🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021
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  🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021
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Author Topic: 🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021  (Read 73052 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #100 on: February 15, 2020, 05:45:26 AM »

Monthly "Profil" magazine poll has the SPÖ falling to a record-low and 4th place:

38% ÖVP
17% Greens
16% FPÖ
15% SPÖ
10% NEOS
  4% Others

Quote
Methode: Telefonische und Online-Befragung
Zielgruppe: Österr. Bevölkerung ab 16 Jahren
Max. Schwankungsbreite der Ergebnisse: ±3,4 Prozentpunkte
Sample: 804 Befragte
Feldarbeit: 10. bis 14. Februar 2020

https://www.profil.at/oesterreich/umfrage-mehrheit-maechtige-justiz-11347712
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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« Reply #101 on: February 16, 2020, 10:44:19 AM »

Monthly "Profil" magazine poll has the SPÖ falling to a record-low and 4th place:

38% ÖVP
17% Greens
16% FPÖ
15% SPÖ
10% NEOS
  4% Others

Quote
Methode: Telefonische und Online-Befragung
Zielgruppe: Österr. Bevölkerung ab 16 Jahren
Max. Schwankungsbreite der Ergebnisse: ±3,4 Prozentpunkte
Sample: 804 Befragte
Feldarbeit: 10. bis 14. Februar 2020

https://www.profil.at/oesterreich/umfrage-mehrheit-maechtige-justiz-11347712
How surprising...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #102 on: February 19, 2020, 02:28:40 PM »

The Vienna state election will be held on 4 October, the last possible date (according to a SPÖ-Green city government decision).

The previous one was on 10 October 2015.

https://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Wien-Wahl-findet-am-4-Oktober-statt/417961407
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TheSaint250
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« Reply #103 on: February 19, 2020, 07:15:48 PM »

Has Strache officially associated himself with DAÖ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #104 on: February 20, 2020, 12:30:27 AM »

Has Strache officially associated himself with DAÖ?

Not officially yet, but might in the coming months (he held one speech so far at a DAÖ event, but didn't say there yet if he'll run for them).

He's currently recovering from a ski accident and is also under constant prosecution watch for his Ibiza-video comments. He might be charged any moment and would have to appear in court before/after the Vienna election.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #105 on: February 20, 2020, 11:11:54 AM »

Has Strache officially associated himself with DAÖ?

Not officially yet, but might in the coming months (he held one speech so far at a DAÖ event, but didn't say there yet if he'll run for them).

He's currently recovering from a ski accident and is also under constant prosecution watch for his Ibiza-video comments. He might be charged any moment and would have to appear in court before/after the Vienna election.

Strache kinda hinted at running for DAÖ again today:

https://www.nachrichten.at/politik/innenpolitik/strache-deutet-antritt-bei-wien-wahl-mit-daoe-an;art385,3229608

Some newspapers like "Kurier" and "Ö24" even called it official, but that's not what Strache said.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #106 on: February 22, 2020, 01:38:04 AM »

Chancellor Kurz performing at the Eurovision Song Contest:


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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #107 on: February 23, 2020, 12:13:44 PM »

Politics is so boring here right now ...

The most newsworthy thing today is that FinMin Blümel announced once again a freeze on government document fees such as passports, driving licenses etc.

Those fees have now not been hiked for 9 years in a row, because „government should not burden citizens more and more each year“.

(A passport still costs 76€ here.)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #108 on: February 24, 2020, 12:17:05 PM »

FPÖ-Linz out with a racist social media posting:



"Healthcare: Dental refurbishment for criminals !"

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/offener-rassismus-eines-linzer-fpoe-stadtrats/400763253

The FPÖ-guy blames the new Green Health Minister for his plans to switch prison healthcare services from the Justice Ministry to the ÖGK (Austrian single-payer Healthcare Service).

Problem: even the FPÖ supported such a change when they were in government, because it would be cheaper.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #109 on: February 24, 2020, 12:34:23 PM »

So, the Airbus/Eurofighter jet corruption scandal from 15-20 years ago is in the media again (which helped the SPÖ win elections back then as an opposition party !).

What is the SPÖ doing now ?

* Party leader Pamela Rendi-Wagner has nothing better to do than announcing a leadership confirmation vote among party members in March/April !

