Iowa (PPP) - Trump Leads All Dems

[MT Treasurer]

Likely R, and definitely not more likely to flip than FL/GA.

[MT Treasurer]

Really weird that they polled the Senate race in AZ but apparently not in IA. I wonder why.

[MT Treasurer]

New Poll: Iowa President by Public Policy Polling on 2019-12-31

Summary: D: 46%, R: 49%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[MT Treasurer]

Part of Buttigieg's "Iowa or bust" strategy (the same approach which didn’t pay off for Bullock) is spending a ton of money there, especially on TV ads and staff. So the idea that this Iowa poll, in which he’s barely doing better than Biden and not even leading Trump, "proves" that he’s the most electable candidate is... of course... ridiculous.

[MT Treasurer]

Buttigieg is practically unknown nationally.
That will change if he wins Iowa caucuses.

The only relevant GE polls that we currently have are the polls from IA and NH where the voters are paying attention.

Naw, GE polls of two lily-white states (both of which happen to be noncompetitive in a close election) don’t tell us much about the election as a whole, especially during a time when the Democratic campaign is in full swing in both states.