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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  2024 SurveyMonkey Republican Primary Poll: Pence 40, Trump Jr. 29, Haley 26
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Author Topic: 2024 SurveyMonkey Republican Primary Poll: Pence 40, Trump Jr. 29, Haley 26  (Read 721 times)
Progressive Icon Bill de Blasio
Randall
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« on: January 04, 2020, 09:49:28 am »

Mike Pence (Vice President) 40%
Donald Trump, Jr. (EVP at the Trump Organization) 29%
Nikki Haley (former U.N. Ambassador) 26%
Ivanka Trump (Senior Advisor to the President) 16%
Marco Rubio (Senator from Florida) 15%
Mike Pompeo (Secretary of State) 13%
Greg Abbott (Governor of Texas) 13%
Ron DeSantis (Governor of Florida) 8%
Tim Scott (Senator from South Carolina) 7%
Tom Cotton (Senator from Arkansas) 6%
Liz Cheney (Congresswoman from Virginia) 5%
Ben Sasse (Senator from Nebraska) 3%
Josh Hawley (Senator from Missouri) 2%
Larry Hogan (Governor of Maryland) 2%
Other (please specify) 15%
No answer 11%

https://www.surveymonkey.com/curiosity/axiossurveymonkey-2024-presidential-vote-poll-gop/

Have to wonder why Ted Cruz wasn't included + what his numbers might've been + how much of that 'Other' is him
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2020, 11:04:31 am »

Note that this is a "which of these people would you consider voting for?" question in which you can pick multiple names.  That's why the numbers add up to way more than 100%.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2020, 11:08:42 am »

age 18-29:
Trump Jr. 34%
Pence 27%
Rubio 22%

age 30-44:
Pence 36%
Trump Jr. 31%
Haley 23%

age 45-54:
Pence 44%
Trump Jr. 30%
Haley 24%

age 55-64:
Pence 43%
Haley 32%
Trump Jr. 29%

age 65+:
Pence 47%
Haley 36%
Trump Jr. 23%
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #3 on: January 04, 2020, 12:01:28 pm »

age 18-29:
Trump Jr. 34%
Pence 27%
Rubio 22%
? ? ? ?

age 30-44:
Pence 36%
Trump Jr. 31%
Haley 23%

age 45-54:
Pence 44%
Trump Jr. 30%
Haley 24%

age 55-64:
Pence 43%
Haley 32%
Trump Jr. 29%

age 65+:
Pence 47%
Haley 36%
Trump Jr. 23%

Nikki Haley will rescue the Republican Party when all those old Trumpists who are taking the party hostage have died off.
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Sen. Dean Heller
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« Reply #4 on: January 05, 2020, 03:03:07 am »

Pence 2024 would be pretty cool too
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #5 on: January 05, 2020, 12:42:54 pm »


No, it wouldn't be. It would be like Biden, but his polling advantage would die off by December.
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #6 on: January 05, 2020, 12:45:20 pm »

The Trump children being so high is pissing me off. I thought we would be able to have a serious primary race without any clown cars, but clearly we can't, due to uneducated morons. Maybe I have been overestimating the intelligence level of my own party.
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Canis
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« Reply #7 on: January 05, 2020, 12:58:12 pm »

lol at the trump family winning 45% of the primary the party really is the party of trump now
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #8 on: January 05, 2020, 01:20:40 pm »

lol at the trump family winning 45% of the primary the party really is the party of trump now

No, not really.  This poll allows respondents to pick more than one option, and I'd assume that most of the Ivanka voters are also Donald Jr. voters.
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538Electoral
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« Reply #9 on: January 05, 2020, 11:23:29 pm »

About to be expected.
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Sen. Dean Heller
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« Reply #10 on: January 06, 2020, 12:40:43 am »

I'm just gonna say it but I ain't voting for DTJR, ever. Unless the Dems nominate a socialist.
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UWS
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« Reply #11 on: January 06, 2020, 03:05:50 am »
« Edited: January 06, 2020, 03:35:00 am by UWS »


No, it wouldn't be. It would be like Biden, but his polling advantage would die off by December.

Indeed. Because I made some opposition research on Pence and found out that during his time as Governor of Indiana, he embraced an expansion of Medicaid through Obamacare, imposing more costs on taxpayers and expanding the federal role in healthcare (https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/pence-caves-expands-obamacare) and I think Republicans won't forgive it.