The SPÖ could position themselves as an anti-corruption party, but choose once again to be preoccupied with themselves instead ... Roll Eyes

About 180.000 SPÖ party members will be eligible to vote on her.

Today, the SJ (Socialist Youth, and ca. 10.000 of those 180.000 members), announced that they will vote AGAINST Rend-Wagner in the membership vote.

That's not totally uncommon, because the SJ historically always was the most critical and most anti-establishment.

But not a good start for Rendi-Wagner ... (some SPÖ-mayors from bigger cities have also openly said that the SPÖ needs a complete re-start).

Rendi-Wagner has said that she has a "personal support level", but would not announce how high it is. For example, if 60% support her as party leader and her personal level was 65% ... she could still step down.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #110 on: February 27, 2020, 12:06:06 AM »

H.C. Strache (ex-FPÖ leader) officially running for the October Vienna state election:

https://orf.at/stories/3155787

(Maybe DAÖ will change to „List Strache“ in the coming months to get more appeal.)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #111 on: February 27, 2020, 01:35:02 PM »

Austria 2019 population & demographic changes released:

Quote
Population reaches 8.9 million at the beginning of 2020

Vienna, 2020-02-27 – According to preliminary results of Statistics Austria, 8 902 600 people were living in Austria on 1 January 2020. During 2019, the resident population increased by 43 825 (+0.5%). Hence, population growth was slightly higher than in the previous year (2018: 36 508; +0.4%).

At the beginning of 2020, some 1.49 million foreign citizens were living in Austria, representing a share of 16.7% of the total population (compared to 16.2% on 1 January 2019). Germans (200 059 persons; +4.0%) were still the largest group of foreigners living in Austria; for the first time, Romanian nationals (123 461; +9.6%) followed in the second place.

http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/122589.html

Quote
Births and deaths in 2019: 1 918 more newborns than deaths

Vienna, 2020-02-27 – In 2019, the number of live births amounted to 84 221, while 82 303 people died, as Statistics Austria reports on the basis of provisional figures. This resulted in a natural population increase of +1 918 and corresponded to ten births and nine deaths per 1 000 inhabitants. Compared to 2018, the number of births decreased by 1.5% and the number of deaths declined by 2.0%.

Since 2015, data also include births and deaths occurring abroad of people with a main residence in Austria. These accounted for 465 births (0.6%) and 637 deaths (0.8%) in 2019.

In 2019, 234 children died under one year of age. This translated into a provisional infant mortality rate of 2.8‰.

http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/122659.html

Quote
44 997 marriages in 2019, 990 of them by same-sex couples

Vienna, 2020-02-27 – In 2019, 44 997 marriages and 1 257 registrations of partnerships took place in Austria, according to provisional figures released by Statistics Austria.

Starting from 1 January 2019, the institution of marriage was opened to same-sex couples, while at the same time heterosexual couples were allowed to form registered partnerships in Austria. As a consequence, the number of registered partnerships increased significantly (+170.9% compared to 2018, when 464 cases were registered). Among the partnerships registered in 2019, a vast majority of 1 124 were mixed-sex couples, while only 133 were same-sex couples.

On the other hand, 990 same-sex couples made use of the new legal framework to enter into marriage. The total number of marriages (44 997) also includes 191 couples who transferred their registered partnership into marriage. Yet, there has been no case so far where a marriage was changed into a registered partnership. Overall, the number of marriages decreased by 3.2% compared to 2018.

According to provisional figures of Statistics Austria, 16 245 divorces took place in Austria in 2019, a decrease of 0.4% compared to 2018. At the same time, 122 registered same-sex partnerships were dissolved by court decision, an increase of 24.5% compared to the previous year.

http://www.statistik.at/web_en/press/122661.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #112 on: February 27, 2020, 01:50:30 PM »

My state (Salzburg) had faster population growth last year (+0.6%) than Austria.

It also had an increase of births (the opposite of Austria) by 2.2% - the only state that had an increase.

Vienna had the biggest numerical birth surplus, Vorarlberg the highest in relative terms.

Some Vienna districts had more than 3% population growth.

Romanians were the fastest growing foreign group, followed by Germans, Hungarians, Croats and Bulgarians.

