Colorado 2020 U.S. House Redistricting Discussion (user search)
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  Colorado 2020 U.S. House Redistricting Discussion (search mode)
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Author Topic: Colorado 2020 U.S. House Redistricting Discussion  (Read 26925 times)
Schiff for Senate
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« on: June 04, 2021, 03:15:08 PM »

Democrats have a trifecta in CO. Now that there is an independent redistring commission there for 2020, there will likely be a nonpartisan map, with either 4 Democratic seats, 3 Republican and 1 swing seat or 5 Democratic and 3 Republican. However, here is a gerrymandered map I worked on to give Democrats 6 seats, 1 Republican solid seat, and 1 Republican-tilt seat.
Here is the link: https://districtr.org/plan/22423
Here is the summary of the 8 districts:
1st: A rural district in Eastern and Northwestern Colorado that voted for Stapelton in the 2018 gubernatorial, 68-32% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
2nd: District in Southwest Colorado gerrymandered to give Democrats an edge. Somewhat similar to current CO-03 but more liberal. Voted for Polis, supporting him 54-46% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
3rd: An urban district that includes Pueblo and Colorado Springs. Marginally Republican-leaning, supporting Stapleton in the 2018 gubernatorial 49.38-50.62% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
4th: Northen suburbs of Denver, including Boulder. Voted for Polis in 2018, 61-39% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
5th: East of Denver, stretching from southeast Denver suburbs to Fort Collins. Voted for Polis, 55-45% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
6th: South suburbs of Denver. Voted for Polis, 53-47% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
7th: Northwest of Denver. Voted for Polis in 2018, 62-38% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
8th: Includes the heart of Denver. Voted for Polis, 80-20% (including only a two-way vote share; excluding third-party or independent votes from calculation).
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Schiff for Senate
CentristRepublican
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*****
Posts: 12,187
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2021, 12:08:49 PM »


CO-03 is Trump +9 here.

Who drew this one?

This looks closer to a 5-3, anyone have the election data for them all?



I can live with that, the CO legislature seems like they have no appetite to go any lower, unfortunately

6-2 was easily possible for the Colorado Democrats. The problem with Democrats is they have a trifecta in just some states, and in a lot of those states, they give it to independent commissions. I'm not saying it's a bad idea but the Democats should play harball instead of always taking the high road when the GOP does gerrymanders wherever possible. And in all honesty, even a 6-2 map wouldn't really be that much of a gerrymander. In any case they can do much better than 5-3, and I'm dissapointed they didn't go any farther. In particular, CO03 can probably be turned into a Biden district if its borders are played around with a bit. They can definitely do it if they've got a district that went to Biden by north of 60 points.
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