IA-CNN/DMR: Sanders 20%, Warren 17%, Buttigieg 16%, Biden 15%

[Queen Isuelt]

Great result for Bernie. Also very nice for progressives to have Warren 2nd (maybe she is not quite dead yet). Biden 4th is really bad for him, and if Buttigieg can't win IA, he is not going to win anywhere.

MissScarlett will be sad, I guess Klobuchar is done. No Klobmentum.

Not really concerned to be honest because all her vote is in rural counties. You need 15% in a precinct to qualify or your votes get scattered and not every candidate is going to break the threshold. It will be scattered but hey she was the first democrat I'd ever vote for so maybe thats her problem. If the democrats want to continue the division then fine!

Pete has spent 25m to finish 3rd is bad. Look democrats have a choice vote for a moderate that gets stuff done or you get Trump. Really simple.

Whats sad is the democratic party would reject Kirsten Sinema, Elissa Slotkin, Sherrod Brown so the fool is the party electorate. Socialism will never be allowed in America and you kids can sit on twitter all day long. You will never get medicare for all and you will never get free college. NEVER

Are you okay?

I'm telling you the truth because I'm an adult. The people who are older than 40 that would never vote for a Socialist?

I just vote for Trump. Really simple.

[redjohn]

Yeah, this is it. They were almost spot on at this point in 2008 and 2016. Bernie's gonna win Iowa.

[Gracile]

Percentage of support for candidates whose mind is made up

Sanders 59%
Warren 48%
Biden 44%
Buttigieg 40%

These numbers don't surprise me at all. I thought that Sanders was underestimated in IA due to the hardness of his supporter base relative to the other candidates.

----

Anyway, good poll for Sanders and Warren (maybe her campaign still has some life?), but horrendous for Biden and especially Buttigieg. Getting that kind of result in IA when he's been banking on it for so long should stop his campaign dead in its tracks.

[Beet]

Is this the final DMR poll?

[Cinemark]

Is this the final DMR poll?

They always release one right before the caucus so I dont think so.

[junior chįmp]

BIDEN COLLAPSE

[Lord Halifax]

Great result for Bernie. Also very nice for progressives to have Warren 2nd (maybe she is not quite dead yet). Biden 4th is really bad for him, and if Buttigieg can't win IA, he is not going to win anywhere.

MissScarlett will be sad, I guess Klobuchar is done. No Klobmentum.

Not really concerned to be honest because all her vote is in rural counties. You need 15% in a precinct to qualify or your votes get scattered and not every candidate is going to break the threshold. It will be scattered but hey she was the first democrat I'd ever vote for so maybe thats her problem. If the democrats want to continue the division then fine!

Pete has spent 25m to finish 3rd is bad. Look democrats have a choice vote for a moderate that gets stuff done or you get Trump. Really simple.

Whats sad is the democratic party would reject Kirsten Sinema, Elissa Slotkin, Sherrod Brown so the fool is the party electorate. Socialism will never be allowed in America and you kids can sit on twitter all day long. You will never get medicare for all and you will never get free college. NEVER

Are you okay?

I'm telling you the truth because I'm an adult. The people who are older than 40 that would never vote for a Socialist?

I just vote for Trump. Really simple.

These people will eventually die, so you can't say NEVER, America will still exist long after the boomers are dead.

[Lisa's voting Biden]

Biden is CHOKING LIKE A DOG

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

Sanders now leading Biden in 538’s Iowa polling average by 0.7%, though Biden is still seen as the most likely winner at 34% (with 27% of the vote) compared to Sanders’ 26% (with 23% of the vote).

[The Mikado]

I love this:

Mind Made Up:

September: 20 Yes         63 No        16 No First Choice
November: 30 Yes          62 No        7 No First Choice
January: 40 Yes             45 No        13 No First Choice

20 -> 30 -> 40

[Senator Spark]

Incredible result. Sanders will win the nomination if this trend continues.

[bilaps]

Also it's a 701 LV poll which is 200 more than their last poll in November

[Queen Isuelt]

Actively Supporting/Considering changes since november
Buttigieg 60 (-8)
Sanders 54 (+1)
Biden 55 (-3)
Warren 55 (-11)
Klobuchar 41 (+2)
Yang 40 (+7)
Booker 33 (-1)
Gabbard 9 (-8)

[bilaps]

Sanders now leading Biden in 538’s Iowa polling average by 0.7%, though Biden is still seen as the most likely winner at 34% (with 27% of the vote) compared to Sanders’ 26% (with 23% of the vote).

Model isn't updated yet, that'll change

[Queen Isuelt]

Great result for Bernie. Also very nice for progressives to have Warren 2nd (maybe she is not quite dead yet). Biden 4th is really bad for him, and if Buttigieg can't win IA, he is not going to win anywhere.

MissScarlett will be sad, I guess Klobuchar is done. No Klobmentum.

Not really concerned to be honest because all her vote is in rural counties. You need 15% in a precinct to qualify or your votes get scattered and not every candidate is going to break the threshold. It will be scattered but hey she was the first democrat I'd ever vote for so maybe thats her problem. If the democrats want to continue the division then fine!

Pete has spent 25m to finish 3rd is bad. Look democrats have a choice vote for a moderate that gets stuff done or you get Trump. Really simple.

Whats sad is the democratic party would reject Kirsten Sinema, Elissa Slotkin, Sherrod Brown so the fool is the party electorate. Socialism will never be allowed in America and you kids can sit on twitter all day long. You will never get medicare for all and you will never get free college. NEVER

Are you okay?

