Iowa (PPP) - Trump Leads All Dems (user search)

Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,278

Re: Iowa (PPP) - Trump Leads All Dems

« on: January 08, 2020, 11:46:21 AM »

Quote from: DTC on January 08, 2020, 11:27:51 AM

Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 08, 2020, 11:18:06 AM

Really weird that they polled the Senate race in AZ but apparently not in IA. I wonder why.

I’m sure they did poll Iowa Senate. They just didn’t get a result they were happy to release.

Yeah, Ernst is likely up by double digits

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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,278

Re: Iowa (PPP) - Trump Leads All Dems

« Reply #1 on: January 08, 2020, 11:47:19 AM »

Quote from: MT Treasurer on January 08, 2020, 11:12:20 AM

Likely R, and definitely not more likely to flip than FL/GA.

For once we agree on a electoral issue

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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,278

Re: Iowa (PPP) - Trump Leads All Dems

« Reply #2 on: January 08, 2020, 12:02:21 PM »

Quote from: Landslide Warren on January 08, 2020, 11:51:35 AM

Quote from: Xing on January 08, 2020, 11:10:31 AM

Given how polling in IA has been the past several cycles, Trump is probably further ahead here than this.

Mental gymnastics alert

The guy is likely right, this poll is using a sample where dems and republicans are tied (35% each) while republicans have generally a small advantage in Iowa. Among the people who voted in 2016 you have 42% Clinton voters and 48% Trump voters while Trump won Iowa 51/42, thus this poll is likely underestimating Trump a bit.

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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,278

Re: Iowa (PPP) - Trump Leads All Dems

« Reply #3 on: January 08, 2020, 12:03:30 PM »

Good poll for Trump especially when you consider the source.

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