🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021
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  🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021
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Author Topic: 🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021  (Read 73061 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #750 on: April 29, 2021, 12:57:03 PM »

Actual politics is quite boring at the moment, so the most intriguing political gamble right now is the next ÖSV President.

The ÖSV is the Austrian Ski Federation.

Peter Schröcksnadel, ÖSV-President since over 30 years (from the powerful Tyrol state branch), is finally retiring in June.

Schröcksnadel is a multi-millionaire businessman and a controversial, autocratic figure - similar to Imperator Palpatine.



His "chosen" successor is Michael Walchhofer (from the 2nd-most powerful state branch Salzburg) and a former Austrian skiing legend.

Apparently though, Schröcksi doesn't want to go quiety and still prefers to meddle out of his retirement behind the scences.

Walchhofer seems to have fallen out of favour with Schröcksi because "of his closeness to the ÖVP" (lol) - considering Schröcksi is an ÖVPler as well. He says "he wants a party-politics-free ÖSV."

Therefore, another Austrian skiing legend, Renate Götschl (from the Styrian state branch, also ÖVP) has entered the race.

Schröcksi has the backing of Tyrol, Vorarlberg, Vienna and Styria - meaning he needs only one additional state to push Götschl to victory as the first female ÖSV-President.

The talk is that Schröcksi can still have some influence over Götschl from his retirement couch, whereas Walchhofer would go a completely new independent way forward.


Walchhofer, Schröcksnadel, Götschl

So, why not a Doppelspitze ?

Tongue

Or a compromise candidate ?

This should be fun.

Meanwhile, the Swiss and other top ski nations are breaking out the popcorn at this spectacle.



The 9 states will meet and vote in June.

https://kurier.at/sport/wintersport/michael-walchhofer-zu-rauen-toenen-in-oesv-praesidentenwahl-unvorstellbar/401367080
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #751 on: May 02, 2021, 02:42:53 PM »

ATV/APA Trend Poll:

33% ÖVP
25% SPÖ
18% FPÖ
13% Greens
  9% NEOS
  2% Others

51% ÖVP-FPÖ
47% SPÖ-Greens-NEOS

https://www.atv.at/oesterreichtrend/
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #752 on: May 04, 2021, 01:55:31 PM »

Major earthquake in the Tyrol state government today:

https://www.nachrichten.at/politik/innenpolitik/in-tirol-kuendigen-an-einem-tag-zwei-landesraete-den-job;art385,3394106

2 state cabinet members from the ÖVP (for health and for economic matters) announced their resignations today.

This comes on the day the „Standard“ newspaper unveiled a possible mega-scandal in the state about hundreds of thousands of possibly falsified PCR tests during the last months, contracted by the ÖVP-led government to a Vienna mobile lab.

https://www.derstandard.at/story/2000126386313/tiroler-pcr-testskandal-wirft-immer-neue-fragen-auf

As if Ischgl wasn’t enough for the image of Tyrol ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #753 on: May 04, 2021, 11:09:24 PM »

A new Upper Austria poll by GMK for the weekly „Rundschau“ has been briefly posted and then deleted again (maybe it will be out tomorrow when the paper is sent out).

It says ÖVP and Greens in the state can be happy ...

Upper Austria votes on September 26, together with Germany.

I will post the results later.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #754 on: May 05, 2021, 11:30:04 AM »

A new Upper Austria poll by GMK for the weekly „Rundschau“ has been briefly posted and then deleted again (maybe it will be out tomorrow when the paper is sent out).

It says ÖVP and Greens in the state can be happy ...

Upper Austria votes on September 26, together with Germany.

I will post the results later.



Direct vote for Governor:



72% approve of the government work (in Upper Austria, there’s an all-party government - but ÖVP-FPÖ have a working agreement in parliament).

73% say that the federal ÖVP-Green government performance will impact the decision-making of voters for the state election

https://www.meinbezirk.at/oberoesterreich/c-politik/ergebnisse-der-bezirksrundschau-umfrage-zur-landtagswahl_a4627976
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #755 on: May 07, 2021, 07:48:00 AM »

Another new Upper Austria poll by Unique Research for „Heute“:

39% ÖVP (+2.6 vs. 2015 election)
21% FPÖ (-9.4)
21% SPÖ (+2.6)
12% Greens (+1.7)
  6% NEOS (+2.5)
  1% Others

https://epaper.heute.at/#/documents/210507_HEU/6

NEOS would enter the Upper Austria state parliament for the first time and it seems the FPÖ is losing to all other parties after their strong migrant wave election result in late 2015.