I'm telling you the truth because I'm an adult. The people who are older than 40 that would never vote for a Socialist?

I just vote for Trump. Really simple.

These people will eventually die, so you can't say NEVER, America will still exist long after the boomers are dead.

And the young people living in their basements supporting Bernie will get married, have kids and grow up. Its called life. As you get older you become more conservative. Its called responsibility.

[Comrade Funk]

Yeah, this is it. They were almost spot on at this point in 2008 and 2016. Bernie's gonna win Iowa.

There's a month left. With a month left, Howard Dean and Newt Gingrich were leading.

[cvparty]

sanders is having the best possibly timed surge

[Queen Isuelt]

sanders is having the best possibly timed surge

Surge? He got 20% in a poll in a poll where only 40% is committed.

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/10/rel1_ia.-.democrats.pdf

Yangs numbers have gone through the roof

Biden 62-33
Sanders 66-29
Warren 70-24
Pete 68-24
Yang 61-25
Klobuchar 53-25

[bilaps]

sanders is having the best possibly timed surge

Surge? He got 20% in a poll in a poll where only 40% is committed.

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/01/10/rel1_ia.-.democrats.pdf

Yangs numbers have gone through the roof.

Please shut up.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

Great result for Bernie. Also very nice for progressives to have Warren 2nd (maybe she is not quite dead yet). Biden 4th is really bad for him, and if Buttigieg can't win IA, he is not going to win anywhere.

MissScarlett will be sad, I guess Klobuchar is done. No Klobmentum.

Not really concerned to be honest because all her vote is in rural counties. You need 15% in a precinct to qualify or your votes get scattered and not every candidate is going to break the threshold. It will be scattered but hey she was the first democrat I'd ever vote for so maybe thats her problem. If the democrats want to continue the division then fine!

Pete has spent 25m to finish 3rd is bad. Look democrats have a choice vote for a moderate that gets stuff done or you get Trump. Really simple.

Whats sad is the democratic party would reject Kirsten Sinema, Elissa Slotkin, Sherrod Brown so the fool is the party electorate. Socialism will never be allowed in America and you kids can sit on twitter all day long. You will never get medicare for all and you will never get free college. NEVER

Are you okay?

I'm telling you the truth because I'm an adult. The people who are older than 40 that would never vote for a Socialist?

I just vote for Trump. Really simple.

These people will eventually die, so you can't say NEVER, America will still exist long after the boomers are dead.

And the young people living in their basements supporting Bernie will get married, have kids and grow up. Its called life. As you get older you become more conservative. Its called responsibility.

Yeesh!  This is like... Disney-tier cliche.  

[Progressive Pessimist]

Somewhat unexpected. I figured that Sanders would be leading, but I'm surprised at Warren being in second instead of Buttigieg or Biden.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

If Biden can't pull his weight, Flawless Beautiful Bloomberg will bring the hammer down on Super Tuesday.

[Queen Isuelt]

Somewhat unexpected. I figured that Sanders would be leading, but I'm surprised at Warren being in second instead of Buttigieg or Biden.

Warren will be acceptable for democrats ahead of Bernie. Make no mistake nobody in the democratic party wants Bernie and the squad running this show except Trump

[redjohn]

Yeah, this is it. They were almost spot on at this point in 2008 and 2016. Bernie's gonna win Iowa.

There's a month left. With a month left, Howard Dean and Newt Gingrich were leading.

DMR's 2016 Democratic poll a month out: Clinton+2. Actual result: Clinton+1. DMR's 2008 Democratic poll shortly before the caucus: Obama+3. Actual result: Obama+8.

DMR's 2016 Republican poll a month out: Cruz+3. Actual result: Cruz+3. DMR's 2008 Republican poll a month out: Huckabee+5. Actual result: Huckabee+9.

Pretty spot on, I'd say.

[Lord Halifax]

Great result for Bernie. Also very nice for progressives to have Warren 2nd (maybe she is not quite dead yet). Biden 4th is really bad for him, and if Buttigieg can't win IA, he is not going to win anywhere.

MissScarlett will be sad, I guess Klobuchar is done. No Klobmentum.

Not really concerned to be honest because all her vote is in rural counties. You need 15% in a precinct to qualify or your votes get scattered and not every candidate is going to break the threshold. It will be scattered but hey she was the first democrat I'd ever vote for so maybe thats her problem. If the democrats want to continue the division then fine!

Pete has spent 25m to finish 3rd is bad. Look democrats have a choice vote for a moderate that gets stuff done or you get Trump. Really simple.

Whats sad is the democratic party would reject Kirsten Sinema, Elissa Slotkin, Sherrod Brown so the fool is the party electorate. Socialism will never be allowed in America and you kids can sit on twitter all day long. You will never get medicare for all and you will never get free college. NEVER

Are you okay?

I'm telling you the truth because I'm an adult. The people who are older than 40 that would never vote for a Socialist?

I just vote for Trump. Really simple.

These people will eventually die, so you can't say NEVER, America will still exist long after the boomers are dead.

And the young people living in their basements supporting Bernie will get married, have kids and grow up. Its called life. As you get older you become more conservative. Its called responsibility.

They won't get anything close to the comfortable middle class lifestyle their parents had and they'll still be underpaid, in debt and angry, so no they won't. Many of them also won't have enough money to start a family.