🇦🇹 Austrian Elections & Politics 6.0 - Upper Austria election: 26 Sept. 2021

[Mike88]

The last polls close in about 3 hours. Exit polls will be announced at that hour.

[Mike88]

Polls close in 7 minutes.

Live coverage feeds:

https://orf.at/newsroom/livestream/14192865

[Mike88]

Van der Bellen reelected on the 1st round. 53-56%

FPO candidate at 17-20% and the Bier party at 8-11%.

[Mike88]

ORF's SORA projection also shows Van der Bellen reelected with 54.6%. FPO with 18.9%, but the Bier party at 4th with 8.1%.

[Mike88]

Results page: https://bundeswahlen.gv.at/2022/

ORF results page: https://orf.at/wahl/bp22/hochrechnungen

[Mike88]

Updated SORA projection:

55.4% Van der Bellen
18.4% Rosenkranz
  8.4% Wallentin
  8.1% Wlazny
  5.8% Grosz
  2.2% Brunner
  1.6% Staudinger

66.1% Turnout

[Mike88]

Results by towns so far:

https://twitter.com/WienerZeitung/status/1579129936400424961

[Leading Political Consultant Ma Anand Sheela]

Predictable considering who must vote for that guy and VdB's incumbency, but still sad that we've been denied a run-off involving the beer party guy.

[Mike88]

SORA's projection: 95% counted

56.1% Van der Bellen
17.9% Rosenkranz
  8.4% Wlazny
  8.3% Wallentin
  5.6% Grosz
  2.2% Brunner
  1.5% Staudinger

65.8% Turnout

[Mike88]

Only a few areas of Vienna are left to count. Tomorrow, the postal votes will start being counted.

[Anzeigenhauptmeister]

SORA's projection: 95% counted

56.1% Van der Bellen
17.9% Rosenkranz
  8.4% Wlazny
  8.3% Wallentin
  5.6% Grosz
  2.2% Brunner
  1.5% Staudinger

65.8% Turnout

What a great, great pity! I knew that Van der Bellen was gonna win re-election, but I'd love to have seen a face-off between him and Marco Pogo.

[Mike88]

Final results: (without postal votes)

54.6% Van der Bellen (1,780,429 votes)
19.1% Rosenkranz (622,489)
  8.4% Wallentin (273,596)
  8.2% Wlazny (268,518)
  6.0% Grosz (194,448)
  2.2% Brunner (70,683)
  1.6% Staudinger (50,896)

52.5% Turnout (3,340,609)

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Marco Pogo has at least jumped back up to 3rd. https://bundeswahlen.gv.at/2022/

He also got 2nd in Vienna.

[Mike88]

Postal votes results:

65.3% Van der Bellen (519,163 votes)
11.9% Rosenkranz (94,608)
  8.6% Wlazny (68,492)
  6.7% Wallentin (53,618)
  4.0% Grosz (31,494)
  1.9% Brunner (14,782)
  1.7% Staudinger (13,545) 

Total votes:

56.7% Van der Bellen (2,299,592 votes)
17.7% Rosenkranz (717,097)
  8.3% Wlazny (337,010)
  8.1% Wallentin (327,214)
  5.6% Grosz (225,942)
  2.1% Brunner (85,465)
  1.6% Staudinger (64,411)

65.2% Turnout (4,148,079)

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Based guy won

[Mike88]

Lower Austria regional election: SORA/ORF projection:

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1619728892884918272

ÖVP loses its majority and FPÖ surpasses SPÖ to become the 2nd largest party.

[President Johnson]

What's driving up FPÖ support lately? Disappointment over the ÖVP? I noticed that they rebounded nationally as well, competing with the SPÖ for first place, even polling slightly ahead in most surveys. It's depressing so many people supporting this joke of a party.

[Mike88]

What's driving up FPÖ support lately? Disappointment over the ÖVP? I noticed that they rebounded nationally as well, competing with the SPÖ for first place, even polling slightly ahead in most surveys. It's depressing so many people supporting this joke of a party.