21% is still very good for them, it seems they have a solid base there and they might remain the strongest state party of all 9 states.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #756 on: May 12, 2021, 01:02:39 PM »

Chancellor Kurz under investigation:

Austria’s Kurz Faces Charges on Testimony in Ibiza Probe

Quote
Austrian prosecutors informed Chancellor Sebastian Kurz he’s suspected of providing false testimony to a parliamentary committee formed to investigate the political scandal that toppled his former government.

Kurz said he and his chief of staff face potential charges on lying to lawmakers probing the so-called Ibiza affair in 2019 that involved his junior coalition partner. Speaking to reporters before a cabinet meeting on Wednesday, the Austrian chancellor denied wrongdoing and said he wouldn’t step down even if the investigation led to charges.

“I always answered all questions truthfully,” Kurz told reporters in Vienna, adding that he is working under the assumption that Austria’s white-collar crime prosecutors will now investigate.

A spokesman for the prosecutors confirmed the investigation into Kurz but said it was too early to say whether charges would be brought.

Prosecutors found discrepancies between Kurz’s statements in the committee and text messages between Kurz, Finance Minister Gernot Bluemel and other associates, according to a 58-page document seen by Bloomberg News that details the preliminary findings of the probe.

While Kurz stated that he was only tangentially involved in the creation of Austria’s new government holding company and the selection of its CEO and supervisory board, the messages show that Kurz was managing even small details of the process and was closely involved in drafting laws and picking personnel.

Austria’s largest ruling party has been at the center of scrutiny for its handling of the probe into corruption allegations triggered by leaked videos involving members of the far-right Freedom Party. Finance Minister Gernot Bluemel has been criticized by opposition parties for failing to immediately comply with a constitutional court order to hand over a batch of emails.

The government delivered the documents this week after a rare call from the nation’s President to comply with the order. Bluemel said the delay was due to privacy concerns for Finance Ministry workers.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-12/austria-s-kurz-faces-charges-on-false-testimony-in-ibiza-probe
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #757 on: May 15, 2021, 10:16:31 AM »

Liberal, centrist NEOS-leader Beate Meinl-Reisinger in an interview about future coalitions:



Quote
Interviewer: Some hope for a "progressive majority" beyond the ÖVP. On the other hand, one can see in the surveys: If the SPÖ is on the rise, the Neos shrink, and vice versa. That will probably not work with the majority.

BMR: It used to be said that the ÖVP and the Neos are communicating vessels. If you look at our development, we should be doing something right: We started in 2013 with five percent, now we are at ten percent in surveys and are in two state governments.

Interviewer: That is not a contradiction in terms of the fact that the SPÖ is weakening.

BMR: There has been a right-of-center majority in Austria for some time. The question is whether it will always stay that way. One of the reasons why Neos exist is that we stand in the middle and want to make alternative majorities possible. We govern in Salzburg with the ÖVP and the Greens, in Vienna with the SPÖ. I'm not necessarily aiming for a left-of-center majority. In many areas it is certainly easier for us to move right-of-center when it comes to reforms, in others it is easier for us to move to the left.

Interviewer: In the ÖVP it is said that the Neos have moved to the left and "it can be fine with us".

BMR: The ÖVP moved to the right, we remained in the center. But of course: the question of whether one can help children in Moria has stronger links with the left. I don't get this attitude of the ÖVP. I can be restrictive in refugee policy and still look. It's about children! In terms of economic policy, however, I have the impression that the ÖVP has moved to the left. See: Cost what it may and be proud of increasing expenses. That amazes me, and I'm also a little scared.

Interviewer: Before the Vienna elections, they said that Neos would not be as docile in a government as the Greens in the federal government. Now the Neos in Vienna are silent, although they wanted to pin climate policy on the flag, on major projects such as Stadtstrasse and Lobau tunnel. That was already decided, they say.

