2020 Redistricting in Pennsylvania
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May 09, 2021, 06:16:38 PM

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  2020 Redistricting in Pennsylvania
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Author Topic: 2020 Redistricting in Pennsylvania  (Read 8893 times)
Gass3268
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« Reply #325 on: May 04, 2021, 10:21:46 AM »

Former University of Pittsburgh chancellor named the tiebreaker vote for the PA state legislative maps.


So does this mean we get a map in the same spirit as the previous one?

This process only applies for creating the state legislature maps.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #326 on: May 04, 2021, 10:28:22 AM »

Former University of Pittsburgh chancellor named the tiebreaker vote for the PA state legislative maps.


So does this mean we get a map in the same spirit as the previous one?

This process only applies for creating the state legislature maps.

And historically, it's always an AZ 2011 situation where the tiebreaker is a de facto partisan and just votes for whatever maps the party with a state supreme court majority at the time proposes.  I would expect just about the most Dem maps possible within the rules the state sets for legislative districts.
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Anyone But Yang!
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« Reply #327 on: May 04, 2021, 02:45:04 PM »

Former University of Pittsburgh chancellor named the tiebreaker vote for the PA state legislative maps.


So does this mean we get a map in the same spirit as the previous one?

This process only applies for creating the state legislature maps.

And historically, it's always an AZ 2011 situation where the tiebreaker is a de facto partisan and just votes for whatever maps the party with a state supreme court majority at the time proposes.  I would expect just about the most Dem maps possible within the rules the state sets for legislative districts.

Yeah, the tiebreaker here was a member of Tom Wolf’s transition team Tongue
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Nyvin
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« Reply #328 on: May 04, 2021, 07:04:04 PM »

So if the State Senate is a plain map that keeps the cities together for the most part,  here's how I'd see the seats that Democrats could win -

More or less Safe D-
4 Alleghany
1 Scranton
1 Allentown
1 Harrisburg
1 Reading
2 Chester
13 SEPA

Tossup but probably leaning in Dem's direction-
1 Northampton
1 Lancaster
1 Erie
1 additional Alleghany

That's 23 seats they'd have a really good chance at winning, and a further 4 they can reach for.   So 27 total.   If they hold the Lt Gov seat they'd need 25 for majority, and 26 if lt gov is lost.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #329 on: May 04, 2021, 07:05:45 PM »





https://davesredistricting.org/join/10cf8230-5566-4ec2-a2b3-415a6e613d47

A "plain" map I drew.
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Thunder98
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« Reply #330 on: May 07, 2021, 10:50:13 AM »

Drew a 9-5-3 R map. Though, I'm fairly confident that Biden flipped the 6th and 7th districts.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/621bf9e1-05d4-4c57-b935-c1bae5f82a87

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