Fox News WI poll: Biden +5, Sanders +4, Warren +2, Pete +1 (user search)
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  Fox News WI poll: Biden +5, Sanders +4, Warren +2, Pete +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Fox News WI poll: Biden +5, Sanders +4, Warren +2, Pete +1  (Read 2942 times)
Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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Posts: 13,388
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« on: January 09, 2020, 06:33:19 PM »

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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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*****
Posts: 13,388
United States


« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2020, 06:38:39 PM »

These probably all decently underestimate Trump in the same way that in 2018, FOX Polls decently underestimated Braun, Hawley, and Cramer.
Or a unpopular president is in serious trouble and f losing a state he won by less than 1%
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,388
United States


« Reply #2 on: January 09, 2020, 06:49:08 PM »

These probably all decently underestimate Trump in the same way that in 2018, FOX Polls decently underestimated Braun, Hawley, and Cramer.
Or a unpopular president is in serious trouble and f losing a state he won by less than 1%

https://www.cnn.com/election/2018/exit-polls/wisconsin

Trump was at 48% approval with Wisconsin's 2018 electorate. Given that Trump supporters will have even higher turnout in a Presidential year, it's very easy to picture Trump at over 50% in Wisconsin.

I'd expect Trump's support in the rurals to be even higher AND his support in the WOW suburbs to be higher as well, relative to 2016.

And remember...Hagedorn beat Neubauer despite them trying really hard to take him down.

All in all, things are looking pretty rosy for Trump. In the same way that you can look at old 2016 polls and scoff, you can look at these old polls and laugh at how so many of them massively underestimated his final numbers.
I like you’re assumptions that only Trump will see a base increase relative to 2018 and that he will do better in the suburbs because well you say so. Real serious analysis 👍
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Hindsight was 2020
Hindsight is 2020
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*****
Posts: 13,388
United States


« Reply #3 on: January 09, 2020, 09:11:34 PM »

Some pro-trump (blue avatars) in this thread ...




I'm doing a home workout right now so I am a bit sweaty, yeah.

I don't think I'll break a sweat about Trump's re-election chances even *once* this year though. He is practically a lock in for re-election.
Do you realize how much everyone here will rip on you if he loses?
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