BMR: Some things had actually already been decided, so we can't change anything. When it comes to climate protection in particular, we, and the SPÖ too, are very aware that Vienna has to go a long way. But: We got into the government and have not left crisis mode since, you have to see that too. Nevertheless, some accents have been set, such as the opening of gastronomy at markets on Sunday.

https://www.news.at/a/politik-ideen-oevp-durchsichtig-plump-12034693
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President Johnson
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« Reply #758 on: May 15, 2021, 01:29:15 PM »

I hope the Greens pull out of the coalition soon and a snap election taking place, resulting in a Pamela Rendi-Wagner chancellorship. Ideally, it would be a SPÖ-Greens-NEOS coalition which Germany should follow in September. I know, not that realistic, but I can dream?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #759 on: May 15, 2021, 02:14:07 PM »

I hope the Greens pull out of the coalition soon and a snap election taking place, resulting in a Pamela Rendi-Wagner chancellorship. Ideally, it would be a SPÖ-Greens-NEOS coalition which Germany should follow in September. I know, not that realistic, but I can dream?

It’s also the coalition I would prefer, but it would take a more continued erosion of the ÖVP in light of Kurzˋs recent scandals.

Not only that, those disappointed ÖVP voters also don’t have to switch to the FPÖ in protest, but vote for the 3 other parties instead.

Currently, SPÖ-Greens-NEOS are stuck at 43-48% depending on the poll, which is not enough yet for a majority.

Austria didn’t have a right-wing minority since 35 years, so it will be really hard for the 3 parties to achieve a majority ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #760 on: May 17, 2021, 01:50:55 PM »

FPÖ-Kickl wants a 4-party government to avoid early elections in case Chancellor Kurz gets charged for false testimony:

Quote
Kickl would be "available" as the FPÖ top candidate

FPÖ club chairman Herbert Kickl would be ready to be the top candidate of his party in a national council election. “Of course I would be available,” he said, according to the advance notice on oe24.tv.

However, this decision will be "made as the last decision to get the most out of the respective strategic considerations".

As an alternative to a possible new election, Kickl brought a four-party government made up of the FPÖ, SPÖ, NEOS and Greens into play. This has nothing to do with revenge on the former government partner ÖVP, "but with establishing a normal situation," said Kickl.

https://orf.at/stories/3213365
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #761 on: May 19, 2021, 01:26:39 PM »

Actual politics is quite boring at the moment, so the most intriguing political gamble right now is the next ÖSV President ...

This has been settled last night after hours of debate ...

Neither Walchhofer nor Götschl will become the new Ski Federation President.

The 9 states settled for a compromise candidate, with Karl Schmidhofer being elected with the votes of 6 of the 9 state delegations. The states of Tyrol and Vorarlberg (and Styria, where he’s from) abstained.

Schmidhofer is the President of the Styria branch and didn’t vote for himself.

He’s also a current member of the Austrian parliament for the ÖVP (he will resign his seat).



He’s also the uncle of Austrian World Champion Nicole Schmidhofer.

https://sport.orf.at/stories/3077111/

https://sport.orf.at/stories/3077132/
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #762 on: May 20, 2021, 11:02:47 PM »

The Social Democratic student branch (= VSStÖ) has won the May 18-20 university student parliament election, which is held every 2 years:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Socialist_Students_of_Austria

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=445302.msg8098908#msg8098908

The federal government parties ÖVP+Greens (and their student parliament vehicles AG+GRAS) were the losers while all other lists gained.

The last time that the VSStÖ was the largest faction was in 2005.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #763 on: May 21, 2021, 08:56:04 AM »

New poll (Research Affairs/Ö24) for the Upper Austria state election in 4 months:

38% ÖVP (+1.6 vs. 2015)
25% FPÖ (-5.4)
20% SPÖ (+1.6)
12% Greens (+1.7)
  4% NEOS (+0.5)
  1% Others

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Upper_Austrian_state_election
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #764 on: May 21, 2021, 11:59:03 PM »

A new Vorarlberg poll (Berndt for the „VN“ newspaper):

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #765 on: May 22, 2021, 10:22:52 AM »

So, Chancellor Kurz (ÖVP) says the mask mandate will end soon in Austria.

Then, Health Minister Mückstein (Greens) says „Not so fast !“ (no sooner than next year).

Then, Tourism Minister Köstinger (ÖVP) rebukes Mückstein and says „we cannot tell adult people to wear masks forever and only to meet with 3 other people, when they are vaxxed !“.

No surprise the FPÖ and others are gaining.

