WH witnesses during House inquiries

We have had consecutive polls showing Trump not winning the Great Lakes he needs to win and OH is competetive due to automatic voter registration , just like Great Lakes poll indicate

[Annatar]

So far in the rcp average this month there have been 3 H2H polls and Biden has averaged a 3.7% lead in them, in December there were 6 and Biden averaged a 4.5% lead, hopefully we get 2-3 more H2H polls this month so we can keep track of the trend line, 3 is to small of a sample size.

In Jan 2012, there were 12 H2H polls counting the rasmussen ones as one. There has been a big fall off in the frequency of polling this cycle compared to 2012.

Why do you suppose that is?

I just think it's due to the larger trend of there being fewer and fewer polls, it is unfortunate but I don't think anything can be done about it.

[Pollster]

The Emerson national polls have become a genuine disaster.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

All Dems need is 278 and 3 Senate Seats, ME, CO, AZ, and KS, GA or NC. The economy is at 3.5 percent unemployment,  so a big wave of 413 EC isn't in the cards, in addition Biden is a scandalized nominee and Bernie is a socialist.  Problems for Dems

[SN2903]

It's possible Bernie could do slightly better than Biden in the GE. Don't believe either can win

[ElectionsGuy]

Interesting that people trash Emerson for showing results people don't like despite being one of the most accurate pollsters of the 2018 cycle.

[Xing]

Polls showing Sanders doing better against Trump than Biden must be wrong, because "moderate" always means "more electable."

[MT Treasurer]

Sanders +2 still means he’s losing VA 45-51, right?

[Xing]

Sanders +2 still means he’s losing VA 45-51, right?

Yes, since he'll win IA 53-43.

[President Johnson]

I'm not buying any Democrat is close to losing or being tied in the popular vote. The nominee will at least win by two points, probably anywhere between three and seven points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm not buying any Democrat is close to losing or being tied in the popular vote. The nominee will at least win by two points, probably anywhere between three and seven points.

The PVI is gonna be 2 points not 7

[Progressive Pessimist]

Garbage.