U.S. House Redistricting 2020: Nevada

[Skill and Chance]

Gov. Lombardo has called for the creation of an independent redistricting commission in Nevada:
https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1617941809354936320?s=20

Unless approved by the voters, this is going absolutely nowhere.

Nevada can do constitutional amendments by initiative, but it has to pass twice in a row to take effect.   

Yep. I believe RCV narrowly passed in 2022 and if it succeeds again in 2024 (which I believe it's favored to), it'll become law.

Weird side question, but if Ds get legislative supermajorities, do they have the ability to block something?

They have no power to edit it, but they could propose a competing amendment.

Lol what if an Independent and an Anti-Independent commission amendment both pass on the same ballot? That'd be funny.

I believe precedence goes to the one that got a larger majority, but it's somewhat ambiguous.

The wisest thing in this case would be for Dems to propose an Ohio style "company commission" alternative rather than try to defend naked gerrymandering.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Gov. Lombardo has called for the creation of an independent redistricting commission in Nevada:
https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1617941809354936320?s=20

Unless approved by the voters, this is going absolutely nowhere.

Nevada can do constitutional amendments by initiative, but it has to pass twice in a row to take effect.   

Yep. I believe RCV narrowly passed in 2022 and if it succeeds again in 2024 (which I believe it's favored to), it'll become law.

Weird side question, but if Ds get legislative supermajorities, do they have the ability to block something?

They have no power to edit it, but they could propose a competing amendment.

Lol what if an Independent and an Anti-Independent commission amendment both pass on the same ballot? That'd be funny.

I believe precedence goes to the one that got a larger majority, but it's somewhat ambiguous.

The wisest thing in this case would be for Dems to propose an Ohio style "company commission" alternative rather than try to defend naked gerrymandering.

Lol. As shown above one can drawn just effective of a D gerrymander without County-Splitting and remaining true to city lines.

Ds are really lucky just how favorable Nevada geography is.

[Skill and Chance]

Gov. Lombardo has called for the creation of an independent redistricting commission in Nevada:
https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1617941809354936320?s=20

Unless approved by the voters, this is going absolutely nowhere.

Nevada can do constitutional amendments by initiative, but it has to pass twice in a row to take effect.   

Yep. I believe RCV narrowly passed in 2022 and if it succeeds again in 2024 (which I believe it's favored to), it'll become law.

Weird side question, but if Ds get legislative supermajorities, do they have the ability to block something?

They have no power to edit it, but they could propose a competing amendment.

Lol what if an Independent and an Anti-Independent commission amendment both pass on the same ballot? That'd be funny.

I believe precedence goes to the one that got a larger majority, but it's somewhat ambiguous.

The wisest thing in this case would be for Dems to propose an Ohio style "company commission" alternative rather than try to defend naked gerrymandering.

Lol. As shown above one can drawn just effective of a D gerrymander without County-Splitting and remaining true to city lines.

Ds are really lucky just how favorable Nevada geography is.

One or two giant cities is generally very good for Dems, doubly so if the rural areas are ranches/mines vs. more densely populated farm towns.  You see something similar in Colorado, and I expect the Arizona legislature will massively give out at some point this decade. 

[Sol]

IDK, the language of a fair districting amendment can actually matter a lot. Depending on the criteria, it might end up requiring a clear Latino-influence district, which means a pretty locked in 2R-1D-2T, where the one tossup is lean D (though one of the R seats is only likely R). That's a pretty bad outcome for Dems!

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/RedistrictNet/status/1725179908249247927?t=jEqnNPF0PIn6l5mXS...

Something to keep an eye on for the future.