Says the FPÖ today:

Quote
Bankruptcy, bad luck and breakdown coalition

According to the Styrian FPÖ state party leader Mario Kunasek, turquoise-green is sinking into a constant dispute: "We are evidently governed by a contentious force. A bankruptcy, bad luck and breakdown coalition that plunges Austria into permanent chaos with its dilettantism. The ministers and the chancellor should actually coordinate their statements beforehand and not cause massive uncertainty among citizens and entrepreneurs through different statements. The unprofessionalism of these turquoise-green ministerial actors is unworthy of the Republic of Austria! ", said the regional party chairman about the current events.

The words from the other parties are not really much nicer ...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #766 on: May 22, 2021, 11:27:28 PM »

Norbert Hofer not ruling out a re-match with President Van der Bellen ?

Hear hear:

Quote
I will make this decision after the election in Upper Austria. I also have to discuss it with my family.

In any case, that doesn't sound like it's completely out of the world.

No, that's not entirely out of the world.

Do you think you could win against Alexander Van der Bellen ?

It used to be said that it is impossible to win against an incumbent president. Much has become possible in the meantime. I think it's doable. But it wouldn't be an easy task.

And further below in the interview:

Quote
How do you assess the corona management of the turquoise-green government?

A lot of things have already gone wrong. This also applies to the Federal President. Not only can one say that the Constitution is beautiful and elegant. It must also be defended and intervened when it is broken. A Federal President can either take a position or he can invite the government to meet and hold talks. I hear that Alexander Van der Bellen thought every day about when he would finally speak up. I would have been more involved as president. I think the reluctance was too great. But his biggest mistake was to set up a government that doesn't have a majority in parliament. Of course it was gone after a few days.

https://www.krone.at/2419828
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President Johnson
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« Reply #767 on: May 23, 2021, 02:11:08 PM »

Hofer would lose by a wider margin than last time, I assume. If he'd even make it into a runoff.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #768 on: May 23, 2021, 03:10:11 PM »

Hofer would lose by a wider margin than last time, I assume. If he'd even make it into a runoff.

Yes, by 35-65 or so. Maybe 40-60. Maybe 45-55 if VdB makes a few stupid comments.

Hofer would make it into the runoff if ÖVP and SPÖ would support VdB and not run their own candidates.
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Astatine
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« Reply #769 on: May 27, 2021, 03:02:17 PM »

R.I.P. this thread.
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Flyersfan232
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« Reply #770 on: May 28, 2021, 04:57:56 AM »

Norbert Hofer not ruling out a re-match with President Van der Bellen ?

Hear hear:

Quote
I will make this decision after the election in Upper Austria. I also have to discuss it with my family.

In any case, that doesn't sound like it's completely out of the world.

No, that's not entirely out of the world.

Do you think you could win against Alexander Van der Bellen ?

It used to be said that it is impossible to win against an incumbent president. Much has become possible in the meantime. I think it's doable. But it wouldn't be an easy task.

And further below in the interview:

Quote
How do you assess the corona management of the turquoise-green government?

A lot of things have already gone wrong. This also applies to the Federal President. Not only can one say that the Constitution is beautiful and elegant. It must also be defended and intervened when it is broken. A Federal President can either take a position or he can invite the government to meet and hold talks. I hear that Alexander Van der Bellen thought every day about when he would finally speak up. I would have been more involved as president. I think the reluctance was too great. But his biggest mistake was to set up a government that doesn't have a majority in parliament. Of course it was gone after a few days.

https://www.krone.at/2419828

What about the avb and others?
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #771 on: May 29, 2021, 05:29:33 AM »


If its OK to ask - what happened?
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Astatine
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« Reply #772 on: May 29, 2021, 05:32:13 AM »

Tender was permabanned for creating a sock to avoid a temporary mute.
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #773 on: May 30, 2021, 05:47:02 AM »

Oh dear, why do people do silly things like that?
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Astatine
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« Reply #774 on: September 26, 2021, 09:14:44 AM »

First exit poll of the Upper Austria state elections:

ÖVP 37.7 (+1.3)
FPÖ 20.2 % (-10.1)
SPÖ 18.3 (-0.1)
Greens 11.4 (+0.4)
MFG 7.5 (+7.5)
NEOS 3.9 (+0.4)

NEOS currently narrowly fails the 4 percent threshold. MFG is a new party opposing any kind of measures against Covid-19.
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