In that same period, then-Governor Pence raised taxes on cigarettes and gas (https://votesmart.org/bill/21160/57184/34024/increases-taxes-and-appropriates-funds-for-infrastructure-projects#.XRErTf5CfIV) while the Republican Party needs be a tax-cut party.

In 2002, during his time in the House of Representatives, Pence voted against Implementing the 9/11 Commission Recommendations Act and also voted against reauthorizing the Patriot Act in 2006 (https://votesmart.org/bill/3298/20666/34024/patriot-act-reauthorization#.XhLxFBtCfIV).

He opposed the Departmental Appropriations for Defense, Security, and Hurricane Recovery Act aimed at the recovery of the states and regions hit by Hurricane Katrina in 2005, while most Republicans in Congress supported it to support citizens impacted by the Hurricane (https://www.bustle.com/p/what-did-mike-pence-do-during-katrina-he-passionately-opposed-more-funding-80283; https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/109-2006/h65), which may cost Pence votes in southern states like Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama.

And more than 20 years ago, while he was running the Mike Pence Show, he made controversial comments about women in the military as he called the Disney movie Mulan liberal propaganda to encourage women service in the military (https://www.businessinsider.com/mike-pence-mulan-liberal-propaganda-2017-7).

That's why I think Pence won't be the nominee.
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #12 on: January 06, 2020, 09:18:38 am »


No, it wouldn't be. It would be like Biden, but his polling advantage would die off by December.

Indeed. Because I made some opposition research on Pence and found out that during his time as Governor of Indiana, he embraced an expansion of Medicaid through Obamacare, imposing more costs on taxpayers and expanding the federal role in healthcare (https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/pence-caves-expands-obamacare) and I think Republicans won't forgive it.

In that same period, then-Governor Pence raised taxes on cigarettes and gas (https://votesmart.org/bill/21160/57184/34024/increases-taxes-and-appropriates-funds-for-infrastructure-projects#.XRErTf5CfIV) while the Republican Party needs be a tax-cut party.

In 2002, during his time in the House of Representatives, Pence voted against Implementing the 9/11 Commission Recommendations Act and also voted against reauthorizing the Patriot Act in 2006 (https://votesmart.org/bill/3298/20666/34024/patriot-act-reauthorization#.XhLxFBtCfIV).

He opposed the Departmental Appropriations for Defense, Security, and Hurricane Recovery Act aimed at the recovery of the states and regions hit by Hurricane Katrina in 2005, while most Republicans in Congress supported it to support citizens impacted by the Hurricane (https://www.bustle.com/p/what-did-mike-pence-do-during-katrina-he-passionately-opposed-more-funding-80283; https://www.govtrack.us/congress/votes/109-2006/h65), which may cost Pence votes in southern states like Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama.

And more than 20 years ago, while he was running the Mike Pence Show, he made controversial comments about women in the military as he called the Disney movie Mulan liberal propaganda to encourage women service in the military (https://www.businessinsider.com/mike-pence-mulan-liberal-propaganda-2017-7).

That's why I think Pence won't be the nominee.

Exactly this. The only early primary state I see him winning is Iowa at best.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #13 on: January 06, 2020, 10:03:51 am »

Junior and Ivanka?!  LOL.  So you've got Beavis (or Butt-Head, if you think he's more like him) and a human Barbie doll leading the pack?!

The GOP is doomed.
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pops
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« Reply #14 on: January 07, 2020, 05:51:26 pm »

Ben Shapiro, Ted Cruz, and Rand Paul probably should've been included. The age numbers are not that surprising, the young ones were the ones pushing Trump at the beginning and they'll be right with Don Jr. if he runs (Ivanka won't). For me, this really seems like a ceiling for Pence until the voting starts.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #15 on: January 07, 2020, 10:38:08 pm »

Reality check: if Trump endorses, that person will almost automatically win the primary
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #16 on: January 08, 2020, 02:45:21 pm »

Reality check: if Trump endorses, that person will almost automatically win the primary

Reality check: Trump is going to have a negative perception among Republican voters by 2024.
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Grassr00ts
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« Reply #17 on: January 08, 2020, 02:45:41 pm »

Ben Shapiro, Ted Cruz, and Rand Paul probably should've been included. The age numbers are not that surprising, the young ones were the ones pushing Trump at the beginning and they'll be right with Don Jr. if he runs (Ivanka won't). For me, this really seems like a ceiling for Pence until the voting starts.

Only Cruz.
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Orser67
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« Reply #18 on: January 08, 2020, 04:45:26 pm »

That's a pretty good number for Abbott, who doesn't seem to usually get much presidential buzz.
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