The number of Austrian citizens dropped by 4.000 (despite 11.000 naturalizations), while the number of foreigners increased by 48.000
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #113 on: February 28, 2020, 08:43:56 AM »

New Ö24 national poll (with DAÖ included):



According to this poll, Strache would re-enter parliament with 5% (4% threshold).

https://www.oe24.at/oesterreich/politik/Umfrage-Strache-wuerde-es-ins-Parlament-schaffen/419214257
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #114 on: February 28, 2020, 01:00:57 PM »

GDP growth numbers for 2019 were released today.

Austrian GDP went up by 1.6% last year, much higher than neighbouring Germany or Italy.

But in Q4, growth slowed down to 0.2% quarter-on-quarter, or +1.0% compared with Q4 2018.

The next important release will come in one month (budget surplus and debt data for 2019).

My guess, based on the numbers so far:

Budget surplus: +0.9% of GDP to +1.3% of GDP (ca. 3.8-5.0 billion €)

That would be the 2nd budget surplus in a row.

Debt as a percentage of GDP: 69% (2018: 74%)
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CrabCake
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« Reply #115 on: February 29, 2020, 07:44:25 AM »


nice
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rob in cal
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« Reply #116 on: February 29, 2020, 03:56:24 PM »

  So what would the ideology of DAO be compared to FPO?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #117 on: March 01, 2020, 02:01:41 AM »

  So what would the ideology of DAO be compared to FPO?

The same.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #118 on: March 01, 2020, 02:50:31 PM »

New Vienna poll (OGM for the Krone):



https://www.krone.at/2107831
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #119 on: March 02, 2020, 12:26:05 AM »

Another Vienna poll (Ö24), another good Strache result:

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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #120 on: March 02, 2020, 09:31:16 AM »

That's one hell of an FPO drop from the previous election......
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #121 on: March 02, 2020, 12:18:13 PM »

That's one hell of an FPO drop from the previous election......

Vienna voted at the height of the immigrant invasion in late 2015, which explains the strong result then. This and SPÖVP being a total trainwreck then and Strache at his best.

Interestingly, there could be a similar situation again later this year if Erdogan keeps the floodgates open and lets the millions of refugees and other economic „refugees“ into Greece.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #122 on: March 03, 2020, 11:45:32 AM »

Heard in the Conserva-Green coalition meeting today:

Green-leader Kogler: "It would be good if Austria were to take in some refugee women and children at the Greek/Turkish border."

ÖVP: "Shut the f**k up. We will not take in a single "refugee" or refugee, as written down in our coalition contract !"

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/hilfe-fuer-fluechtlinge-kogler-blitzt-bei-oevp-ab/400770270

In the end, there was a compromise that the border patrols will now be increased and 3 million € donated to Idlib aid.
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Omega21
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« Reply #123 on: March 03, 2020, 12:32:30 PM »

Heard in the Conserva-Green coalition meeting today:

Green-leader Kogler: "It would be good if Austria were to take in some refugee women and children at the Greek/Turkish border."

ÖVP: "Shut the f**k up. We will not take in a single "refugee" or refugee, as written down in our coalition contract !"

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/hilfe-fuer-fluechtlinge-kogler-blitzt-bei-oevp-ab/400770270

In the end, there was a compromise that the border patrols will now be increased and 3 million € donated to Idlib aid.

Sad to see those Greens never learned a thing.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #124 on: March 04, 2020, 11:29:21 AM »

Heard in the Conserva-Green coalition meeting today:

Green-leader Kogler: "It would be good if Austria were to take in some refugee women and children at the Greek/Turkish border."

ÖVP: "Shut the f**k up. We will not take in a single "refugee" or refugee, as written down in our coalition contract !"

https://kurier.at/politik/inland/hilfe-fuer-fluechtlinge-kogler-blitzt-bei-oevp-ab/400770270

In the end, there was a compromise that the border patrols will now be increased and 3 million € donated to Idlib aid.

Sad to see those Greens never learned a thing.

President Van der Bellen (Greens) and Justice Minister Alma Zadic (Greens) now also say:

"Let some women and children in."

I wouldn't mind a small contingent of say 500 or 1000 of such women and kids.

But then there's the pull-factor again and once the women and children are here, it won't take long until the men are coming as well ... and we don't know who they are. They could be economic "refugees" with a troubling, military past.
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