From what I'm aware, the SPÖ leader Pamela Rendi-Wagner has been losing popularity and is not seen as an alternative to the ÖVP. Plus, the scandals around ÖVP, in the last few years, damaged the party's image, plus the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, and the economic issues around it, could have a negative impact in voters minds, Austria is not a NATO member, and FPÖ has been blaming both Russia and NATO for the war.

A scenario poll in which the incumbent governor of Burgenland, Hans Peter Doskozil, leads the SPÖ, puts the party well ahead of FPÖ and ÖVP.

[Babeuf]

What's driving up FPÖ support lately? Disappointment over the ÖVP? I noticed that they rebounded nationally as well, competing with the SPÖ for first place, even polling slightly ahead in most surveys. It's depressing so many people supporting this joke of a party.

From what I'm aware, the SPÖ leader Pamela Rendi-Wagner has been losing popularity and is not seen as an alternative to the ÖVP. Plus, the scandals around ÖVP, in the last few years, damaged the party's image, plus the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war, and the economic issues around it, could have a negative impact in voters minds, Austria is not a NATO member, and FPÖ has been blaming both Russia and NATO for the war.

A scenario poll in which the incumbent governor of Burgenland, Hans Peter Doskozil, leads the SPÖ, puts the party well ahead of FPÖ and ÖVP.

Tbf (if we’re thinking of the same poll), that scenario poll was commissioned by the Burgenland SPÖ (see below).

https://twitter.com/wahlen_at/status/1594459201128079360?s=46&t=AV5fehFywMLP...

[Mike88]

Tbf (if we’re thinking of the same poll), that scenario poll was commissioned by the Burgenland SPÖ (see below).

Ah, right. Wasn't aware of that. Because they did also a poll with the current leader, I assume it was a normal monthly poll. But, he's quite popular within SPÖ and as governor of Burgenland, right?

Anyway, the preliminary results of the Lower Austria regional elections:

39.9% ÖVP (-9.7), 23 seats (-6)
24.2% FPÖ (+9.4), 14 (+6)
20.7% SPÖ (-3.3), 12 (-1)
  7.6% GRÜNE (+1.2), 4 (+1)
  6.7% NEOS (+1.5), 3 (nc)
  1.0% Others (+0.9)

71.5% Turnout (+5.0)

Results from here: https://www.noe.gv.at/wahlen/L20231/Index.html

[DavidB.]

What's driving up FPÖ support lately? Disappointment over the ÖVP? I noticed that they rebounded nationally as well, competing with the SPÖ for first place, even polling slightly ahead in most surveys.

In addition to the Russia issue, which was mentioned before, there's also the issue of immigration being way up again and COVID (which in hindsight mostly benefited incumbent governments) being completely forgotten already.

But I'd also say it's just a return to the standard level of support to which they always bounce back after an electoral setback - about 25%. Ibizagate has faded out of people's memory and was overshadowed by Kurz' scandal. ÖVP leader Nehammer is a party machine man, not a charismatic leader or a vote magnet for the Austrian right. And Kickl seems to be doing a solid job in uniting the party and picking a political line that resonates with many voters - not too moderate, not too extreme.

[Mike88]

Election day in the state of Carinthia:

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1632259647515115522

This year, 17.4% of voters cast an early ballot or requested mail voting. The last polls put the SPÖ with a comfortable lead, FPÖ in second place and ÖVP on the verge of crashing to 4th place, behind the Team Carinthia (TK), a local party. The last available poll:

Market poll: (compared with the 2018 results)

42% SPÖ (-6)
26% FPÖ (+3)
12% TK (+6)
10% ÖVP (-5)
  4% Grüne (+1)
  4% NEOS (+2)
  2% Others (-1)

[Logical]

Unban Tender but contain him to this thread. This used to be one of the best running thread on this site.

[jaichind]

Looks like ÖVP is outperforming and SPÖ underperforming

[Mike88]

Looks like ÖVP is outperforming and SPÖ underperforming

Yep, but compared with the first projections from an hour ago, SPÖ is improving a bit and ÖVP going down a bit. However, compared with 2018, surprising surge for ÖVP and a bigger than expected fall for the SPÖ. FPÖ is basically at the same point.

https://twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1632410191474962433