MI-Glengariff: Trump trails all Dems (user search)
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  MI-Glengariff: Trump trails all Dems (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-Glengariff: Trump trails all Dems  (Read 3104 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,463
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: January 09, 2020, 06:03:11 AM »

Not bad #s for Trump at all at this point. Most of the country doesn't know who these democrats are and once Trump exposes them their #s will go down even more.
.
But you said Sanders was gonna lose to Trump in MI and John James was gonna beat Peters
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,463
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: January 09, 2020, 01:35:03 PM »


It is way too early to make 99.9% of the claims that you make, but that has never stopped you.
I state my opinion that doesn't mean they are predictions I'm not making any real predictions until a week before the election

You said the samething in 2018, and you stated John James was gonna beat Stabenow,  what has changed?
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,463
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: January 09, 2020, 05:10:03 PM »

Greenfield and JD Scholten are raising money like crazy, more so than Sara Gideon. I rate IA as a better pickup than ME Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,463
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: January 12, 2020, 09:01:53 AM »

The manufacturing sector of the economy is already in a recession and has been for quite some time now. Doubt Trump wins the state again
Even if he doesn't he can easily still win re-election. Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida and Arizona will decide it. I could see Trump coming really close in MI and losing like 51 to 49 while James eeks out a win. I think James will run 2-3 pts better than Trump in MI.

I think Michigan is a 50 50 race in 2020 at the presidential level. It could go either way. I actually am starting to think Bernie may have a better chance in MI than Biden, but Bernie would be weaker than Joe in WI and PA. I think WI and PA are still tilt R at this point.

You keep saying that but Bernie consistently leads Biden in Fox polls and Gary Johnson took 3 percent last time
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,463
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2020, 04:50:52 PM »

Lincoln Chafee is gonna be on the ballot, Bernie Bros can be the Kingmakers like last time when they voted for Jill Stein and Gary Johnson.  The samething can happen if Bernie doesn't win. But Bernie is getting more union support
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,463
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: January 13, 2020, 05:35:19 AM »

James is losing to Peter's 44-40.  The only black that is gonna win statewide office is Ben Jealous if he runs for Gov again in 2022 in MD, and he should, because Hogan was too popular in 2018
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